Saturday, July 31st, 2010

Playing the Short Squeeze

Thursday, December 24, 2009 at 12:13 am

37

Often times when a stock has a giant short position there is something wrong with the company. For the most part, professional short sellers are very intelligent and are extraordinarily detailed in their reasoning behind their downside bets. In downward trending markets, I like to sell short stocks with a large percentage of shares sold short— for the “pile on” effect. Typically, those stocks are easy to break, because people think something is wrong with them. It’s all about perception.

However, in upward trending markets, the sharp edge of the pendulum swings the other way, into the scrotums of the steadfast/stubborn short sellers. Hence, when the markets are shooting higher, I like to go long stocks with large short positions.

Reason being: short sellers can only take so much pain, before they are forced to capitulate and buy back shares, sending said names through the fucking roof. Anyone familiar with Resorts International? Look it up, pal.

Wall Street is littered with legendary short squeeze stories. Why not try to participate in one, while the market is pistol hot?

The following stocks represent the best short squeeze ideas, courtesy of The PPT:

GDP, CSTR, NFLX, JCG, SD, ADVS, AIPC, AKAM, AMED, NILE, SHS, CBL, DSW, SYNA, EQIX, SHLD, ATPG, TNDM, NTRI, GMCR, PCX, CENX, ARD, VPRT, CYBS and MAC.

NOTE: Most of the stocks mentioned above have short positions representing more than 20% of the shares in the float.

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Comments

37 Responses to “Playing the Short Squeeze”
  1. The Zombie says:

    The Fly is God.

  2. Hawaii Five0 says:

    Fly,

    Just curious.

    Is it possible to find an etf in a short squeeze? I’m guessing that doesn’t occur very often.

    In any case, thanks for the conceptual information.

    I learned something about atr’s from Wood today and now I learning something from you.

    For a novice like me this kind of stuff is much appreciated

  3. TA says:

    Playing SD, missing PCX due to being in ACI instead unfortunately.
    Other than that ATPG looks the most interesting for those of us who aren’t riding coffee.

    Love NTRI’s chart…the perfect hockey stick LOL

  4. Prophet Joe says:

    GDP has been very good to me recently, with 15% gains since XOM decided to go NG-happy.

    Seems that capitalizing on squeeze-burning trends is the way to go, thus again long live GMCR. And CENX

  5. JakeGint says:

    Just remember, always… It’s A Wonderful Life.

    ___________

    • mrsbuttons says:

      yes, it is til you get to the part where mr fly says…”and for the most part short sellers are very intelligent people..”

  6. dave says:

    http://news.yahoo.com/s/afp/20091223/sc_afp/usgeneticsanimalsoffbeat

    New Yorkers beware! New cockroach hits the Big Apple

    The new species will be named Ponzius Retardus Politicus

  7. Damon says:

    Up, up, and up some more, there will never be down days again, ‘least that’s what my mammies told me!

  8. heaterman says:

    Off the subject line of thinking here but………does anyone know much about (YTEC)??

  9. Mr. President says:

    FUQI.

    And Merry Christmas Eve to you all! …Well, to most of you.

  10. Mr. President says:

    Check out the 2-year chart on VOW.BE. That was an epic short squeeze in late 2008 that briefly made it the most valuable company in the world.

  11. TMoe says:

    For the most part, professional short sellers are very intelligent and are extraordinarily detailed in their reasoning behind their downside bets — –

    Well thank you Master Fly

  12. TMoe says:

    Well Harry Reid’s bribes worked and the demoncrats pass their socialist spending bill

    • Indie says:

      bah … no need to get your bear tail in a tizzy…

      you just joined the club of wealthy civilized societies around the world. all rich nations have some kind of universal healtcare system.

      you shoulda stayed more quiet with all your money.

  13. Indie says:

    here’s the destrutooror of capitalism at work : http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/business/8429427.stm

    the auto industry about to be slapped in the morning with a butter wet order of toasts.

    NOT!

    idiocy knows no frontier…

    wonder if our dear leader of the sud americacas got order of the “next generation” of russian nukes : http://ca.reuters.com/article/topNews/idCATRE5BN10O20091224

    Good morning and almost merry christmas

    • heaterman says:

      I give Chavez; the pusillanimous but pompous dork, about another 3-5 years before he has that country completely destroyed. He is a fool of incomprehensible magnitude.

      • sandfleas says:

        I’ve never seen that word “pusillanimous.”
        It’s used in contrast to pompous, so must mean the opposite of pompous.

  14. sniper6 says:

    sniper6 likes PCX and expects it to continue printing new 52 wk highs in the coming days. It is my largest position.

    Be advised, coal, steel and railroads will rule the fucking world, again.

    Also legging into the DUK of Death, and NSC.

  15. mhass33 says:

    Thanks Fly! This is a great response to my question yesterday

  16. Mr. President says:

    Just sold out of FUQI and LIWA for gains of 13.2% and 5.2%, respectively, since 9:40am yesterday.

  17. Largebill says:

    FTK???? Up >10% this morning. Why? No complaint, but why?

  18. No One says:

    I’d also watch WFR. Nice move coming in the next few days…..

  19. Comic Book says:

    Well Mr. Fly, I’m chucking charts aside and following the artist.

    In 500 GMCR at 72.90.

  20. sandfleas says:

    Why do we have to wait 5 minutes to possibly EDIT our comments?
    We already know most traders can’t spell,
    that’s why there are ticker symbols.

  21. tgarfield says:

    Good advice about the short squeeze. You need to sell longs into short squeezes but be careful going short. I look for those stocks sometimes to go short. You need to be very patient and think how you would be punching the screen right now if you were short. Wait until you think you would have covered the last share and then give it a little time for the guys dumber than you. That is what happened with gold when it went to 1228. It did high volume there and the guys doing the squeeze put a lid on selling till it fell. It fell hard because hardly anyone was short after a large and continuous handing of the ass.

  22. Goldie says:

    Fly,
    Merry Christmas!!

    Sincerely,
    FTK

  23. sandfleas says:

    IBCers, what about AIG as a potential short-squeeze candidate?
    Has greater than 20 percent short float,
    and for those of you who look at charts –
    it appears to be entering initial stages of volatility squeeze.
    May be one to keep an eye on perhaps.

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