iBankCoin
18 years in Wall Street, left after finding out it was all horseshit. Founder/ Master and Commander: iBankCoin, finance news and commentary from the future.
Joined Nov 10, 2007
23,455 Blog Posts

BEHOLD: Amazing Consistency

A great man once said “it only happens because you let it.”

Natural gas stocks are in play. The commodity is the biggest winner of 2011, so far. Shares of SD, CHK and GMXR look great. Nevertheless, I am trained to believe it’s all bullshit. So, I will refrain from chasing. Although I am long GTE, OXY and WTI, I am really more into MOTR-boating and buying up shares of social-networking plays, things of that nature. I hop from thesis to thesis because I get bored easily. While you fat fuckers smoke cigarettes in your cars, windows rolled up, “The Fly” is taking down baseball player annual wages.

Are you going to teach us all how to invest? Fuck off, no one gives a shit.

Due to the spike in yields, the Fed is now insolvent, for all intents and purposes. However, since they are into expanding the money supply, they can simply print-buy Treasuries until they are blue in the face. If you think about it, Bernanke’s mandate has been achieved, as estimated inflation is now around 3%, up from 2%. Yields have gone up; but, nominally, after inflation, they are lower. Ben is a fucking genius; but he will need to get bailed out by Congress, whenever he decides to contract the money supply. His insolvency will be revealed when he decides to sell Treasuries. Because of this fact, I believe he will not be able to control inflation, when needed. When will he sell?

Answer: when inflation gets too hot.

You should know, the Fed doesn’t give a shit about commodity inflation. They only care about wage inflation. Commodities are temporary phenomenons, but wages last for awhile.

With my money, I am hoping for a dip, in order to allocate my last 10% of cash reserves. I am convinced, with the conviction of an innocent man on deathrow, that we trade higher, all based around the laws of science, dictated by the Earth, Sun and the Moon.

NOTE: The PPT will be blessed with a Social Networking Index sometime today.

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24 comments

  1. The Zombie

    THE FLY IS GOD!!

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    • robby_pvb

      you are a feckin’ eejit

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    • J

      Zombie…

      Dude all the best for the new year. How long are you going to keep this up as I think it’s been three years now.

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  2. TJWP

    First.
    Also,
    If you continue to read this blog, and cannot see value: Either start tracking the picks made by ANY of the bloggers or do yourself a favor and stop investing your or other people’s money.

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  3. The Earl of Braveflaps
    The Earl of Braveflaps

    Could it be that your winship is causing birds to fall dead from the sky?

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  4. The Big Ragu

    Fly still think yields will go down in January?

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    • Dr Genius

      Nothing goes up in a straight line. Dont underestimate the power of the FED.

      If you want an example, look no further than crude. All of those bullish traders betting on $100 crude is getting smoked right now. My guess is that $80-90 is the new range for the first half of 2011.

      With that in mind, I dont think that the economy is ready for a skyrocketing yield just yet. Ben Bernanke probably agrees with me.

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  5. Yabollox

    High unemployment is the answer to wage inflation.

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  6. Freddy Fishsticks
    Freddy Fishsticks

    Agreed!

    May 2013

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  7. stinkystank

    I certainly give a shit and love it when you delve into the deeper workings of your investment theories. I am very anxious to hear more of your thoughts surrounding the Social Networking plays.

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  8. The_Real_Hmmm

    Ben’s wage inflation is being supplanted by portfolio inflation. Soon we’ll all be able to take out NELOCs (Nest Egg Lines of Credit) to buy food for the burgeoning third world countries.

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  9. sniper6

    Doubled my pos in CHK today . Now I have 2 shares LOL

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  10. drummerboy

    saints be praised fig.ly

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  11. theedge111

    Wage inflation?

    HA!….There is zero risk there? Insolvent companies cannot afford to raise wages. Bernanke is a fucking moron who is destroying this country.

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  12. Juiceyfruit

    Herr Fly, can I interest you in the Latino Facebook , QPSA??

    take a look see .. check in with the wife on that one

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  13. Hank Moody

    Que pasa?

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  14. Hank Moody

    You guys might as well start cooking meth and getting your kids to sell it, maybe they’ll have more of a chance that way. Bill Gross: “We are like female mantises eating up the future generation.”

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  15. Jimmy Mock

    George

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