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Dr. Fly

18 years in Wall Street, left after finding out it was all horseshit. Founder/ Master and Commander: iBankCoin, finance news and commentary from the future.

Goldman Ball Sach’d

Let me get this straight: the government created an environment, through loose monetary policy and lax regulations, that led to the whole CDO/credit crisis debacle. Then, when the shit hit the fan, they bailed out the banks, including Goldman, via TARP and funneling money to them via American International Group, Inc. [[AIG]] . Now, after the market is up and Tea Party’s are running rampant throughout America they want to sue Goldman?

Pardon me for being skeptical; but the government is full of shit and Goldman will end up getting away with nothing more than a little slap on the wrist. If this happened one year ago it might have broke the old bank. But, after such a vigorous market recovery, the Godly fuckers at Goldman can just write a check for $5bill and tell the Obamanites to “fuck off” and enjoy the robot led recovery.

I had a good day, with [[TLT]] , [[VXX]] and [[SRS]] charging higher. My longs did “alright” with minor pullbacks in Flotek Industries, Inc. [[FTK]] , TriQuint Semiconductor [[TQNT]] and POSCO (ADR) [[PKX]] .

At the end of the day, this market is still in bull mode, until we get a string of triple point decline days. Although I believe the market is way overextended, I have been wrong about calling the top before, so there is no reason to believe I will be right now. Typically, I am pretty good at calling inflection points. However, truth be on the table spinning, I have been dumbfounded by the relentless and incessant “bullshittery.”

NOTE: I believe Mr. Bones, iBC’s new blogger, will post this weekend. And, be sure to tune in on Sunday, at 8:00pm, for my little cartoon show: “The Fly” Meets Mr. Devil Dog.

[youtube:http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DP2VyquMAaM 616 500]

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Let the Market Talk

My game plan, which was concocted inside of the iBC Eastern Asian headquarters in a small western Mongolian province, has been in place and prepared for more than 3 weeks. To some of you, 3 weeks seems like an eternity, thanks to the undersized brain inside of your monkey skulls. However, for a professional, such as myself, 3 weeks is like driving a camel through a desert without the luxuries of water. I give you that, it has been fucking torture, but entirely necessary.

My brains are not addled with ADHD like yours and I do not suffer from severe personality disorder. All I ask for, from this humble market, is for it to take a few gravity hammers to the head, so that I may buy your margin liquidation.

Will I buy this dip?

Absolutely not.

If the market rebounds on Monday, will I buy then?

Yes.

I am not betting on the apocalypse, nor am I betting on a fucking retard victory lap for the bulls. Today’s move “can” be the beginning of something material or simply another opportunity to buy in lower. The only way to find out is to wait and see.

In the meantime, I will wait it out, as I have been for awhile now, with more than 70% of my assets “defensive” or in cash.

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Fire and Brimstone

The end of the world is coming and you are worried about the stock exchange? While earthquakes hit and ancient volcanoes erupt, you go figure out a way to buy some fucking Apple Inc. [[AAPL]] on the dip. As you do that, HORATIO CLAWHAMMER aka “The Fly” will be building space rockets and shit, for expeditious and convenient evacuation from this cesspool.

As an aside, the flavour [sic] of today’s coffee is BLACK SMOKE. I suggest you take a few sips, while enduring uppercuts to the scrotum, 100% long this market at the 100% tippy-fucking-top. Hell, just yesterday Cramer was on the teevee talking “Dow 12,000,” yet here we are “submarining” into lunch.

My longs are getting hit today. But, overall, with 30% of my assets in [[TLT]] , 10% in [[VXX]] and a little baby position in [[SRS]] , I am doing far better than you, good sir. Oh, did I mention that I had another 30% in cash?

Enjoy the scenery.

[youtube:http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wfwVToBtvmE 616 500]

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Coming Soon to iBC: Trading Gorilla

I’ve purchased a real jungle type gorilla (not the zoo type variety), and will set him loose on the NYSE trading pits, with explicit sell orders on my behalf. Failure to recognize my “Trading Gorilla” will result in the immediate, and likely extremely punitive, lawsuit versus the cowards and species discriminators over at the exchange aka “the old boys club.” Let it be called the “old boys club,” plus a few “jungle variety gorillas.”

Krull, regarding the markets: This is too fucking funny. My favorite part is at the end. You will know what I mean, when you see it.

[youtube:http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Hreceqzr98Q&playnext_from=TL&videos=7THvSujWcT4&feature=sub 616 500]

LE UPDÁTE!

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Closing Comments

Ack, ack, ack. Ack ack aaaaaack 40 ack!

[youtube:http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_llGD0DikII 616 500]

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Servin’ Up 40 Points Like Grits in a Spit Pan

Come one, come all.

Come and git your rootin’ tootin’ 40 Dow points, as part as the stimuli program brought hither by our Leader and Commander, Mr. Blankfein.

Do not let your brain get in the way of a little, good ol’ fashioned money. Hell, I’m over here sick as a pig from eating, well, pig. And still, I gathered up enough of my wits to make me some lotto money in this here Flotek Industries, Inc. [[FTK]] . Let this be a reminder to any of you Yankee types out there, readying to lawyer up against our great leader: GET YOUR FUCKING 40 FIRST, you dumb son of a bitch!!! It’s free money out here, folks. All you have to do is git yourself a nice sized shovel. Make yourself a trench. Then go on the computers and click a few of them silly buttons, THEN BAM: money manufactured to put in the trench!

God I love America.

UPDATE
: I bought 2,500 Fuel Systems Solutions, Inc. [[FSYS]] @32.33

UPDATE II: Bought another 2,000 [[FSYS]] @ $32.85

UPDATE III: I bought 10,000 [[FTK]] @ $1.74.

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Real Estate Still Blows

I know the SaRS mobile is not for everyone. Over the past year, [[IYR]] has poleaxed all CRE shorts, thanks to the monster gains in Simon Property Group, Inc [[SPG]] , Vornado Realty Trust [[VNO]] and many other CRE names. However, there are some chinks in the armour [sic].

If I wasn’t sick to my stomach right now, I’d be digging further into shorting the following residential real estate plays.

Sun Communities, Inc. [[SUI]]

Apartment Investment and Management Co. [[AIV]]

UDR, Inc. [[UDR]]

Home Properties, Inc. [[HME]] and

Essex Property Trust, Inc. [[ESS]]

Come on already. Enough of the craziness. These fucking stocks, like many others, have run too far, based upon nothing. Keep in mind, I am not short any of these names. My entire representation in the space consists of a 20,000 share long position in [[SRS]] , cost basis $27.9. However, I’m just saying…

Oops: I forget that SRS split 5:1 today. My position is only 4,000 shares now.

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Absolutely Indifferent

Please excuse my absolute indifference for the market. While you were sleeping and dreaming of goats in boats, I was up all night fighting the Battle of Swine. Needless to say, the pig won, effectively dispatching Le Fly into the bathroom quarters for exorcist style upchucking.

As you read this now, I am held prisoner in my own home, awaiting the results of one half ounce of gatorade.

I see the market is green today, which should come to no one’s surprise. I am very happy to see my Flotek Industries, Inc. [[FTK]] position appreciate. With a little “lotto luck,” I will be selling it above $3.

Other positions worth your attention are TriQuint Semiconductor [[TQNT]] , Johnson Controls, Inc. [[JCI]] and [[CBD]] .

NOTE: [[TLT]] is up, so that’s good too.

Developing…

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Cramer is Preparing to Destroy People, Again

I didn’t bother turning on CNBC at 6pm (NYC time aka the only time that counts) today, since I was busy planning an egregious west coast vacation. But, one of my little lemmings came over, who was greeted with an immediate smack to the face for interrupting my favorite time of the day (6:47pm). He told me Cramer said Intel Corporation [[INTC]] is a double from present levels. Here we go with silly ol’, crazy ass Cramer again and again! By golly, that man is crazier than a ham sandwich, in Pakistan (as you know, that is indeed crazy)!

That is so fucked up, on so many levels. Where do I begin?

Okay, using consensus estimates and present FPE, Intel is cheap. As a matter of fact, if this current semi cycle can last forever, well, Intel will double, AND MORE. Inside of The PPT, Intel Corporation [[INTC]] is the #11 ranked stock, out of more than 4,000. So, it certainly is undervalued. With a FPE of 13 and net cash per share of about $2, Intel’s stock price can easily run to $30. But, for Cramer to go on the fucking teevee and suggest the company will add, oh, just another 120+ billion dollars in market cap, is more than ridiculous; it’s criminal.

Not criminal in the sense that he should share a cell with Charles Manson; but criminal in the failure to behave like an adult on the teevee, which of course, as you know, is punishable by death via wooden stake to the heart in Iran, Romania and parts of South East Mongolia.

Seriously and sincerely, Cramer needs to take his fucking meds again and do a little research on the boom and bust nature of the semiconductor cycle. While it’s true, all recent reports point to a severe shortage in Flash and DRAM memory chips, as well as bustling capacity utilization at all of the major foundries; I’ve seen this shit happen before and it always ends badly.

When investing in semis, remember this story:

I once had a client who loved SanDisk Corporation [[SNDK]] . We bought SNDK for around $10ish, back in 2003, just prior to the big run up. When the stock hit $60, my client was feeling all rich and shit, full of purpose and circumstance. His position was quite large and the paper gain made him pompous to the point that he became my most hilarious client of all time. Needless to say, when the shit hit the fan, he was woefully unprepared. As always, he refused to heed my dire warnings. Into the teeth of the 2008 decline, he ended up selling his position $2 points higher from his cost basis. Then I had to go out there and perform voodoo magic on his account, via shorting stocks, to make him feel better about himself. I am sure the roller-coaster ride inflicted his manhood in the most heinous of ways, putting limpy on the “blue pill” indefinitely. I have to admit, I was delighted by the whole ordeal. It made for great afternoon drama back then.

I have lots of stories, like the one above. The moral is: The NY Mets are the worst team in baseball, save the nonsense dished out from the fucking Pirates every year. And, semiconductor cycles are as reliable as first marriages or high school sweethearts.

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