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Dr. Fly

18 years in Wall Street, left after finding out it was all horseshit. Founder/ Master and Commander: iBankCoin, finance news and commentary from the future.

BEHOLD: The Turkey Gods

Mashed potato smacks to the face. Cranberry packed punches to the scrotum. Turkey leg kicks to the sternum. These are some of the things—AND MORE—that define The Turkey Gods. You, Sir, are now falling victim to Turkey God attacks and you do not even know it.

As an aside, have you ever noticed that people who use exclamatory statements to get a point across are mentally ill?

Indeud!

Hopefully many of you will stop reading Le Fly, starting today. Let’s be honest with each other: most of you are undeserving of my advice and are better suited for the incoherent dialogue of the yahoo message boards, than fiddling around with the Gods site. A small number of you even sign up for The PPT and still trade like imbeciles. Seriously, it’s time for you to move on and GET THE HELL OFF MY WEBSITE!!!

This is a classy joint, endowed with all of the finest amenities known to man, with regards to websites of course. You can’t drive Ferraris here; but with a little hard work and a “piker free attitude” maybe one day you can buy a car that costs more than 30k.

Yesterday’s purchases are paying early dividends, with outsized gains in TEKELEC [[TKLC]] , Equinix, Inc. [[EQIX]] , ICICI Bank Limited (ADR) [[IBN]] , CGG Veritas (ADR) [[CGV]] and Mechel OAO (ADR) [[MTL]] .

Mark my words, we are heading for new 52 week highs and we will fulfill “The Prophecies of The Fly,” closing above 10,500 before the year 2009 ends.

Top picks: POSCO (ADR) [[PKX]] , Corning Incorporated [[GLW]] , Equinix, Inc. [[EQIX]]

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GOLDMAN SACHS LOSES GOVERNORSHIP OF NJ

An egregious loss by old Goldman Sachs Group, Inc. [[GS]] .

Now the good folks from NJ can get back to lower taxes, more spending a more borrowing from China, instead of higher taxes, more spending and marginally less borrowing from China.

Trade accordingly.

UPDATE: I like this post from Uncle Howard. What were you pikers doing in March of 2009?

Here’s what “The Fly” was doing:

Get Ready to Be Rich

Bears Lose a Leg

Fly Buy: KIM

Up, Up and Away

Fly Buys: LOGI, NTGR, TNA

Fly Buy: AXP

And The Wins Continue

F**** You Bears, You’re Dead

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Never Bet Against the Guy in the Time Machine

The bears lost the initiative. Pain forthcoming, finalized by full surrender by Turkey Day.

[youtube:http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JlAUdPTr6ZI 616 500]

Top picks: Equinix, Inc. [[EQIX]] , TEKELEC [[TKLC]] , [[ENTR]] , Mechel OAO (ADR) [[MTL]] , Ctrip.com International, Ltd. (ADR) [[CTRP]] and POSCO (ADR) [[PKX]] .

NOTE:
Don’t forget to tune into the best live charting tutorial program on the internet, by The Chart Addict, starting tonight at 10pm. iBC will be embedding the stocktwits Tv widget on all iBC blogs and front page for the event. Despite spitting on charts, I do enjoy hearing CA’s thoughts on the markets.

FYI: For those of you wondering about RC, sadly, he is mourning the passing of a loved one.

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Prepare For a Donut Punch to the Face

The market is down 5% from the highs; but the internals are far worse. The average steel stock is down 20% in recent weeks, same goes for small cap tech. Anyone with some skin in this game knows exactly what I am talking about.

The tide will turn and the market will trade higher. Mark my words you little trollops. This market is primed to go higher, specifically for one reason.

THE TURKEY GODS.

That’s right. Don’t think I forgot about the powers of the Turkey Gods and their control over stock prices. This is the time of year when people stuff their fat faces with stuffing, corn and turkey. There is no time to be bearish, quite frankly.

Look, if the market is going to trade lower, it will do so AFTER Thanksgiving—on Black Friday. However, traditionally, this is the time of year for celebration and joyous behavior. We can all get back to ending the world AFTER turkey day.

With my 15% cash position, I am all but forced to trade lightly. I will not go “all in” here, due to the outside chance that the Turkey Gods drop the ball. I will reserve my 15% cash for “emergency” hedging opportunities or “must buy” situations. My current positions are downright dreadful, getting the full brunt of the “homo-hammer” — in recent weeks. I am appalled by the recent action in TEKELEC [[TKLC]] , Flotek Industries, Inc. [[FTK]] , Corning Incorporated [[GLW]] and [[MWW]] . However, that’s life.

In a word, this market is “coiled.”

Okay I Lied UPDATE: I could not help myself. I bought partial blocks of the following: [[CBD]] , Equinix, Inc. [[EQIX]] , CGG Veritas (ADR) [[CGV]] , ICICI Bank Limited (ADR) [[IBN]] and Mechel OAO (ADR) [[MTL]] . I am bulking up on foreign names and Cramer hatred, via EQIX.

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Fly Buys: TKLC, ENTR

I bought 5,000 [[ENTR]] @ $2.40 and 3,000 TEKELEC [[TKLC]] @ $14.90.

Disclaimer: If you buy the above stocks because of this post, you will be accused of being a “communist supporter” and subsequently sent to jail. And, you may lose money.

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Landmine Time

Forget about what the market is doing right now. The real issue is “How many legs where blown off with the The Stanley Works [[SWK]] for The Black & Decker Corporation [[BDK]] and Berkshire for Burlington Northern Santa Fe Corporation [[BNI]] deals? Do you notice a pattern?

Big deals are being financed again, which spells disaster for those who are short. Literally, it is a financial minefield for those who make a living selling short. So, in addition to having an active ipo/secondary market, we are blessed with a very healthy m&a market too. This is very good news for stocks and the banking industry.

Unfortunately, as of now, the market disagrees with me, by way of a stupid sell off. However, as sure as I am sitting here, it shall rise again—like the sun over Tokyo.

On this decline, [[ENTR]] gets an automatic looksy, as it is always a good dip buy. And, that’s about it for now. Banks are getting ripped apart, thanks in large part of [[RBS]] and UBS AG (USA) [[UBS]] .

Nonetheless, this decline should be temporary and the dip should be bought.

NOTE: On the [[BNI]] deal, give the trannies a look, especially CSX Corporation [[CSX]] , Canadian National Railway (USA) [[CNI]] , Union Pacific Corporation [[UNP]] , Norfolk Southern Corp. [[NSC]] , Kansas City Southern [[KSU]] and Genesee & Wyoming Inc. [[GWR]] . The market cannot go down with this sort of strength in the trannies.

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Robots Gone Wild

Goldman Tradebot3000 was especially cranky today, jerking the market around like a “homofied” poodle. I see, in the comments section, many of the bearish people, my people from 2008, are making some noise. I will communicate with you, through baseball analogies, since everyone likes baseball.

I am Ty Cobb, hitting .425, spiking people in the face for getting in my way. You are Scott Cooper. Who is Scott Cooper?

EXACTLY.

I am entitled to make errors, especially since I am batting .425, with, 230 hits, 110 runs scored and 100 stolen bases. You giving me advice is equal to Scott Cooper telling Ty Cobb how to hit a curve ball.

Ya dig?

So, if you want to converse with “The Fly” or even offer some picks, just place your balls on your kitchen table and start speed chopping carrots, via blogging in The Peanut Gallery. Since I started iBankCoin, I have made it a point to hire people who show good investment acumen, most commonly discovered in The Peanut Gallery. If you are bearish, seriously, I do not hate you. I love a challenge and enjoy listening to compelling arguments. Do yourself a favor, vent a little in The PG. Moreover, inside of 3-4 months, I might be exclusively shorting stocks again. Who knows?

As for this market: absolutely nuts. I am a little jarred by the volatility and do not have great confidence in anything, near term. On one hand, this could be a great opportunity to get long growth stocks at a discount. On the other, the banks are looking a little dicey here, which may —eventually— lead to another leg lower. If I was going to sell short, I’d sell PacWest Bancorp [[PACW]] and get long Non-Levered ETF’s, like [[DOG]] , [[SH]] and [[EFZ]] .

In short, I smell opportunity and I am man enough to tell you: I have no idea which direction the market is heading tomorrow.

Top Picks: POSCO (ADR) [[PKX]] , Equinix, Inc. [[EQIX]] , TEKELEC [[TKLC]] , Ctrip.com International, Ltd. (ADR) [[CTRP]]
NOTE:
The Reformed Broker (no idea what that means) made something clever, for science/blog nerds only.

[youtube:http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4MpWE_u6y9g 616 500]

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Bounce in Jeopardy

The market is giving up early gains, with losses led by CRE names. People are just so damned nervous about commercial real estate, especially after HORRIBLE investors like Soros and Ross warned of “big crashes” in the industry. Why do people give those guys a second thought? I mean, they were good years ago, but suck moose testes now.

Within CRE, Developers Diversified Realty Corp. [[DDR]] , SL Green Realty Corp. [[SLG]] , The Macerich Company [[MAC]] and Simon Property Group, Inc [[SPG]] are getting hit.

On the bright side, precious metals are lifting off, partly thanks to dollar weakness. Within the precious metal, Compania de Minas Buenaventura SA (ADR) [[BVN]] , Gammon Gold, Inc. [[GRS]] and Yamana Gold Inc. (USA) [[AUY]] looks good to go. Additionally, Yamana Gold Inc. (USA) [[AUY]] is reporting earnings this week. Considering the recent run in gold, it will be next to impossible for Yamana to screw up the coming release.

Tech is real weak and financials are just sort of laying there, acting stupid. For the most part, the market is lacking leadership, which leaves it open to bear raids.

Whole drug retailers, like Express Scripts, Inc. [[ESRX]] , McKesson Corporation [[MCK]] and Medco Health Solutions Inc. [[MHS]] look great; but who cares? If we are entering a “niche” stock pickers market, it will be very hard for the masses to bank some coin.

My only purchase today was Ctrip.com International, Ltd. (ADR) [[CTRP]] , based upon China’s out of control stimulus. Looking out a few years, China is doomed, especially after their recent foray into loose lending standards, ala West Coast America. However, just like West Coast America, circa 2005-2006, China should do okay, over the next few years.

As I finish this post, the market has reversed and given back all of its gains. Absolutely horrible.

Even with this decline, I am not interested in giving up on the upside. However, for now, I will try to control my anger, via punching holes in the sheet rock and yelling at random people in the street.

More on this later.

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Fly Buy: CTRP

I bought 2,000 @ $55.86.

Disclaimer: If you buy Ctrip.com International, Ltd. (ADR) [[CTRP]] because of this post, your dog will bite your face off, while you sleep. And, you may lose money.

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