iBankCoin
Home / Positions (page 52)

Positions

Breaking Out

Lording from the 9th floor, I can see men and women walk by, as if ants, scattering across the ground below. There is absolutely nothing that can stop me now. I’m high on this bull market, and cast nothing but aspersions from my window.

It’s a dreary day, but I don’t care.

CCJ is breaking higher. RGR is breaking higher. BAS is breaking higher. God, basically everything I own is higher.

Except for AGQ; that is lower. But I just can’t care. Too many gains are overloading my system. I am experiencing pure ecstasy here. It’s a party, and bears aren’t invited. Keep your crying pessimism to yourself – thank you very much.

The 9th floor offers no condolences to you for missing out on the spectacular fun. Our streamers are flying higher, our windows are spotless, and we’ve got money to make.

Comments »

Long(er) Silver – Bought AGQ

Okay, I had to step in to the silver market today, taking a leveraged ETF play with AGQ.

I’ve owned silver, more or less continuously, since 2009 – in the physical form.

But every now and again I also leverage up the play with moves in the financial products. Now is just one such time.

Silver is a component of my 9th floor. I’ve used it in the limestone stucca that adorns my walls. I used it in the mortar to build the very foundation of the room itself. It’s a staple, because it is so undervalued, I can off the back of my hand say “silver is undervalued” at any time of the day, and probably be right.

I got into AGQ for $41.77. This is just for a trade.

The Fed is printing another trillion dollars, and the debt crises of the world are nowhere near the halfway mark yet.

Mull that over, why don’t you…

Comments »

Up Another 1% – BAS Is A Champion

Just as I was beginning to lose faith, the rally is back and more tender and loving than ever.

Oh, sure the indices are all flat. But if you concur with that metric, that just means you aren’t owning the right stuff.

Below the surface, select stocks are valiantly striding to attain total victory. They are being welcomed home by stock brokers, to the sounds of silver trumpets and streamers playfully riding alongside them in the air’s currents.

BAS is chief among these stocks. The hedge fund guys have stumbled across my little gem, and are now insatiably attempting to claim my honor for their own. Such folly, but a necessary inconvenience to making thirty-percent-plus gains this year.

BAS is screaming higher. And with higher gas and oil prices, the American energy revolution is back in play.

Comments »

First Rough Day In A While

Alright, so today was very nasty for me. RGR, CCJ, and BAS all cramped up, and are busy drowning in the pool. I can guess why CCJ is having trouble – their earnings sucked wind. But RGR and BAS are something of an enigma. RGR has no news pushin git, and the only thing that happened to BAS was it caught a downgrade from some analyst.

Of course, all three names are up so much in the last month it could just be some profit taking. CCJ is pushing back below those magically colored lines, which I have learned is the ultimate arbiter of reality. Ergo, it must be in serious trouble…

Anyway, throw in the price of silver with those two and this was a bad day. The first bad day I’ve had since November or October.

Comments »

Don’t Panic About CCJ’s Latest Earnings

CCJ’s 2012 revenue attributable to shareholders plummeted 41% from last year. The 4th quarter was an absolute bloodbath, with revenue off 83%. Most of the carnage is from a massive write down the company took on a project called Kintyre. The rest is from uranium prices being cut down mercilessly.

However, you should have known this was going to be ugly, if only from the most recent sales prices of uranium-308.

Have a peak.

When prices go into free fall like that, it means one thing: no actual sales are occurring.

The end of 2012 was horrible for uranium sales. Because reactors don’t require a continuous feed of fuel, there exist periods where their operators may elect to sit back and not come to market. So really, almost nothing was done at the end of the year. This makes sense – with two major elections (Japan and the US), global uncertainty, looming recession, and no imminent need for uranium, producers were in the uncomfortable position of having no buyers. If you were a lowly player, desperate for some sales to keep the doors open, the last three months were not a good time for you.

But that’s all drawing to an end soon. Japan and the US have reaffirmed nuclear energy. Emerging markets are going full bore. Russia is done flooding the market with cheap HEU stock.

We are preparing for an epic resurgence of nuclear fuel prices.

Would you care for a second opinion?

Here’s one.

Here’s another.

And another.

I’ve been hammering on this point since the Fukushima reactor was still busy melting down. I’ve mentioned all the points myself – expectations of the ability of countries to drop nuclear power are unrealistic. One does not simply drop 30% of their grid. And with the immense competition for power sources globally, ignoring such a potent fuel is madness.

Now, slowly, all of my predictions, as laid out literally in the middle of the tsunami crisis, are playing out. Japan is backtracking. The US has confirmed they intend to move forward with construction of the first reactors built in this country is 30 years. The emerging markets are embracing nuclear to diversify their grids. Environmentalists have even begun marginalizing the anti-nuclear activists in their ranks – crushing their ability to be heard; mocking them openly.

Next up, Europe starts caving, led by Germany; which has no choice but to acknowledge that there is no way they can replace their nuclear facilities with windmills and solar panels.

And as these realizations hit, the price for nuclear fuel is going to skyrocket. With it, CCJ’s earnings will go from the worst in its history, to the very best.

Bring it, kids. I have your numbers. It’s time to pay up.

Comments »

Embrace The Rally, But Plan Ahead (Scaled Back AEC)

The walls of the room irradiate a faint heat absorbed from the hearth where a raging fire keeps back the winter tempest outside. Six stories below a fog is rising from the window panes. And the ground floor two beneath that is completely covered in a thick blanket of snow.

Going into the afternoon, I took the time to lighten up AEC. It had a great quarter, and taking advantage of the punch higher over the last six months, I took profits on everything I purchased when it undeservingly sold off last year. I’m back to holding my core position – which is about 10% of equity assets.

I now have core positions built in AEC, CLP, BAS and RGR. I have an equal sized hedge in EUO. All are equal to about 10% of assets. I have an oversized position in CCJ of almost 30%. Roughly 20% of my account is in cash.

This doesn’t count the silver I hold, which is about 15% of net value. Add that back in and all the position sizes drop a little bit; but not much.

I’m going to be very reserved about making purchases here. I’m rooting on the upside, but I’m keenly perceptive that this is the same old game being played. As prices offer me relief, I’ll just keep taking money off the table, a little at a time.

Winter has been very good to me so far. I’d be remiss to blow that.

Comments »