iBankCoin
18 years in Wall Street, left after finding out it was all horseshit. Founder/ Master and Commander: iBankCoin, finance news and commentary from the future.
Joined Nov 10, 2007
23,424 Blog Posts

The Pros Are Coming Home

[YouTube:http//www.youtube.com/watch?v=MZxCGCBzsIs&feature=youtube_gdata_player 616 500]

I leave you faggots to watch the market for me and you done screwed it up. As a mellow vactioner, I really should not be subjected to wild stock market swings. It really is quite rude.

Fear not, for the veteran robots are coming home from vacation and will soon put some conviction into this tape, up or down. As you know, for now, my money is betting for a rally. But, the longer term picture looks woefully gay, which is why I still have 25% of my assets in the dumbest hedge of all time: the VXX.

It is troubling to see yen soar and treasuries rally. Basically, we’re all in the fucking vortex now, as the deflationary death strangle takes hold.

I will not try to minimize the difficulty of this tape. If you are having trouble trying to figure it out, don’t beat yourself up over it. This is as hard as it gets. Trust me when I tell you, it will get a lot easier than this, very soon. The market needs to figure out how to price in the data. It does not know if we are at risk of laughable Zimbabwe style inflation or heart wrenching Japanese style deflation. The way things are now, it’s pricing in both, as unbelievably retarded as that may seem.

I am not pleased with the current structure of my portfolios and will be making wholesale changes to them, as soon as I get back to NYC (tomorrow). In my estimation, my retarded hedging strategy, with plus amounts of cash, served its purpose of protecting my gains throughout the meat grinder tape of July-September, 2010. However, I believe the time has come, in coordination with the arrival of the distinguished veteran robots from Goldman Sachs, to pick a side and run with it.

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64 comments

  1. Diana

    You used the word “retard” and that makes you a retard

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  2. Peanut

    Fig

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  3. Purdy

    This tape is so easy it is frightening. Down. Half way back. Kiss down trend line. Repeat.

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  4. Dr Fly

    Purdy

    Say that shit again and i will do jake a service and ban your stupid lying ass for good.

    This is a fucking woefully hard tape.

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    • Purdy

      Look at the tape from a short’s perspective. And watch who you’re calling a liar.

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  5. Treepart

    Even a flounder picks a side and sticks with it.

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  6. hmmmm

    Fly,

    Where are your d*stoc*ibcaxiom*reports now?

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  7. Dr Fly

    Fuck you.

    Paul says no gold in Fort Knox. If that is true, i will go to my local politicians office and punch him in the face on principle.

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  8. Dr Fly

    Hmmmm

    Fuck you too

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  9. Jay316

    “dumbest hedge of all time” LMAO

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  10. Dr Fly

    Banned

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  11. The_Real_Hmmm

    STU has been my best hedge, making up for all of the losses I’ve incurred on my consumer durables stocks. I did see that platinum has been hitting a line in the sand over the past few weeks and if the high-end foreign consumer weakens (jewelry) along with auto manufacturing, the guillotine may drop for those futures holders.

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    • Mr. Cain Thaler

      Added STU short at $19.13 today, Hmmm. It has been excellent.

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      • The_Real_Hmmm

        It’s been a great hedge. I’m up approx 1% over the past couple weeks total thanks to this. I lowered my stop on it to about $19.65 (90% buy-back) so I can book profits if it squeezes some shorts and the market rallies.

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  12. Heaterman

    Starting off the evening an a bit of a testy (or maybe rather…testicular) tone here. be interesting to see who’s still around in the AM.

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  13. Dr Fly

    Hmmm

    First time i heard of this. There is plenty posted in ppt

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  14. Dr Fly

    If this blog was a war, there would be massive casualties.

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  15. JakeGint

    Can you believe this latest bullshit? This is what happens when you let aging, mentally deficient hippies write your laws.

    Wasteful moronism reigns supreme.

    First, we kill the Boomers….

    _________

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    • MOOBER

      Whew! Dodged a bullet. Glad I changed my name.

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    • ctb007

      There morons! As noted in the article “The rule could also reward with a relatively low ratio those companies that outsourced low-paid work rather than keeping jobs in-house, lawyers said.” Does generation asshat want to make the economy worse?

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      • JakeGint

        Clueless meddling fucktards. Like retarded zombies with baseball bats running around in your living room.

        And smug?? Don’t get me started….

        ___________

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  16. Dr Fly

    The boomers are the worst generation of all time

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    • JakeGint

      Truly, the Greatest Generation spawned the Worst Generation.

      Which gave way to my generation, The Totally Freaking Farked Generation.

      Some good was derived however, as a subset arose — the Skateboard Videotape Generation.

      But only in Southern California.

      ____________

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  17. TA

    I gotta go with Purdy on this one
    The financials are sucking large cocks galore

    Without them, we aren’t going up anytime soon
    Only gold, silver and TLT looks bullish

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  18. Le Fly

    Very true jake

    Ta

    There have been no clear trends in months. Anyone who says this tape has been easy is lying or has no skin in the game.

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  19. Helicopter Ben

    Never fear QE II is going to keep the bubble inflated. Helicopter Ben will always protect the Wall St. speculators even if it means Zimbabwe style hyperinflation.

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  20. HonoluluTrader

    HTCH was up big today! BV 12.46 Cash 7.01 closed at 3.46 +21%.Still fucking dirt cheap!

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  21. admin

    I just got an email from “The Fly” himself, granting me EMERGENCY POWERS over iBankCoin while he’s in his spaceship (aka, “le airplane”). Frankly, his trust in me to protect the site in his absence was ill-advised. I’m going to throw the Internet equivalent of a kegger in this shit.

    Feel free to “dumb down” the site with stupid comments. Unlike Fly, I will do nothing to stop “the retard train.” In addition, rioting and looting will no longer be frowned upon.

    So throw a few cold ones back, deface JakeGint’s blog, and above all, resist arrest by ANY means necessary.

    Cheers!
    Jeremy

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  22. James

    Dump VXX and just go short TWM (2x Short Russell 2000). Small-caps are the biggest losers in any sell-off.

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  23. JTU

    The Markets look like they are setting up for one big Fucktarded blow to the cock!

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  24. Long Live Braveflaps

    As of now, I am in charge, here in the White House.

    Braaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaap!!!

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  25. Dr Fly

    Jeremy is fined $1,000.

    About to take off.

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  26. Dr Fly

    Jeremy is fined $1,000.

    About to take off.

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  27. StocksRider

    Did someone just say the tape is easy to read????? Who the fuck? Speak up! I cannot scroll up because I don’t have time…so speak fucking up! Jeremy has given full permission to go ape shit. And I will see to it that I do that on your sorry ass.

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    • alphadawgg

      Don’t pick on Jake’s nemisis, the douchebag-troll. He can’t help it.

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      • StocksRider

        Purdy, you are toast. On September 1st when the shorts are being slaughtered, I will offer you on the altar and make my peace with stock gods.

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      • Purdy

        Alpha,

        You love to be worshiped by the chicken hawk – I get that. Seen it before

        Anyway, all I know who have seen shit are humble about it and don’t use it to gain standing …and don’t quote Hemmingway about how wonderful it is. You’re full of shit. Fuck off.

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  28. JakeGint

    The time has come my friends — the time to wap the insano pinata!

    Pass out the sangria and let the festivities begin, by Landreu!

    __________

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  29. BTN

    I don’t know what is more entertaining: watching fly celebrate his victories like a rapper that just got his first hit single or watching him eat humble pie when it blows up in his face.

    Seriously, I do like your blog, but go ahead and ban me / delete this post if I hurt your feelings

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  30. The_Real_Hmmm

    If security is so strict on airplanes why do most of them allow you to board with a phone but force you to turn it off during flight? Odd, no? Oh hey, there’s disgruntled cell phone rep guy with fifty fucking Boost Mobiles strapped to his jacket. Snazzy jacket sir, just remember to turn off all of your groundwork pieces during takeoff OK?

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  31. TA

    Fly,
    I would agree this is a trendless market but it’s far from bullish
    Financials need to bottom out before we see something

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  32. GonzoTrader

    Your bond hypothesis is becoming a reality.. Japan benefits hence the move not to fuck with the yen.

    Create a demand for dollars and bonds. Lets see if I got this right the FED lends free money to banks… Banks then buy bonds and drive up the price, creating a rally in the bond market.. the economy flounders into deflation.. investors flee shitty stocks into bonds.. the bankers then sell said bonds and buy stocks at rock bottom…..the bankers all get rich.,, stocks start to rise again as FED bumps window rate. Rinse and repeat? Fuck everyone else…. thats what you get with GS in charge.

    Looks like China is exiting while the getting is good…

    China US debt holdings lowest level in a year: Treasury

    By P. Parameswaran (AFP) – Aug 16, 2010

    WASHINGTON — China’s ownership of US government debt has dropped to the lowest level in at least a year, Treasury data showed Monday, in a sign Beijing is increasingly keen to diversify out of US bonds.

    The cash-rich Chinese government reduced its US Treasury bond holdings to 843.7 billion dollars in June, the lowest level since at least the same month last year, the Treasury said in a report on international capital flows.

    The June data was lower than the 867.7 billion dollars in Treasury bonds held by the Chinese in May and 900.2 billion dollars in April.

    China has repeatedly criticized the United States for its snowballing debt levels, fearing its investment in US government bonds could turn sour if a debt crisis erupts.

    There are worries that if China, which remains the top foreign holder of US debt, continues to diversify away from US bonds it will become much harder for the United States to finance its mounting debt burden.

    Some analysts also fear Beijing is secretly buying bonds via third countries to mask its importance as a creditor — a role which had attracted considerable scrutiny.

    Still, the decline in US bond holdings in June and May is “a sign that diversification has become a growing priority” by the Chinese government, said Kathy Lien, director of currency research at Global Forex Trading.

    “China has been an aggressive buyer of Japanese yen throughout 2010 as well as a big buyer of euros,” she said.

    Beijing is reportedly turning bullish on Europe and Japan at the expense of the United States, whose recovery from a recession has slowed.

    Beijing’s aggressive diversification policy was also underscored by a former Chinese central bank advisor.

    China has been buying “quite a lot” of Europe’s bonds, Yu Yongding, an ex-advisor to the People’s Bank of China, said in an interview with Bloomberg news agency.

    Yu was part of a foreign-policy advisory committee that visited France, Spain and Germany from June 20 to July 2.

    “Diversification should be a basic principle,” Yu said, adding that a “top-level Chinese central banker” told him to convey to European policymakers China’s confidence in the region’s economy and currency.

    “We didn’t sell any European bonds or assets, instead we bought quite a lot.”

    China, which holds the world’s biggest foreign reserves at 2.454 trillion dollars, has also stepped up purchase of Japanese debt.

    For the first half of 2010, China bought 1.73 trillion yen (20 billion dollars) worth of Japanese debt, nearly seven times the full-year record of 253.8 billion yen in 2005, according to Japan’s Finance Ministry.

    The US government data Monday also showed Japan as continuing to be the second top foreign holder of US debt, followed by Britain.

    Japan held 803.6 billion dollars worth of Treasury bonds in June, higher than the 786.7 billion dollars in May, while Britain had 362.2 billion dollars in US bond holdings, up from 350.0 billion dollars, according to the data.

    Experts believe official data almost certainly understates Beijing’s US government debt holdings and some say China-linked entities may be scooping up US bonds furtively on the London and Hong Kong markets.

    “Even taking into account a modest… buying from UK and Hong Kong, commonly a source of central bank flow, China still appears to be a large seller,” analysts at Nomura Securities said in a note.

    “We will monitor this closely, especially given recent headlines of China buying euro and yen-based assets.

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    • Lucas

      ” Lets see if I got this right the FED lends free money to banks… Banks then buy bonds and drive up the price, creating a rally in the bond market.”

      Perhaps one of the most telegraphed trades of all time.

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  33. twitch

    Fall trading theme song: http://www.kanyeuniversecity.com/blog/2010/08/monster/

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  34. StocksRider

    All you camels who lost money today, drink and take the load off – http://www.time.com/time/health/article/0,8599,2014332,00.html?artId=2014332?contType=article?chn=sciHealth

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  35. Trading_Nymph

    I am totally amused. Looking at the end of day final Advance – Decline Volume we actually hit the second support I was looking for on that other blog earlier…..so totally cool….anyway for tomorrow, the logical move would be a attempted rally to about Advance- decline volume of 86,000,000 and a chop until we hear FOMC…BoJ has buzz that they will support the usd/jpy at 84.0000…..that should stop a all out drop…for now…..California says good bye to The Fly, Come Back Soon!!!!

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  36. mike

    awful use of the word retarded.

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