iBankCoin
18 years in Wall Street, left after finding out it was all horseshit. Founder/ Master and Commander: iBankCoin, finance news and commentary from the future.
Joined Nov 10, 2007
23,466 Blog Posts

Will September Rape You?

Some people told you to “go away in May.” Others said “the summer will fuck up your portfolios.” Now, those same people bring you a featured presentation called “September Will Rape You.”

Brought to you by the good folks who invented the credit crisis: September is being hyped up as some sort of jack in the box for investors; whereby when the music ends, it jumps out and punches you in the face with a knife.

Believe you me, I’ve played with this organic jack in the box before and it never misses. So, with that in mind, get your 3d glasses ready and prepare to enjoy the show.

Barron’s published a “hit piece” on the refiners, this past weekend, hitting my Tesoro Corporation [[TSO]] , Holly Corporation [[HOC]] and Western Refining, Inc. [[WNR]] positions. And, oil is getting fucked up something awesome this morning, effectively tossing the market into a garbage truck filled with only jack in the boxes.

With my money, I will sit tight and wait for this little sell-off to pass, then load the fuck up on Sonus Networks, Inc. [[SONS]] , Starent Networks Corp. [[STAR]] , Tesoro Corporation [[TSO]] and General Cable Corporation [[BGC]] . I WILL NOT short this decline, despite having loads of idle cash just sitting here eating pretzels.

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40 comments

  1. tm

    tmIG (TM is gay)

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  2. Maria Fart a Roma
    Maria Fart a Roma

    Atta boy!

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  3. Fly Leech

    I like the title, it almost sounds like a song title. I can imagine it , sung by Sinatra or maybe Andy Williams

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    • TraderCaddy

      Could be a song by Willie Nelson or The Wiggles also.

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      • TheArtist

        I’m not hearing this country,
        more like GodSmack or Tool?
        maybe Rage Against the Machine?

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  4. Aris

    the fact that cnbc is pushing this sept bullshit makes me think it’s going to end up being a big pile of nothing.

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  5. HenryFool

    beeeeeeelch

    What Fly said.

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  6. Mr. Leonard Dykstra

    I don’t know about September, but October can kick your ass. I was once Mr. October before I was Nails. IMO, the spam filter does not need to vary the question? It could be 2+2 = every time?

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  7. TheArtist

    I’m not invested in UNG, I’m not playing the hurricane theme this year…played it last year.
    but UNG for those that got in 2-3 weeks ago is today blowing chunks of potted meat.

    which that Blowing Chunks of Potted Meat TradderCaddy, sounds more like Willey Nelson’s newest release….

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  8. Cosmo Spacely

    STAR is the FTK and STSA of the market. Stay away from that POS. It has nothing to offer but a candy bar and kick to the nuts.

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    • The Fly

      You know nothing about stocks. Go back to your den and watch reruns of All in the Family.

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      • WardandJuneCleaver
        WardandJuneCleaver

        Or Leave It To Beaver. We need the ratings. Archie Bunker and The Meathead don’t need more viewers.
        Thank you for your patronage.

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  9. Polar Bear

    Greetings Fly, What do you make of the action in GLW today? Makes me wanna sell some Sept puts here … Thoughts?

    -Polar Bear

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  10. Roar-ee

    I’m waiting for the American Clean Energy and Security Act of 2009 to get shot down in the Senate before going long on the refiners. The independent refiners are literally shitting their pants over the possibility of this thing passing. Check out http://www.capitolconnect.com/voicesforenergy/ . Under this regime, refiners would only be granted permits for 2% of the nation’s GH emissions even though they currently produce one third of US GHG emissions. Reliance has huge export oriented refineries that have recently come online and Saudi and Kuwait are not far behind. We are going to see a tremendous proliferation in refined products trading which will reduce demand for domestically refined products. This will also create the illusion that we are becoming more efficient as our crude imports will decrease even though it will be offset by refined product imports coming from places where they don’t give a damn about emissions. Right now, WTI storage is maxed out and shittier crudes trade at a premium to WTI. This sucks goat balls for refiners such as WNR who have laid out massive expenditures to upgrade their gear to be able to run sour crudes.

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    • Juice

      If they’re shitting, why did WNR insiders purchase $4 million worth of company stock in June?

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  11. hooper

    Fly: Do you like TSYS here?

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  12. TA

    This has to be the most expected decline in history. The market loves to frustrate as much as possible so a head fake followed by a boatload of nothing would not suprise me.

    I too am siting this bitch out

    UNG is indeed a huge pile of crap
    Until I see a higher low on it, forget it

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  13. The Fly

    We need some Cane action

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  14. DrewDog

    Fly,

    Still holding TSTR? I am thinking it could be a possible l/t play, with gov’t contracts just around the corner.

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  15. j

    Ignore strength in the Yen. There’s a new government is that place that is promising to spend loads of money on a leftist spending binge while their running a debt to GDP ratio of 180%.

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    • The_Real_Hmmmm

      I’ve already heard comparisons of him to Obama. Did you see that the Japanese govt is offering $3K to parents each year per new child to stop the shrinking (and aging) population. Not only are we undergoing a global monetary reflation but also a human one, call it SUMOFLATION. I would not want to be long yen in any way or form.

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    • DMG

      Yakuza run that country and its politics. Smoke and mirrors.

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  16. The Fly

    still own tstr

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