I warned you this would happen. You simply chose to ignore THE PROPHECIES OF THE FLY, in exchange for your silly bullshit. Now, before you go ahead and shoot yourself in the face with a howitzer, let’s examine the situation, shall we?
Like it or not, China is slowing. Without a doubt, that is bad for stocks. Here in the U.S., there appears to be something wrong with our semiconductors names, which are leading indicators for the economy. Despite record low yields, the housing market is dead in the water. The Yen is going up too much. As a matter of fact, it may severely hamstring the Japanese economy, which is still pretty fucking big. That’s assuming the “yen-carry trade” no longer exists, which I know for a fact it still does. The Euro is getting “Charles Manson’d” today. Oil is so extended, I piss on it, via SCO. Food commodity prices are through the roof, another big negative for U.S. consumers.
On the other hand, the bullish case: the Federal Reserve’s policy is to reflate. Therefore, all increases in commodity prices are expected and welcomed. WTF!!?? Yes, it’s true. China is slowing, but still growing incredibly fast. The Yen is some sort of fucked up anomaly. Let’s ignore it. The dollar will continue lower, effectively giving a boost to U.S. equities and all things denominated in dollars. Finally, tech firms have record cash on hand. The majority are coming off of record quarters and will likely use said cash to make acquisitions.
See, there is always two sides. Who do you believe?
Answer: Both.
It’s important to be flexible; but not malleable to the point where you have no soul. Clearly, the market is overdue for a pullback, as evidenced by the repeated 3.00+ scores in The PPT. Now, are we setting up for some sort of cataclysmic drop?
Answer: yes, but not yet.
It’s a rare event to witness stock market crashes. It makes no sense betting on them. With my money, I am betting on price declines through the Fall, leading up to a grande [sic] buying opportunity. In other words, you and I may have a lot in common, just not now.
Into the shitstorm, I booked an 8% overnight profit in EDZ and will hold the reminder of my VXX/SCO until further notice.
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