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Market Update

Mullaney: Stocks May Plunge 25 Percent-30 Percent

“Stocks are less expensive than average,” he tells Yahoo. “We have price-earnings multiples on a forward basis of 12 now, and the average is probably 16. But if we continue in this sluggish period of economic growth, then 12 may still be too high.”

Major bull markets generally don’t begin until the P-E ratio comes down to single digits, Mullaney says. ”

Full article

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Upgrades and Downgrades This Morning

Upgrades

TRMB – Trimble Navigation initiated with a Buy at Janney Mongeromery Scott

CBL – CBL & Assoc upgraded to Buy at Stifel Nicolaus

EMR – Emerson upgraded to a but at Citigroup

HON – upgraded to Buy from Neutral at Citigroup

FITB – Fifth Third initiated with a Buy at UBS

KEY – KeyCorp initiated with a Buy at UBS

DX – Dynex Capital upgraded to Buy from Hold at Cantor Fitzgerald

RAX – Rackspace upgraded to Buy at Kaufman Bros

STJ – St. Jude Medical upgraded to Outperform from Neutral at Credit Suisse

IVC – Invesco initiated with an Overweight at Morgan Stanley

TMH – Team Health Holdings upgraded to Buy from Neutral at Citigroup

BEN – Franklin Resources initiated with an Overweight at Morgan Stanley

ATK – Alliant Tech downgraded to Neutral from Buy at Suntrust

KRC – Kilroy Realty upgraded to Buy at Stifel Nicolaus

YPF – YPF Soc. Anonima upgraded to Buy from Neutral at BofA/Merrill

QNST – QuinStreet downgraded to Neutral from Outperform at Credit Suisse

CMA – Comerica initiated with a Buy at UBS

XYL – Xylem initiated with an Outperform at Wedbush

ATK – Alliant Tech downgraded to Sector Perform from Outperform at RBC Capital

CYN – City National initiated with a Buy at UBS

KKR – KKR initiated with an Equal Weight at Morgan Stanley

 

Downgrades

SNY – Sanofi-Aventis downgraded to Sell from Hold at Collins Stewart

RIMM – Research In Motion downgraded to Equal Weight from Overweight at Barclays

VRTX – Vertex Pharm downgraded to Neutral at Robert W. Baird

EXPE – Expedia downgraded to Underweight from Equal Weight at Morgan Stanley

ALU – Alcatel-Lucent downgraded to Neutral from Buy at BofA/Merrill

CBE – Cooper Industries downgraded to Neutral from Buy at Citigroup

BPO – Brookfield Properties downgraded to Hold at Stifel Nicolaus

HPT – Hospitality Props downgraded to Neutral from Buy at Janney Montgomery Scott

ASEI – American Science & Engineering downgraded to Sell at The Benchmark Company

NVS – Novartis AG downgraded to Hold from Buy at Collins Stewart

ITW – Illinois Tool downgraded to Neutral from Buy at Citigroup

BKE – Buckle downgraded to Neutral from Positive at Susquehanna

PNG – PAA Natural Gas Storage downgraded to Equal Weight from Overweight at Barclays

FII – Fed Investors initiated with an Underweight at Morgan Stanley

PXD – Pioneer Natural Resources downgraded to Neutral from Positive at Susquehanna

AB – AllianceBernstein initiated with an Underweight at Morgan Stanley

OVTI – OmniVision downgraded to Neutral from Outperform at Wedbush

NKA – Niska Gas Storage downgraded to Underweight from Equal Weight at Barclays

WMS – WMS Industries downgraded to Underperform from Buy at Credit Agricole

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Gapping Up and Down This Morning

Gapping up

ASML +2.1%, DB +1.5%, VSAT +1.4%, VIMC +19.6%, PKT +16.7%, TRAK +10.9%, RPRX +9.1%,

LYG +6%, FRO +3.9%, GTAT +3.8%, SIG +3.1%, PCLN +2.8%, RAX +2.4%, NAT +2.3%, HOLX +2.3%,

Gaping down

LGCY -5.2%, URBN -4.4%, DYN -3.7%, KW -3.7%, TRGT -50.3%, LXU -11.1%, HOS -6%, ETP -3.4%,

PXD -3.3%, AZN -3.3%, TGI -2.5%,

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Analyst: Hong Kong Entered Recession Last Quarter

Hong Kong’s economy, a barometer of global growth, probably sank into recession with a contraction in the third quarter, according to Daiwa Capital Markets Ltd. and Australia & New Zealand Banking Group Ltd.

Gross domestic product shrank 1.5 percent from the previous quarter, seasonally adjusted, said Kevin Lai, a Hong Kong-based economist at Daiwa. The report is due Nov. 11. Lai came closest in a Bloomberg News survey to predicting the 0.5 percent contraction in the second quarter.”

Full article

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Most Active Put / Call Option Trades This Morning

-CALLS- 
OPTION    EXP.DATE       STRIKE PRC.     VOLUME        LAST S/PRC.    NET CHANGE 
BAC        1/19/13           7.5000        9876            1.2900      dn 0.1100 
AEM        1/19/13          65.0000        4000            2.8500      up 0.4300 
CTXS       11/19/11          75.0000        3669            1.5800      dn 1.0200 
YHOO       11/19/11          16.0000        2568            0.4400      up 0.0300 
ACI        1/21/12          27.0000        2500            0.1500      up 0.0100 
JPM        11/11/11          36.0000        2161            0.1100      dn 0.0400 
LEN        11/19/11          18.0000        1773            0.4100      up 0.1100 
CSCO       11/19/11          19.0000        1691            0.3000      up 0.0100 
AAPL       2/18/12         500.0000        1638            2.6000      dn 0.0200 
NPSP       12/17/11           6.0000        1551            0.5000      dn 0.0500 

 -PUTS- 
OPTION    EXP.DATE       STRIKE PRC.     VOLUME        LAST S/PRC.    NET CHANGE 
BAC        12/17/11           5.0000       10024            0.1600      up 0.0000 
GLD        6/16/12         110.0000        5010            0.9500      dn 0.1000 
BAC        11/11/11           6.0000        2193            0.0800      up 0.0000 
WM         11/19/11          31.0000        1549            0.8000      up 0.0500 
AMGN       11/19/11          57.5000        1197            1.0000      dn 1.7500 
GS         11/19/11         100.0000        1149            2.0000      dn 0.1000 
BAC        1/21/12           5.0000        1006            0.2900      up 0.0000 
ATVI       11/19/11          13.0000        1000            0.2000      up 0.0100 
BAC        5/19/12           6.0000         953            1.0000      up 0.0400 
BAC        1/21/12           6.0000         950            0.5800      up 0.0300 

 -VOLUME- 
 CALLS      PUTS           TOTAL 
444123    434473        878596

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Upgrades and Downgrades This Morning

Upgrades

AYI – Acuity Brands coverage assumed with a Buy at ThinkEquity

HD – Home Depot upgraded to Outperform from Sector Perform at RBC Capital

CVS – CVS Caremark upgraded to Outperform from Sector Perform at RBC Capital

TOLL – Toll Brothers upgraded to Buy from Neutral at Citigroup

GRPN – Groupon initiated with a Buy at The Benchmark Company

PIR – Pier 1 Imports initiated with an Outperform at Wells Fargo

PAY – VeriFone initiated with a Buy at Citigroup

IACI – InterActiveCorp resumed with a Hold at Needham

WES – Western Gas Partners upgraded to Outperform from Neutral at Credit Suisse

LL – Lumber Liquidators upgraded to Buy from Neutral at Goldman

HERO – Hercules Offshore resumed with a Hold at Dahlman Rose

MYL – Mylan Labs initiated with a Market Perform at Leerink Swann

FLR – Fluor upgraded to Buy from Neutral at Lazard

UDR – UDR upgraded to Buy from Neutral at Janney Montgomery Scott

Downgrades

K – Kellogg downgraded to Market Perform from Outperform at William Blair

NEE – NextEra Energy downgraded to Hold from Buy at Jefferies

CLF – Cliffs Natural Resources target lowered to $115 at FBR Capital

ADM – Archer-Daniels initiated with a Neutral at Ticonderoga

FLT – FleetCor initiated with a Neutral at Citigroup

DHI – DR Horton downgraded to Neutral from Buy at Citigroup

APH – Amphenol downgraded to Sell at Ticonderoga

GRPN – Groupon initiated with a Neutral at Susquehanna

WXS – Wright Express initiated with a Neutral at Citigroup

AGU – Agrium target lowered to $109 at Ticonderoga

IBI – Interline Brands downgraded to Market Perform from Outperform at William Blair

CLC – CLARCOR downgraded to Hold from Buy at BB&T

VE – Veolia Environnement downgraded to Underweight from Neutral at JP Morgan

ALU – Alcatel-Lucent downgraded to Sell from Reduce at WestLB

SEB – Spectra Energy LP downgraded to Mkt Perform at Morgan Keegan

SD – SandRidge Energy downgraded to Equal Weight at boutique firm

MED – Medifast downgraded to Hold from Buy at Canaccord Genuity

SNN – Smith & Nephew downgraded to Neutral from Outperform at Credit Suisse

VRTX – Vertex Pharm downgraded to Sector Perform from Outperform at RBC Capital

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Gapping Up and Down This Morning

Gapping up

FRPT +33%, SYY +2.2%, CBRL +2.3%, CRNT +3.1%, ADPI +28.1%, YHOO +0.8%, AEM +3.1%, VRUS +16.1%,

AUY +2.1%,ALLT +1.5%,  NGD +1.7%,  GRPN +1.3%,  INHX +8.9%, RBCN +0.8%,

Gapping down

SI -1.7%, YGE -1.6%, TOT -1.5%, UBS -0.8%, BWOW -18.1%, LYG -3.8%, SAP -2.6%BAC -2.3%,

BHP -2.2%, C -2.1%, DEO -2%, BP -1.9%,

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