This is “balls on the guillotine” trading, where the bears are having their eyebrows punched off in perpetuity. Aside from my early morning sales of [[CDNS]] and [[CAVM]], I am still all in, aside from a 25% cash position.
You stupid bastards need to understand: the market doesn’t care about your homofied press clippings or rumors of insolvency. The market, as always, takes the path of maximum pain. Unfortunately, for the bears, max pain means we trade higher, until they are reduced to picking sandwiches out of NYC trash cans or begging for apples in Los Angeles.
For a down day, this is as benign as it can get, with loser banks dropping and heavily shorted stocks sticking green shoots in the ears of unlucky bears. Mind you, the government sponsored stress test is the most idiotic thing ever concocted by the U.S. Treasury, and they know it. Because of this simple fact, I refuse to believe the news will rock the markets.
People, it’s just one big circle jerk to nowhere, while the SEC creates new/interesting ways to stick short sellers into dog cages.
“The Fly” made even more coin today, spearheaded by the frenetic buying action in [[FTK]] and [[CAVM]] (sold). In short, try to resist selling short stocks. If you are uncomfortable being long, go to cash and eat a sandwich.
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I’m still short 100,000 shares of LVS from $1.60
I will stay long AND eat a sandwich.
Dude…
Maria Bartiromo needs to lose weight, I can see her beer belly…kind of like the Fly’s after the infamous Sundays BBQs.
late but fig
I’m up over 60% ytd buying garbagio. This is wierd. Very wierd.
skiff needs some love
Here in LA, we beg for oranges.
Fly — I don’t think you’re going to want to miss tonight’s show.
Should be hi-larity.
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insane FTK action ala Fly… beauty… you have to be up at least 50k with that, you fucker.. i mean, ur uhm, congrats be had by fly’s the world over.
Net short and stealing lemons just in case.
If you loved FTK at $16 your really gonna love it at $3
I was able to increase my PnL today as well by .85% via the death spiral in HME and a modest rise in FAZ. Granted my DXO and UNG positions had minimal losses the shorts more than made up for this.
If I was to choose I would say that we may bug zapper toward 950 before anyone gives a fuck about downside concerns. I am not pressing any bets however I am staying massively long energy and leverage short financials and CRE.
All in all I didn’t do much today myself other than enter a trade in DIG only to be forced to sell it due to risk concerns 5 minutes later.
Off to eat a pizza, I like my shit piping hot unlike Fly.
Plaese tell me that at least one of you leeches caught (NCS)after my alert yesterday?
ppt top 10 etf’s
No. Ticker Acc/Dist Price Perf. Rel. Strength Volatility Volume Final Score
1 FNI 5 4 2 4 5 4.15
2 MWJ 4 5 5 5 3 4.14
3 EDC 4 5 5 3 4 4.09
4 TAN 5 4 1 5 4 4.05
5 PSP 5 4 1 3 5 4
6 CFX 5 4 1 5 3 4
7 RWF 5 4 1 4 5 3.96
8 PXH 5 4 2 4 1 3.95
9 JKI 5 4 2 3 5 3.92
10 IGN
Oy vey…
You Can’t See These, They’re Publicity Photos!
“The $328,835 snapshots of an Air Force One backup plane buzzing lower Manhattan last week will not be shown to the public, the White House said yesterday,” reports the New York Post:
“We have no plans to release them,” an aide to President Obama told The Post, refusing to comment further.
The sole purpose of the secret photo-op, which sent thousands of New Yorkers running for cover, was to take new publicity shots of the presidential jet over the city.
“The photos . . . are classified–that’s ridiculous,” Councilman Peter Vallone Jr., said.
The photos have not technically been “classified,” a White House aide said, but they are being kept from public view.
Apparently the Obama administration’s policy is to release photos only when doing so might pose a danger to national security.
Doh! Snap!
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I’ve heard there are restrictions on shorting QLD for some reason. Anyone know what’s going on? Tried several times yesterday and today to short QLD, and getting no shares available on AMTD and ETFC. ETFC says there are curbs in place.
This administration has made some very newbish mistakes.
Fucking Obama and his tax-eating communist pretenders. Playing make-believe in the Office of the Presidency. What a fucking joke. Nearly 1/3 of a million of our tax dollars for a “photo shoot”. I despise these fucking asshats with every fiber of my being…
Mush,
Newbish mistakes is a grave understatement. These morons are the most reckless, economically illiterate, morally bankrupt, illogical, ideology-driven buffoons every to hold public office this high up the food chain. It’s gut-wrenching watching these clowns in “action” day after day…
If they were publicity photos to begin with, then a little transparency on the matter would be a good political move to just say “I’m sorry, we didn’t think that through good”.
On the other hand, what if they weren’t a publicity shot, but something else, then the photos being classified would make perfect sense.
This is fucking outrageous!
http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601087&sid=aoL.8rhA45Jo&refer=home
omfgitsjd,
Maybe they were dusting greedy New York bankers with silly dust.
u think that’s outrageous? they aren’t going to pay back teh $ they o the gubmint either. f@cking stalin would be proud.
Jim,
Go long QID instead of trying to short QLD.
@gapping,
Why is that ridiculous? Please.
Up 7% for the year. Primarily in picking up utillities and mutual funds during excessive lows over the previous six months. I have no intention of selling until 2032. This whole debacle is going to serve me well a few years down the road. I’ve been pumping quite a bit into those areas while everything was beaten down. I’m 60% utilities, purchased over the whole cycle of their lows, 30% in diversified mutual funds (same deal), 5% made money for weird trades, and 5% cash. These utilities will be giving me egregious dividends and increasing in value over time while the rest of you flip your money back and forth till it’s gone. LOL.
Kilometer – http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fIy9bk3Ldqw
Alvari40,
QID is a perishable equity – Jim is correct to short QLD instead of buying QID if he’s thinking of shorting equities. If he’s long the market, he should short QID, etc. The leveraged ETF’s spoil with time like a rotten apple. You can make money even when you’re wrong about the direction of the market because of the slippage or at least experience less pain.
Anyway, I want to second Jim’s question… has anyone else experienced any issues shorting leveraged ETF’s? I also experienced the same thing and heard several others having problems.
Cheers!
@gapping
I feel the rage, bro. Break out the aqua plank.
@cuervos
go back to your nerd castle and play with a rocket.
Renn, it is not slippage that causes the decay of the double ETFs, but instead the volatility causes an erosion due to the leverage.
I have shorted the levered ETFs numerous times, usually without issue. However, this has become a very very popular trade as it is money. My theory is that most of the shares available to short have been shorted by large hedgies or other firms and are now unavailable to retail.
LOL @ Nerd Castle.
Omfg — before you lulz yourself to sleep, take a look at the five year chart of CEG.
If you think they were the only utility with grenades in their underwear drawer, well…. y’all better be prepared!
__________
__________
Nerd Castles are where rapunzels are tied up and whipped with wet noodles until they give in to answering the torturious math questions.
wood wrote:
I have shorted the levered ETFs numerous times, usually without issue. However, this has become a very very popular trade as it is money. My theory is that most of the shares available to short have been shorted by large hedgies or other firms and are now unavailable to retail.
That brought an interesting thought to mind. If the levered ETFs, especially the inverse levered ETFs, are heavily shorted, what might the impact be if the SEC restricts short selling again. It would be an interesting battle of forces in the case of inverse ETFs.
But, when I checked a handful of diETFs and iETFs on nasdaq.com, that site didn’t show any short interest data beyond last October. Newer triple inverse faceplant ETFs don’t show any short interest data for any date.
Did you do any of your shorting more recently than October 2008, Wood?
hate to post back to back but GM is announcing a 100 for 1 reverse stock split.
yummie yummie. can’t wait, this ought to bring GM’s stock up to at least 3 bucks after the sell off and all.
…then the gov’t will just do another 100 for 1 reverse split.
Jake,
I prefer the utilities that would take an interest in CEG, but with the way the pendulum swings, it might be a perfectly good opportunity. I started getting heavy after the bottom fell out knowing that they will recover. When CEG hit a low at 16 I was having a Cow that I didn’t have immediate cash available to jump on it. Buffet did though, like the shark he is.
Cuervos Laugh:
Because the government is using it to force a vote in one direction for Chrysler. This is a very very bad thing. Bottom line they are outing them so society will get pissed at them and do the same thing they did to the AIG execs, send death threats and other horrible things. This they expect will cause the lenders to go ahead and take the proposal of pennies on the dollar in order to avoid the lashing! Truly outrageous! Trust me I am not the only person that feels this way.
ottnot, I read somewhere that the nasdaq elected to stop publishing short interest data. I don’t know how to determine short interest in the levered ETFs, and I have never tried to do so.
Yes, I have shorted them since October, mainly SSO.
There should be limited to no impact on existing short positions if the SEC updates the uptick rule. They are not talking about restricting short selling but rather instituting some sort of bid test or circuit breaker. Again, I don’t think this will affect existing short positions, except that it might cause a squeeze. In fact, I don’t see how some of the proposed changes could apply to ETFs.
Reverse split would moonshot the DJIA value, until GM is sold off of course.
wood:
Nasdaq.com still gives short interest data up to the most recent release (currently Apr 15) for any stock I checked, so I don’t know what the deal is with ETF short interest.
They are not talking about restricting short selling but rather instituting some sort of bid test or circuit breaker.
I expect that they’d consider just about any move against shorters – both existing and potential – if the market was going down hard. Rule changes (see Mark-to-Mood accounting, for example) are the least expensive (in the short-term) tool available to the Fed and Gov’t.
Has there ever been a 1-100 reverse or forward of any DOW component? This is going to be great to see.
Ottnot, regarding the SEC and changing of the short selling rules, this is not conjecture. The proposed changes are up for public comment.
http://www.sec.gov/news/press/2009/2009-76.htm
Some of our very own iBCers have left comments. You’ll find them because they have included “egregious” within their comments.
My mistake, I should have clarified that was just for daytrading fools like myself – I do not hold these positions overnight.
Smith and wesson how much higher will it go?
Went 2 to 7 in 5 weeks
New post up…
Well, at least Gappy will like it… 😉
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OMFG – Reading those uptick rule short sell ban comments. Are people so fucking stupid
‘Short selling was responsible for the crash in the stock market’
‘ short selling caused my portfolio to lose value.
‘short selling was the reason behind the stock market turmoil’
What a bunch of fucking morons. Short selling was the cause of the market crash and economic problems ? Not fucking banks giving money to deadbeats to buy homes they couldn’t afford at artificially inflated prices. Fuck this shit. The comment section is a Who’s Who of Dumbasses. dUMBEST fucking morons in the world.
@Kiwin – divisor gets adjusted. Won’t move anything.
http://tinyurl.com/d6hqsl
Shed – all of the “egregious” references on the site you reference.
Obviously, some of those aren’t iBCers.
Here is my original post since some of you might have missed it.
http://www.ibankcoin.com/woodshedderblog/index.php/2009/04/21/leave-a-comment-for-the-sec-about-the-uptick-rule/
Wood,
Gonna get my 890 soon on the ES – glad I held…
Told you guys we were going DOWN. BAC needs an additional $34B. Gap DOWN tomorrow. Pigs get slaughtered. So do cows.
Have a great night.
@Yogi: Thanks for the correction.
It looks like GM will convert a load of its debt into 60 billion shares, sending the share price into the ground, and then perform the 1-100 reverse split.
Fly,
Any love for NXG before earnings?
Good job bro..your killing it!!
DEVILDOG stuck his head up over 900 and saw his shadow. 6 more weeks of winter bitches.
Thanks DD, I’m 100% short…
Any of you caught this ?
Chrysler won’t repay bailout money
http://money.cnn.com/2009/05/05/news/companies/chrysler_loans/index.htm?cnn=yes
Ain’t that some shit! “Chrysler LLC will not repay U.S. taxpayers more than $7 billion in bailout money it received earlier this year and as part of its bankruptcy filing.
This revelation was buried within Chrysler’s bankruptcy filings last week and confirmed by the Obama administration Tuesday. ”
It gets better.
“The Obama administration official said that other money being made available to Chrysler, such as the $4.7 billion that will go to the company as it exits bankruptcy, will be a loan that the government expects to be paid back. ”
How the fuck can they say or guarantee that piece of shit Fiatslyer can pay back that money! Some fuckt up conspiracy going on. It’s like this fucking administration just throwing yours and my money away.
DDog Happy Cinco fucker! BAC worth about 60B need to raise 30 ouch? All is Well? Right?
DEVILDOG- Bank of America needing $34 billion of capital is great news. The more money the banks need the higher the market goes. Its the new economy stupid. Losing money is good. Diluting shareholders is an instant 50% stock price jump. Get with the program DD.
If the market is not up another 200 points tomorrow I’ll bathe in sulfuric acid.
Lazy, I’m net short 25% of my capital, and the rest in cash.
Tomorrow will be pleasant, to say the least. And as I have the futures at near 890 right now, I think you’re right. We’ll get an even better exit.
don’t jinx it guys. just let it happen. ride it down. LOL.
CAP, the bullshit party is over. Turn out the lights.
S-O-R-R-Y Chivas!
I’m only going for a 50% retrace on the bar from Monday, you sir, have nuts of iron.
lol@chivas. I am bad luck. I will keep my mouth shut.
Denninger all over it tonight..
GM Shareholders …POOF!!
http://market-ticker.org/
This plus BAC needing 34 Billion… That got to be the most bullish news all year… GREEN SHOOTS ALL UP IN YOUR ASS!!!
I’m riding it down to NEW LOWS. Buckle up bulls.
I’m just trying to understand the Fly’s comments about Mrs. Fly when he had household chores to do and that the sting of the whip was sharp. Was she wearing black leather boots? How often does this happen?
Goldie,
THE story of the day tomorrow… NO doubt about it.
lazy man,
Can you say “flight to safety”?? Government will have no problem selling treasuries now..
Thanks Goldie for that post, I needed a shot of the Bear … I was just on the NYT and a bunch of green shoot articles were overwhelming me