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Monthly Archives: October 2012

Pimco Gobbles Up Australian and New Zealand Bonds on Anticipated Rate Cuts

“Pacific Investment Management Co., manager of the world’s biggest bond fund, has boosted holdings in Australia and New Zealand as it expects policy makers to cut interest rates to combat currency gains and weaker world growth.

Decisions in larger developed economies to keep policy rates close to zero and engage in currency market intervention have helped push the Australian and New Zealand dollars higher, according to Scott Mather, head of global portfolio management at Pimco, which oversees $1.8 trillion in assets. The Newport Beach, California-based company’s holdings in the region are at the highest levels “in a very long time,” he said at a briefing in Auckland.”

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The Aussie Dollar Has Its Biggest Monthly Gain on an Improving Global Outlook

Australia’s dollar headed for its biggest weekly gain in more than a month as signs of improvement in the global economy supported demand for riskier investments.

The so-called Aussie traded 0.4 percent from its strongest in three weeks before data today forecast to show U.S. sales of existing homes hovered near a two-year high. Figures yesterday showed gains in China’s industrial production, retail sales and fixed-asset investment. The appeal of the Australian and New Zealand currencies was also supported after Pacific Investment Management Co., manager of the world’s biggest bond fund, said it has boosted holdings in the South Pacific nations’ assets.

“Recent data have been easing pessimism over growth in the U.S. and China, supporting the Aussie,” said Kumiko Gervaise, an analyst at Gaitame.com Research Institute Ltd. in Tokyo. “There is a risk that the Australian dollar has gained too much in a short period of time.”

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Asia’s Wealthiest Family Will Buy ING’s Insurance Units

ING Groep NV (INGA) will sell insurance assets in Hong Kong, Macau and Thailand to Richard Li, a son of Asia’s richest man, for 1.64 billion euros ($2.14 billion) as local buyers seek to profit from the dismantling of one of Europe’s largest financial companies.

Pacific Century Group, controlled by Li, will buy the insurance and pension units in a sale that values the life businesses at 24.3 times estimated 2012 earnings and 1.9 times estimated book value of 865 million euros, according to a statement from ING today. Amsterdam-based ING said it’s expecting a net gain of about 1 billion euros from the sale.”

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European Markets Slide on No Progress Over Spanish Bailout

“European stocks fell, snapping four days of gains, as European Union leaders failed to discuss further aid for Spain, outweighing an agreement to introduce a euro-area banking regulator by the end of next year. U.S. index futures were little changed, while Asian stocks fell.

Bankia SA (BKIA) led lenders lower, falling 6.9 percent as a gauge of banks contributed most to the Stoxx Europe 600 Index’s drop. Aggreko Plc (AGK) fell 9.6 percent after it said bad-debt provisions would hurt full-year results. Spectris Plc (SXS) surged 9.5 percent after it reported a 12 percent increase in sales last quarter and said it will meet its full-year targets. Carrefour SA (CA) advanced 6.8 percent after it agreed to sell its Colombian unit.”

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Asian Markets Fall on Technology Companies Posting Poor Earnings

“Asian stocks fell, with the regional benchmark index headed for the first drop in four days, as worse-than-expected earnings results from Google Inc. and Microsoft Corp. weighed on technology shares.

Internet portal Yahoo Japan Corp. declined 2.3 percent in Tokyo and Samsung Electronics Co. fell in Seoul. National Australia Bank Ltd. led the country’s lenders lower after saying it quadrupled provisions for bad loans. Fanuc Corp., a Japanese maker of factory robots, increased 3.9 percent after manufacturing in the Philadelphia region expanded more than estimated.”

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Auto Industry Titan Lee Iacocca Endorses Romney

An endorsement that could give Mitt Romney a boost in the Rust Belt: Former Chrysler and Ford executive Lee Iacocca is backing the Republican nominee, the Detroit Free Press reports.

In his endorsement message, Iacocca complained that “America is in deep trouble,” facing high debts and still suffering “anemic” economic growth. He said “hope and speeches won’t get our people back to work.”

Read the rest here.

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WEIMAR: Here’s The Real Story Of The Devastating Currency Collapse That Still Haunts Europe Today

Weimar Germany after World War One went through one of the worst hyperinflations in history, unleashing untold horrors on the German people and their economy.

Memories of Weimar still haunt the eurozone today. The European Central Bank, widely considered to be the only institution with the firepower to stem the euro crisis, is somewhat restrained by the legacy of the German Bundesbank.

The Bundesbank – established in 1957 (well after Weimar) – for years before joining the euro was extremely conservative in expanding the money supply because of what happened during the Weimar years. And 90 years later, Germans are reminded of the perils of the printing press, whether or not the comparison is truly apt.

Adam Fergusson authored a book on the subject, entitled When Money Dies – and many consider it to be the definitive work on the Weimar hyperinflation.

It used to be out of print and a bit hard to find, but now you can find it in its entirety online.

We summarized the key elements of Fergusson’s book.

Read the rest here.

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Jack Bogle: Forget trading, start investing

Jack Bogle, founder of the Vanguard Group and author of “The Clash of the Cultures: Investment Versus Speculation,” says that investors should not be shaken by the economy, the election or the fiscal cliff and should, instead, stay focused on buying good businesses for the long haul, regardless of market conditions.

“Get out of the casino, own Corporate America and hold it forever,” Bogle said during “The Big Interview” on MoneyLife with Chuck Jaffe. “No trading, no nothing. You don’t need to trade; you don’t need to worry about the market. To protect yourself from the bumps the stock market will scare you with – even though it shouldn’t scare you because there have been bumps in the market since the beginning of time – have a bond position to go along with your stock position, and have your bond position [the proportion of your assets in bonds]  … have something to do with your age.”

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Black Monday and Its Aftermath

The Black Monday stock-market plunge on Oct. 19, 1987, stunned investors and rattled Wall Street. Below, review front-page articles from The Wall Street Journal’s coverage that week; use the dates at right to read article details.

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David Einhorn Wins Again

Chipotle Mexican Grill prelim $2.27 vs $2.30 Capital IQ Consensus Estimate; revs $700.5 mln vs $702.26 mln Capital IQ Consensus Estimate

CMG crushed in after-hours.

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Avoid the 7 Common Pitfalls When Investing

 

“(MoneyWatch) Who among us has not made a costly financial blunder? Come on; admit it — we all make some dumb moves for which we have to pay a pretty penny.Research by the Consumer Federation of America and Primerica found that two out of three Americans say they have made at least one “really bad decision,” and almost half of those questioned (47 percent) acknowledged that they had made more than one financial bad decision. The median cost of these bad decisions was $5,000, but the average cost was $23,000.

That we make financial boo-boos is not surprising, but the report also found that a large majority of those surveyed believe their ability to make financial decisions is “good” or “excellent,” despite having made costly financial mistakes in the past. “Considering their past mistakes and the complexity of the financial services marketplace, we were surprised at how highly most middle class Americans rate their ability to make a variety of financial decisions,” said CFA Executive Director Stephen Brobeck.

Call it the “Lake Wobegon Effect,” named after the fictional town where author Garrison Keillor noted that “the women are strong, all the men are good looking, and all the children are above average.” The “Lake Wobegon Effect” has come to mean the tendency to overestimate one’s capabilities. In social psychology, it’s called “illusory superiority”.

Of course, if we are all so smart and confident in the world of finance, why are we shelling out thousands of dollars to cover our bad decisions? Even if you are from Lake Wobegon, you may be interested in these mistakes that I saw frequently when I was an investment advisor:”

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$VZ Tips Investors Off on $AAPL Supply Constraints

Source

“SAN FRANCISCO (MarketWatch) — Apple Inc.AAPL -1.07% saw its shares fall 1.1% to $637.51 in early trades on Thursday after wireless carrier Verizon VZ +1.27% disclosed “supply constraints” for the iPhone 5 in the September quarter. Verizon reported its own third-quarter results on Thursday morning, noting that it activated a total of 3.1 million iPhones — including about 651,000 units of the iPhone 5. “We had a supply constraints,” Verizon CFO Fran Shammo said on a conference call about the new smartphone, which went on sale on Sept. 21. He added that “we’re not sure where we are going to stand in the fourth quarter with those constraints,” but also said a large portion of customers are also coming to the carrier for the iPhone 4S, the price of which was cut to $99 with a two-year contract upon the launch of the newer iPhone. “

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How the Middle Class is Reshaping the U.S.

“The decline of the middle class is fundamentally reshaping the U.S. economy, with unwanted repercussions for higher education, government and the future, according to an analysis by U.S. News & World Report.

Even the middle class’s health has suffered, U.S. News said.

“Their economic future isn’t very bright,” said Timothy Smeeding, director of a poverty research center at the University of Wisconsin-Madison. “Wages and income are flat. Transportation, childcare costs and healthcare costs are going up, and your income isn’t.”

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Harvard Alumni Survey: US Business Is Losing Its Edge

“Executives around the globe fear businesses operating in the U.S. are becoming less and less competitive in the global economy, the Wall Street Journal reports, citing a survey of Harvard Business School alumni.

The survey participants also question the ability of businesses in the U.S. to pay high wages to their U.S. employees.

According to the Journal, 58 percent of the respondents expect U.S. companies to become less competitive globally and experience difficulties paying competitively high wages.”

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Your Tax Dollars at Work: Subsidizing Coal for Asia

 

“(Reuters) – Asian economies, hungry for coal, stand to gain from a U.S. program meant to keep domestic power cheap and abundant.

At issue is how much miners pay the government to tap the coal-rich Powder River Basin in eastern Montana and Wyoming. Much of the basin is on federal land.

Selling that coal cheap at a time of increasing exports across the Pacific could amount to a U.S. taxpayer subsidy for industrial rivals like China.

Government auditors have long faulted lax oversight of the coal lease program, saying miners have too much sway. Officials have defended the system, saying their approach is the right one to help utilize a region that provides a large share of the country’s power.

That argument has crumbled as more coal from federal land is being sold overseas and Asian economies anticipate gains from the program meant to keep lights on in American homes.

If U.S. miners can find ports to reach Asian markets easily it could mean hundreds of millions of dollars in additional profits and marginally lower coal prices for countries in those markets.

U.S. coal exports have steadily climbed since 2009 and are on track for a record high this year, as miners such as Peabody Energy and Arch Coal scramble to ship surplus coal overseas in deals that can double or triple their margins, analysts say.

That dynamic raises questions about whether taxpayers are essentially helping Asian economies save on energy costs, according to six former officials who served both Democratic and Republican presidents. The possibility of large-scale exports was far from their minds when they managed federal land years ago.”

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