iBankCoin
18 years in Wall Street, left after finding out it was all horseshit. Founder/ Master and Commander: iBankCoin, finance news and commentary from the future.
Joined Nov 10, 2007
23,471 Blog Posts

RETAIL IS BACK

With TJX, BBBY, ARO, just to name a few, ripping higher, it’s fair to say retail is back. What’s interesting about this move is the fact that retail has sucked for about a year. Before we get the reality of spring sales, the fantasy of a better than expected result lives.

Here are some dogs worth a look, with three month returns.

 

COH -13%

LULU -24%

NUS -33%

ZQK -11%

FWM -56%

BONT -42%

CONN -41%

JCP -39%

BBY -34%

ULTA -29%

FIVE -27%

ARO -26%

KKD -24%

EXPR -24%

GNC -17%

TFM -16%

BBBY -13%

DSW -12%

Here’s the play. Buy your favorite dog into the spring thaw, when rumors of private equity buyout and consumer revival are at their highest. Then sell, mind you, before that fantasy gets debunked. Ultimately, this is a game of expectations. For now, I am betting on GNC, BBBY and SALE. However, I do like ULTA and EXPR too.

 

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23 comments

  1. TheHarper

    you could always go with sexual harrasment and APP

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  2. matt_bear

    LULU.

    the broads will be hitting up yoga class and spin class too to get ready for their summer “beach” body, which for most isn’t really different than fall and winter.

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    • yoshii11

      Ahh, Spring, back in the college days was there ever a better time during the schoolyear on a college campus, other than Spring? The time where you wonder where they were all this time during fall/winter, and then BAM!….how you doin’?

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    • heckler

      Spring fever. Spring chickens. It’s like two different worlds here in Seattle. God bless the man who invented stretchy tight yoga pants

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  3. TheDutchTouch

    At Cal State Long Beach when all the girls shed their “winter” boots and long overcoats because the weather starts warming up above 72 degrees again. Those are the days.

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  4. mr.partridge

    Long TJX

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  5. ripper

    fly, what’s your take on HK?

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  6. ironbird

    Need to front run ASCO. Pikers will show up in these hallowed halls pumping more than a few biocraps at the top of the ASCO cycle. Happens every year. ONVO looks playable h/t to RC.

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  7. one-eighty

    http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2014-02-05/fed-seen-expanding-use-of-reverse-repo-facility-by-shaw-s-sack.html

    The Toronto Globe and Mail says that this is already taking more money out of the system than QE is putting in.

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  8. gatorsun

    ulta..pump it

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  9. flyaway17

    I am long, LULU (up $7 in one month, reports 3-27), ULTA (up $8 in one month, reports 3-13), JOEZ (up .25 since earnings a week ago) and SHLD (bouncing from a low of mid-30s earlier this month.) I’d say buy any on any decent pullback, the 3-month timeframe can be a bit deceiving.

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  10. The Fly

    The fag box link is in today’s task blog

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  11. brian

    With all due respect Fly, ULTA lost CEO and CFO and their mojo back a few months ago. Multiple is not the same, and will not be until leadership proves otherwise. No change so far. Good blueprint for growth story, but need the jockeys on the horses.

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  12. razorsedge

    jcp…

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