iBankCoin
18 years in Wall Street, left after finding out it was all horseshit. Founder/ Master and Commander: iBankCoin, finance news and commentary from the future.
Joined Nov 10, 2007
23,458 Blog Posts

LE FLY CLOSES AT RECOURD HIGHS ***

In a world filled with mountebanks and hucksters bilking $100m off their followers, Le Fly leads from the front with sword in hand — now presiding on the high ground — tossing flaming balls of tar into enemy entrenchments.

I traded 14 times yesterday, booking 11 wins. Today, I traded 4 times for 4 wins, both long and short.

YTD, my gains stand at +57%. But more than that, and consider this to be a public service, my talents are unmatched.

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FED HIKES BY 50BPS — HAWKISH AS FUCK

Hedges are back up after the Fed commented on their intent to stab markets in the stomach all through 2023. Their comments are not in line with recent data, pointing to a strong GDP.

THIS IS FOLLY.

Because of this disconnect, I opted to allocated 20% into SOXS — which is a trade and might be taken off. Nevertheless, it’s important to remember that the Fed is now actively trying to kill you.

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POWELL LOOMS *

Bloomberg was just reporting, according to their natural language algorithms, that according to the last public appearance Powell made — he was the most dovish ever. Super dove. The commentator said Powell would need to “walk it back” since inflation is still running at a 3.6% annual clip, way above the mandate.

This person doesn’t remember what the Fed is all about: a stock market rigging mechanism.

Powell will say dovish things for Xmas and the markets will continue higher because of it. This is my best guess, based upon actual progress in the fight against inflation.

I have not traded yet and just sat down to look around. I see I am +50bps based on my weekly holds, led by GOTU, and I’m not sure how I feeeeel about it. The speech is bound to cause volatility and that really irritates me — because often times the first move is wrong. I know myself, in spite of what I just said. I will feel the need to hedge and I will try my best to avoid it.

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PREDICTION: BEARS TO GET THEIR HEADS BLOWN OFF IN THE MORNING

Let me describe today’s action in terms of knife fights.

A champion knife fighter enters the subway filled with enemies. He quickly knifes them, one by one — some in the face, others in the leg and, on occasion, in the neck. His goal is to wipe out all enemies so he can take a shit on the tracks. He finishes off his last enemy via knife to eye socket. Feeling good about himself — he is rewarded with a good shitting in the middle of the track. You know where this is going next.

“Aha, I will not be fooled by the olde speeding train gambit,” says our champion — so he quickly lifts his pants up and does a backflip onto the platform. When he turns around to walk towards the exit — a clown approaches him with a shotgun. Outmatched, our champion knife fighter does a backflip to evade potential buckshot and falls directly into a speeding train — which removes his head from his body and thrust it 3 stations ahead.

Tomorrow the clowns are coming.

Look at the pageantry, buoyed by 11 for 14 day trades.

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Classic Fading of the Market: What Does it All Mean?

If you bought the morning rip, you got absolutely fucked. The NASDAQ is -400 from the open and there is nothing you can do about it. The idea of a Fed pivot is all the more meaningless when you come to think about the specter of debilitating DEFLATION.

But before we get into that, I’d like to share with you a chart I made of the NASDAQ intraday. I made sure the lines fit my world view, in order to assuage my sensitivities. When I do this, bear in mind, I feel in charge.

I’ve been hedging all morning, taking outsized 15% positions at a clip in SQQQ, SOXS, UVIX etc. The fucking works. Had I not done this, I’d now stand before you DOWN for the session instead of +125bps.

At the present, I have no hedges and instead opted for LEVERAGED LONG with an LABU trade on the barbie. The thing is, and I alluded to this earlier, I really don’t give a fuck. I mean, I do and I don’t. I care about doing smart things. The idea of wasting a life or money is hateful to me. But, in the end, I am indifferent to outcomes, providing I made smart choices based on data.

Most bears will tell you the market is going to Mcplunge into the close. I can see the opposite occurring, especially since we are already DOWN 400 from the open. I really do believe the NASDAQ will not move much from here till year end.

Look at these intraday declines from session highs, in Stocklabs.

You want assured advice — but I’ve got nothing for you. We are all in this alone traveling together, attempting to act confident enough to warrant our dicks getting sucked. In the end, markets will explode higher, eventually. But it appears the inflation boogeyman is dead and in comes Mr. HORATIO CLAWHAMMER, who is far worse by the way.

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THE INFLATION NARRATIVE IS OVER

Inside Stocklabs I track a raw commodity index and it showed all sorts of 1 mo losses for commodities. This made me feeeeeel better about heading into today 100% long, no hedges. Last month the CPI came in light and that same raw commodity index had surged. So what the fuck is going on here?

Simple: it’s over. The inflation narrative is dead because everyone got wiped the fuck out clean. Sure, stocks are up, but no one has any money left to own them.

We now enter into the deflationary vortex and before 2023 is over, the Fed will be slashing rates in an effort to save the economy from collapse.

Soft landings?

No such thing. You’re better off believing in lunar landings.

Am I hedging now?

Not yet.

BIG DICKED days like today tend to carry on and over exaggerate, get stupid, steal other people’s luggage.

I was +3% and now I am +2.35%. I really don’t give a fuck and if I reversed lower and lost, say 15%, I still would not care. NEVERTHELESS, I think it’s important that I inform you, if I might be so bold, that “The Fly” is back to recourd highs and you should most certainly fuck yourselves.

See pal, that’s who I am and you’re nobody.

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Why Stand in the Way of Progress?

Tomorrow’s CPI number is almost guaranteed to come in COLD. I have deduced this based upon my astrological charting and fact that markets rose 500+ today, ahead of the all important number.

ALSO, and this goes without saying, I drew a line on the chart of the NASDAQ and it says the downtrend is broken.

So what the fuck is going on here? I will tell you.

The market is walking in the subways with a few $20s protruding out of its pocket. The bears see it and attempt to mug said person and perhaps, if lucky, toss him into the tracks for the next train arrival. Unbeknownst to the bear, the market is skilled in the arts of self defense. He quickly takes the muggers hand into a wrist lock and then proceeds to snap his neck — kicking the lifeless body into the tracks.

Do not expect to BEAR UP until 2023. If you’re smart, you will not approach the market when it has $20s protruding out of his pockets but instead catch him in his house when he’s asleep after a night of hard drinking.

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Musk Takes on the Dogs of Hell

With the release of the Twitter files, revealing wanton left wing corruption and infiltration by the devils in government, Musk has placed himself directly into the fires. Perhaps this was his intent, as he originally tried to extricate himself from the $44b Twitter deal and, now that he owns it, is comfortable with his position as leader against the mental illness of wokeness — an ideology born decades again which has twisted and mangled itself over several evolutions into what we see today: a mockery of American ideals and dignity of man.

He went after their witch doctor.

And now the devil himself.

It’s a non-stop barrage of tweets almost designed to upset government conformists and of course is getting people mad. Because of this behavior by Elon, clearly, we can see the stock price is paying the price.

This comes after news broke last week that Musk was looking to get margin loans against his Tesla stock to replace the high yield loans he received to close the Twitter deal. It’s all fun and games until your Tesla stock drops low enough to warrant a margin call, which will be a risk should Musk deploy this sort of tactic. Whether his newly found obsession with destroying wokeness is having a dampening effect on his sales remains to be seen. I will note, however, both SpaceX and Tesla enjoy government subsidies. I have no insight into the terms of government assistance; but I imagine taking a sharp opposing position against the ruling elite might in fact hurt his businesses.

 

What’s this all about? Even freshly released International arms dealer, Viktor Bout, sees what is happening to America.

It will be curious to see how shares of TSLA fairs over the next 6 months. The stock had run up terrifically and it’s still valued at more than $550b; but it is greatly underperforming all other large cap stocks in the entire market, as his list of enemies amongst the elite grows exponentially.

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BIG TRICKS WEEK

So it’s emblazoned into our minds the last Fed meeting, whereby the notion of a pivot caused stocks to fucking rampage higher, leaving short sellers in the gutter gutted. Now we wait for this month’s Fed meeting and the permanent bull class of investor is feeling rather smug, thinking the fix is in.

You see where I am going with this.

This is why my stock picks are being selected by Stocklabs for the foreseeable future. I will force myself into a 100% long portfolio based on the rules I set forth, and I will like it and stop being so god damned cynical.

Is it possible the Fed will somehow upset markets and send bulls seaworthy into a morass of misery? That’s always a possibility. But the odds are, given the time of year, we will see calmness.

I still reserve the right to hedge and of course boost returns with leverage. I’ll be closing out last week’s positions before noon today for this week’s picks.

So far I am +95bps for the session. This is a BIG WEEK for markets. Do not be fooled.

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LONG LIVE HATE SPEECH

I won’t summarize the revelations at Twitter, since it has already been done and I try to avoid that sort of thing now. As you know, I am a force of unity and try to bring all factions together under one umbrella, sans the FATS.

If curious, Zerohedge did a great summary of removing Trump from Twitter.

I did want to briefly discuss the child porn left unfiltered at Twitter. ZH did a write up on that too. I won’t delve into the details, as it’s quite upsetting. But just know, Twitter REJECTED the request from an employee to fund a budget for child safety. Instead, they took that money to spend millions on SPORTSBALL tickets.Even worse, JOHN FUCKING PODESTA’S NIECE, Leslie Podesta, was in charge of the Trust and Safety area of Twitter. I mean, if I tried to write a horror story I could not come up with a better narrative. The modern day boogeymen, John and Tony Podesta, has a family member overseeing political adversaries and who knows what else?

Who was she? Apparently she’s an Aussie who shilled for vaccines and has a long laundry list of tweets documenting her seething hatred for Trump and vaccine hesitant people. In other words, she is a caricature of the woke policies that are destroying the fucking west as we speak.

Pardon if I’m demonizing a bit; but it’s all so tiring — the wanton nepotism, corruption, and mental illness is enough to drive an otherwise stable person insane. Did you know Dr. Fauci’s daughter worked at Twitter too?

So then you wonder why right wingers, Trump, and anyone who protested lockdowns and FORCED VACCINATIONS were kicked off Twitter. It is precisely because, and most definitely the result of, CUNTS LIKE HER being permitted to police normal people just expressing themselves.

They cite a spike in “hate speech” and you’re damn right there is a reason for it. It is because we hate you.

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