The market always gets clawhammered when I am away. Before heading out, the market was docile and I was vacillating between up and down. At the end of the day, there was an epic rout in refinery related stocks, helping crush me to the tune of 2.5%. It would have been worse, if not for my large position in CLF and 11% cash position. Additionally, two top 5 positions of mine, BGC and CY, were barely down.
June has been a shitty month, just like last year. The key to this market, and I will adhere to the trend, is the June jobs report. Should those numbers come in fucked up, I am bearish on the tape. Until then, my approach will entail long only positions, coupled with large cash positions for buying blood.
Providing the most horrific thing possible does not occur this weekend (as you know, ANYTHING could happen), I will be buying UCO amd EXK, in size. And, I will be putting together my semiconductor buying list for July.
With regards to the refiners: today’s sell off was absurd. 321 spreads are still above $24 and the rip between Brent and WTI is still 15%. People are putting the carriage before the horse on the sector. Selling down HOC by 10%, on no tangible news, is ridiculous. I will be adding to my WNR position on Monday, as I am supremely bullish on the earnings potential.
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