iBankCoin
18 years in Wall Street, left after finding out it was all horseshit. Founder/ Master and Commander: iBankCoin, finance news and commentary from the future.
Joined Nov 10, 2007
23,444 Blog Posts

Pandemic Fears Are Greatly Exaggerated

Lenny Dykstra was born in Canada. That should settle the petty, idiotic Canada versus U.S. debate in the message boards. Once again, the sooner you fuckers realize that your opinion means nothing, the happier you will be not giving it.

As for the markets:

I am a bit worried about this Swine Flu bullshit. I mean, the economy cannot handle a fucking pandemic right now. With that in mind, I will probably get long a variety of “flu plays.” I provided a good list on PPT.

For now, chill the fuck out and enjoy the weather. Go eat some BBQ pig and tell some illegal Mexicans to wash their hands.

UPDATE:

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81 comments

  1. Mushroomz

    HOGS is my pork swine play. I already own a couple thousand shares, and still scaling in. Their factories are clean (relatively speaking of course) and Mexico’s’ fuck up could help the Chinese Pork industry.

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  2. mike

    What about bird flu? Is it safe to eat chicken again?

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  3. mike

    I am short HOG. Will the new pandemic work in my favor?

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  4. TraderCaddy

    The problem is that it is probably illegal Mexicans who are cooking and then serving the BBQ pig.

    Restaurant tips (if you must eat out).
    Before eating out it would now be prudent to first check the bathrooms and make sure they have soap, hot water, and an air dryer that you can hit with your elbow to avoid hand contact. Also flush the toilet with your foot (unless it’s an automatic) and whatever you do don’t touch the door handle with your hand. Wait until the guy in front of you leaves and then kick it with your foot.

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  5. GARR

    John Frusciante was given life from the guitar gods on mount fender.

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  6. JakeGint

    I am short HOG. Will the new pandemic work in my favor?

    I was this close to cracking that joke last night, and then I said… “naaaaah, too cheap!”

    That’ll teach me.

    😉

    _______

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  7. crude_oil

    Swine Flu is not permitted to enter Hawaii.

    It may interfere with the Korean Missile’s

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  8. JakeGint

    Check out the drummer in this vid….

    Is that Will Ferrell??

    _____

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  9. mike

    Jake,
    it’s the truth!

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  10. TraderCaddy,

    Don’t forget to use the low situated urinal as well. It keeps you from floating in the receptacle as well as avoid the stray pubes inhabiting the rim…

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  11. JakeGint

    Reposted from prior blog site. Canada v. US pales in comparison to the importance of this subject.

    Another reason to gtfo of New York before they start blowing shit up downtown again.

    _________

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  12. Junk Spread

    Jake,

    Chad Smith. Dead ringer for Will though. I believe they were split from the same embryo or zygote or some shit. You can always tell the difference from the man-boobs. Will’s are more prominent…

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  13. TraderCaddy

    I would guess the usual crap stocks (and I do mean crap):
    GNBT, SVA, HEB, NVAX (up 75% on Fri. and 35% in AH), etc. etc.
    Don’t stay too long though.

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  14. Goldie

    Cronkite did not post THIS article??
    $SPX 590 here we come..

    Insider Selling Jumps to Highest Level Since 2007

    http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=newsarchive&sid=au8cyqeJFifg

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  15. Damon

    It’s nice to be living in a uber-clean air, small little town, isolated from the herpes-laden viral isotopes, with an ultra-low population of cross-border inhabitants.

    Having said that, I think we will eventually see that Janet “scissorkick” Napolitano is a greater threat than this swine-avian-human flu virus will end up being.

    I say this will prove likely as a result of ignorant, and overall rotten, decision making by DHS.

    Oseltamivir phosphate will be better than gold soon.

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  16. Mushroomz

    I hope you guys saw the end of the NASCAR race today. People could have died. A couple more feet and a Ford Taurus would have flown into the grandstands at 200 mph..

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  17. T MOE

    I don’t think the swine will effect the market that much, unless it really starts to spread like wild fire.
    The market is overbought right now IMO. I have been saying that for three weeks now and have been wrong, so be it. Unemployment is continuing to rise. Unemployment rate will go to double digits soon. There are a lot of people who have not been able to get a job in a year and their unemployment payments are expiring. WTF are they going to do. Surely there will be a lot more foreclosures, and not these will not be foreclosures of speculators investment properties, it will be families getting the boot. Remember over something like almost 60% of the modified mortgages re-defaulted. I don’t know if we will see panic like November and October, but there will be a retest of the lows. Maybe not a cascade down but a slow grind down. People will go into survival mode. If they would have let the shitty, lying, cocksucking bankers go under and then other healthy banks, weather it be regionals or small banks pick up the pieces, The bottom would have been hit and things would be getting better. But they had to give money to bailout the billionare bankers. Our money!

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  18. Woodshedder

    I’ve got the futures down 1.4%, with the selloff starting from the market open, when they gapped down and dropped almost 10 points from Friday’s close.

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  19. JakeGint

    Over under bet anyone?

    What’s the “over/under” on the week Jet fans start referring to their new QB as “Dirty?”

    __________

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  20. masterpain

    Who do I trust? Me! … Tony Montana

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  21. 308

    so what’s everyone’s pandemic short?

    Pork producers?
    Travel Companies that deal with Mexico?

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  22. schizo1688

    hope you catch the pig flu fly, YA PRICK !!

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  23. j-daddy

    TraderCaddy,
    I’d put the non-elbow-activated hand dryer low on the relative threat list. Just about anyone that pushes the button has just washed their hands.

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  24. GA

    I only have to look at DrudgeReport.com to know that people are or will be worried.

    The market needed any reason to sell off, this is as good as any.

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  25. Mushroomz

    Kick ass video! PPT FTW!

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  26. London

    If you don’t already have a decent semi-official daily source for this sort of thing, I recommend promedmail.org.

    Based on what I know, I would not underestimate this one. Compared to H5N1, this looks like “the little bird flu that could”… It’s got all the ingredients (for a major market catalyst): Cytokine storm, a novel combination of avian/swine/human flu genes, human-to-human, already multi-continental, “higher mortality than 1918”, travel restrictions, quarantines and isolation… a veritable Marilyn Monroe of multifarious market maiming malevolance.

    Just wanted to get that in while we’re all still taking it lightly…

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  27. RC

    Shrooms,

    did you like the ending? did you see the very last seconds? Pure gold.

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  28. Nice Video for the PPT!!

    LMFAO @ the guy who fell(kicked?) down the stairs

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  29. norcal

    Resurrecting the bird flu plays, circa 2006 (updated):
    ENDP
    DVAX
    VICL
    CLDX
    AVII
    CRXL
    HEB
    NVAX
    BCRX
    ALNY
    GNBT
    QGEN
    SVA
    QDEL
    GILD
    FRX
    SNY
    RHHBY
    NVS
    GSK
    DGX
    PPHM
    NNVC

    Related 2006 Article:
    http://moneycentral.msn.com/content/P144404.asp

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  30. TheArtist

    Nothing could be more exciting to the CDC than to scare the shit out of everyone about the stupid fucking sausage virus.

    just another way for them to get more federal money.

    they will probably announce to go buy 100 rolls of duck tape and plastic again…..

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  31. GARR

    Trent Reznor was given life from the synth gods on mount moog.

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  32. alphadawgg

    …”I am a bit worried about this Swine Flu bullshit.”

    That’s because you live in NY. This could very well be one of those “man-made disasters”.

    Escape to Mayberry RFD.

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  33. GARR

    Its oddly convenient to have a “flu” pandemic collide at this time.
    A la sell in may go away, anyone, bueller?

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  34. Goldie

    There ain’t no fucking “stress test” report to save bulltards this week boyz. Hope you are not long.

    Martin Armstrong strikes again.

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  35. Damon

    Flu Futures are ugly.

    Lock limit down at the open, perhaps?

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  36. T MOE

    Goldie

    Don’t tell everyone about Armstrong. If everyone starts reading his work there will be less fools out there. We need the fools to succeed

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  37. Mushroomz

    S&P futures down 1.74% Get in your fucking bomb shelters.

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  38. omfgitsjd

    This is an interesting man made disaster.
    http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JxxoBSVQaVg

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  39. Goldie

    T MOE my bad LOL!!

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  40. GNBT or BCRX? which has more upside, which has more downside?

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  41. JakeGint

    Don’t tell everyone about Armstrong. If everyone starts reading his work there will be less fools out there. We need the fools to succeed.

    Don’t worry, if he’s the asshat that’s kept you short for the last six weeks, I don’t want to know him.

    😉

    _____

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  42. El Chinadero

    unverified rambling:
    Avian flu was deadly but hadn’t mutated to become easily transferable between people. (The 1918 flu was much less deadly than avian flu, but so many people were infected it killed an est. 20 to 100 million people)

    The current swine flu already has that ability, but is not so deadly, yet.
    If it starts spreading like crazy (the weaker form) then odds increase it will mutate into a more deadly variety.

    My granparents went from Phila (where dead bodies were stacked in the streets)to Idaho to escape.

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  43. j did you short the peso? (mexican that is)

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  44. Pale Rider

    more fear mongering – sleep tight

    1918 flu
    Even in areas where mortality was low, those incapacitated by the illness were often so numerous as to bring much of everyday life to a stop

    Among the conclusions of this research is that the virus kills via a cytokine storm (overreaction of the body’s immune system) which explains its unusually severe nature and the concentrated age profile of its victims. The strong immune systems of young adults ravaged the body, whereas the weaker immune systems of children and middle-aged adults caused fewer deaths.

    http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/1918_flu_pandemic

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  45. Damon

    Like the horseshoe crab and the blob,

    iBC & The Fly will survive this latest version of human Armageddon.

    Who was the smart-ass who started posting about the flu on this thread, anyway?

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  46. Hamsterdam

    For you fans of The Wire: today’s news puts me in mind of a bit from Season 5 (maybe 4). Does anyone else remember it?

    Scene opens on yet another ratty Baltimore corner, at which stands a multistory apartment building against a cold blue sky. The camera tilts a bit oddly up into the blue. There are no people, just silence.

    Finally, after a few seconds, the off-camera voice of a slinger advertising his brand bounces ominously down the barren block:

    PAN-DEMIC! PAN-DEMIC!

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  47. wawaweewa

    LOl at futures…………..

    oh wait………..lol at………longs!!!!!!!!

    (we’ll prob be back to 865 to fill that gap)

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  48. Mushroomz

    This is going to be wayyy worse than Y2K.

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  49. Goldie

    No gap fill this time. That is soooo last week 😉

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  50. Goldie

    There WILL be blood.

    http://www.cnbc.com/id/17689937/site/14081545/

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  51. wawaweewa

    That’s what the perma bears have said for the past 4 weeks.

    Orgasmically cheering every .1% drop.

    THIS IS IT! THIS IS IT!
    HERE IT COMES!

    We may or we may not.

    TBH it’s up until it’s down (or it’s down until it’s up). lol
    I just find it easier to work that way in this market.

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  52. RE:”Another reason to gtfo of New York before they start blowing shit up downtown again.”

    Jingo bells Jingo bells, Jingo all the way!
    Oh what fun it is to ride
    On a AC130 today…HEY!

    Yikes, now that was one anxiety mongering story, and no error, eg: “I fear that in the years to come this refrain will be heard again: once a threat — or God forbid, another successful attack — captures our attention and sends the pendulum swinging back. There is only one person who can shut down this dangerous show: President Obama.” God forbid is right, but was that the slaver of a profiteering dog of war I heard dripping to the floor?
    This next one really cracked me up…
    “We can sit on our hands or we can become engaged to improve global human conditions.” …for Halliburton.
    Hehe keep it coming. Fux News meets Ibankcoin!

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  53. Goin'Fawr

    Re”Jingo bells Jingo bells, Jingo all the way!
    Oh what fun it is to ride
    On a AC130 today…HEY!”
    Yah, that was all me, as if you didn’t know.

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  54. wolf

    The PPT video is great as well as the song. Is your IT person interested in side projects? Also, this dip will get bought and we close up.

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  55. Maelstrom

    FLY..As much as I enjoy your skills as an accomplished raconteur and trader I have found your marketing skills ..dismal,sort of hit or miss. I was going to post re this a few weeks ago but thought better of it.I believe this new introduction to ppt is superior to all prior efforts. It is good,very engaging and creates more interest than all prior efforts. I congratulate you on a very good job.BTW I have some experience in the field so I am not just bullshitting

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  56. The Fly

    Mael

    I appreciate yout input. Believe me, I am a master marketeer, as evidenced by my site and bountiful participation by my readers. After all, what other sites hold fucking election?

    However, I want you to know, ppt ads are mainly meant to entertain me and a few others. I do not need to grovel to my readership with Timmay style ads. I create witty/nonsensical ads because its funny.For the few that get it–you and I think alike. For the others– you fuckers are just weird.

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  57. Donald Buckwald

    What a positively jovial and civilised answer, old chap.

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  58. The Fly

    Buy the dip–agreud.

    My IT guy does side work. Just contact him or me and he will code away.

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  59. Juice

    Zee Svine Flu is a manufactured crisis (correct Jeff?), designed to allow BIG Moolah better prices to get in on this rally.

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  60. Henry Fool

    Not only would the swine give DVAX a little boost, but they came with positive phase 3 data on HEPLISAV.

    I’m rich bitches!!

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  61. stries

    NVAX ( swine flu play) is up over 100% pre-market. Sheesh

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  62. the bitches

    oh henry…

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  63. stries

    Henry is in Mexico City at the” All You Can Eat Bacon and Pork Sandwich Special” at his hotel.

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  64. TraderCaddy

    Go Fool Go!!!

    Early opening scalp plan.
    Watch TXN (looking good long) for SMH long about 9:32 and AAPL (looking okay long) after about 3-5 minutes for a long QQQQ.

    Longer term (after 10:00) daytrade maybe short gold stocks.

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  65. Razncane

    Unbelievable!

    DVAX up 63% in PMT

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  66. TheArtist

    word of the day….”Chimichanga”

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  67. TraderCaddy

    SMH will be positive in 10,9,8,7,6, etc.

    And there you go. Another gap another day.
    Done for the AM.
    Thanks SMH.

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  68. Dave

    Me gusta tacos del pastor! Ay caramba!

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  69. TraderCaddy

    You like tacos from your pastor?

    Cool church.
    Do they serve sangria or margaritas, also?
    If so, I want to join.

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  70. TraderCaddy

    Am I correct to believe that the stress test results have been told to the Banks, etc?
    And if so, based upon the price action of BAC,FITB this AM (insider trading) they passed yet WFC may need to raise more capital?

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  71. Rabbi Shlomo

    Told ya so. Vat vere you tinkin vith all dis crazy meshuggana svine

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  72. Goin'Fawr

    What the fuck a flu has to do with the market is beyond my comprehension. I mean, the elderly, sick and very young die of viruses every day, what the fuck is so special about this one? 100 died in Mexico last week from drug wars, didn’t seem to affect the world economy that much…Fear funkin mongerin
    http://ca.news.yahoo.com/s/reuters/090427/world/international_us_flu_9

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  73. Henry Fool

    Bought @ 10:30

    DVAX more

    CROX loaded again

    ANCI holding loaded position

    CFK adding to

    MBND adding to

    SFLY adding to

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  74. Goin'Fawr

    Pigs are stout
    And pigs are kind
    but pigs are seldom clean.
    Snout before
    tail behind
    and bacon in between

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  75. j

    TC:

    We’re off the stress tests today. That’s just so yesterday and we’re on to the pig flu. Please show some stock fashion sense here bro. Chinos went out with the tech crash 🙂

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  76. Generational BOTTOM Picker
    Generational BOTTOM Picker

    Mushroomz Says:

    This is going to be wayyy worse than Y2K.

    **********************************************
    Yeah. Look at the market PLUNGING down
    one one-thousandth of one percent at 10:40

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  77. EddieHaskell

    I had a blind date with Mary Sue for the Mayfield High dance. She turned out to be a real pig. So the question I have is can you get swine flu if you have sex with a date who looks like a pig?
    I am just asking for a friend.

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  78. T MOE

    Well that gap on the S&P was closed pretty fast

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  79. Left Wing Loon

    It’s true. Erin just reported one of my fellow wingnuts is very upset that the media is calling this flu outbreak the “swine flu” because that name is deeply offensive to Jews and Muslims.

    The ACLU MUST get involved and stop this outrage!! Let’s have a Congressional investigation to find out who is responsible for coining this term that hurts so many peoples feelings and hold them accountable.

    BTW, get vaccinated and buy stocks. Pandemics are bullish.

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  80. Taco

    The SPT (Swine Protection Team) has moved into action, and has saved the major indexes yet once again from the EVIL NASTY GOLD bogeyman. Everyone get up and do the Rothshchild-Monsanto Slide, all together now…

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  81. Mushroomz

    Generational BOTTOM Picker:

    I know, If you remember, nothing bad happened on Y2K. People thought the world was coming to an end because computers recorded years only using the last 2 digits. Idiots stocked up on food and water and hid in bomb shelters.

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