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Dr. Fly

18 years in Wall Street, left after finding out it was all horseshit. Founder/ Master and Commander: iBankCoin, finance news and commentary from the future.

Russia Offers Terrorists Trapped in Aleppo a Chance to Flee

While the media has been fixated on the elections, both Syria and Russia have been tightening their stranglehold on Aleppo. In an effort to provide humanitarian aid to the beleaguered city, Russian and Syrian forces are offering the terrorists inside Aleppo and chance to escape, with their weapons.

General Valery Gerasimov, the chief of the Russian General Staff, said the militants failed to break through the blockade around the city last week and accept Russia’s proposal to leave eastern Aleppo through two specially designated corridors, while reiterating that they would be allowed to keep arms.

“Considering that our American colleagues were unable to separate the opposition from terrorists, we are addressing all militant leaders directly, urging them to cease hostilities and leave Aleppo with their arms,” he said. “Two corridors will be opened, from which Syrian troops and weapons would be pulled back.”

One of the corridors for the militants leads to the Turkish-Syrian border and another one to Idlib, the general said.

Sounds like a good deal.

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TRUMP +6

The LA Times tracking poll is viewed as the most accurate, mainly because it has been consistent and without fuckery. Some argue that it’s skewed in favor of Trump. I’d argue it meshes nicely with crowd attendance at the rallies of the prospective Presidential candidates.

Either way, Trump has broken out to the upside and markets revile it.

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All of the typical risk off assets are buoyed, such as gold, yen and bonds. On the other hand, Deutsche Bank (not Lehman), WTI and copper are lower. Wall Street is scared shit of change and Trump is promising a titanic shift in policy.

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On other small addendum, the Mexican peso is off by another 0.76% v the dollar.

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King Coal to Rule Again: ‘Trump Digs Coal’

King Coal will rule again.

According to the Washington Examiner, yesterday at a rally Pence said, “on day one of a Trump-Pence administration, the war on coal comes to an end.”

“Trump digs coal.”

Based on this news, coal stocks shot through the roof today, in an otherwise acrimonious session.

WLB +17%
CNX +9%
CLD +7%
NRP +4.6%

And the coal ETF, KOL, was up a little more than 2%.

A few themes have been made abundantly clear here. Get long banks on a Clinton win, and short healthcare. On a Trump win, short the shit out of the Mexican peso and get long coal.

In addition to the miners, one has to consider getting long the rails too, as they’re the number one transporters of coal.

Clinton, of course, said she was ‘gonna put a lot of coal miners and coal companies out of business.’

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Former Assistant Director of the FBI, James Kallstrom, Likens Clinton’s to Crime Family, says ‘This is Bigger Than Watergate’

James Kallstrom is a relic from another era. A period in the story of Americana when FBI agents were called ‘G-men’ and men urinated in male only bathrooms. In what could only be described as a full, headlong, assault on Hillary Clinton by the FBI — Kallstrom bombasts into the Clinton schemes and explains why he’s voting Trump, in spite of not having much regard for any politician.

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NEW BOMBSHELL: FBI’s Newly Released Files on Clinton Investigation Reveal Her Server Was in Fact Hacked

Last night the FBI did something truly unprecedented. They released their files on the Clinton investigation to the public. In other words, they are saying ‘we can’t prosecute her because the DOJ is corrupt, but you, the people, judge for yourselves.’ In the treasure trove of information is one very insightful detail.

HER FUCKING PRIVATE EMAIL SERVER WAS HACKED!

“FBI investigation to date was unable to identify the actor(s) responsible for this login or how (redacted) login credentials were compromised.”

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In other words, all of the confidential documents that were emailed to and fro on that server, for the state, were accessed by a foreign party. This is a dereliction of duty of the highest order. The FBI is begging for you to deduce this for yourselves. Lucky for you morons, I’ve done it for you.

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The Harwood Podesta Diaries: ‘As I Drive to Your House…Don’t Be So Thin Skinned…Watch Out for Ben Carson’

In today’s edition of CNBC’s John Harwood’s burgeoning relationship with John Podesta, Harwood was scolded by having such thin skin — after a minor kerfuffle. Also, on his way to driving to Podesta’s house for maybe a cup of tea or chocolate frappe, Harwood wanted to know if the ‘Sunday announcement’ was true.

Riveting stuff.

Lastly, the hard news journalist that he is, John Harwood, felt it was necessary to email Clinton’s director of communication about Ben Carson, warning her of Ben’s formidable demeanor and how he might pose a threat to Hillary. He titled the email “WATCH OUT.’

Stay tuned for tomorrow’s edition, as this steamy and most interesting relationship develops.

 

 

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Reuters, Moody’s Predict Landslide Clinton Win, says 95% Chance She’ll Be Elected President

Moody’s analytics is out with their ‘final’ assessment of this election season and have concluded that because oil prices are low and the people are head over heels in love with Barack Obama, Hillary God Damned Clinton will win the election — by  a landslide — to become next president of these Unites Steaks.

Also, the non-biased, hard news fuckers at Reuters are predicting a 95% chance she’ll win — based on their most recent polling.

Clinton is forecast to pick up 332 Electoral College votes against 206 for Republican Donald Trump, Moody’s Analytics predicted on Tuesday in the final update of its model before Election Day on Nov. 8. That would match Obama’s margin of victory over Republican challenger Mitt Romney in 2012.

The Reuters-Ipsos States of the Nation project also predicts a Clinton win, with a 95 percent probability of her winning at least 278 electoral votes. A candidate needs to win at least 270 electoral votes to be elected president.

The Moody’s Analytics model is based on a combination of state-level economic conditions and political history, and has correctly called the outcome of each presidential election since Republican Ronald Reagan unseated Democrat Jimmy Carter in 1980.

Rather than focus on the individual candidates in a race, the model instead centers on whether current economic and political conditions favor the incumbent party in the White House. This year those factors point to Clinton becoming the 45th U.S. president.

The economic factors Moody’s measures include the two-year percentage changes in real personal income per household, as well as house and gasoline prices.

Moody’s does add one minor caveat to their robotic thinking.

 

Moody’s warns, however, that its model does not take into account any individual characteristics of specific candidates.

“Given the unusual nature of the 2016 election cycle to date, it is very possible that voters will react to changing economic and political conditions differently than they have in past election cycles, placing some risk in the model outcome, particularly state-by-state projections,” Moody’s analytics economist Dan White wrote in the report.

In other words, if Clinton should arrested and tossed into Guantanamo Bay prior to November the 8th, she might not win. Or, if any more of her criminality seeps into the voter consciousness, it’s very likely support for her candidacy might wane.

Frankly, I find it incredible that these news agencies are still publishing this garbage, in light of recent events — which are developing and getting worse with every day that passes.

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BLUE PILL: Morgan Stanley Strategist Believes Market Will Trade Higher No Matter Who Wins the Election

Apparently, Adam Parker, market strategist at Morgan Stanley, believes stocks will trade higher no matter who wins the election. For Adam, it’s all bullshit anyway. Whether stocks go up or down is entirely irrelevant, as long as Morgan keeps him properly employed to spew his brand of useless refuse.

I suppose Mr. Parker wasn’t paying attention when Trump said he was going to rework all of our trades deals, fire Yellen, and disrupt the globalist system of crony capitalism that has gutted the country and profited by slave wages abroad shipped and delivered to an otherwise spoiled American barrel ass shopping at Target.

Change is coming and it won’t bode well for the fuckheads in the Dow 30.

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Hillary’s Planned Election Night Celebration on the Hudson Has Been Delayed, Indefinitely

According to the NY Post, Hillary Clinton and her roaming band of criminals have been planning for a grande extravaganza on the Hudson, to celebrate her victory. The details of the plan sound like a page out of Jay Gatsby’s ‘how to throw a party’ handbook.

If she wins, there’s going to be a barge launched that will detonate aerial fireworks, not to be confused with wetworks, which will last a total of 2 minutes — in a triumphant display of grandeur and power — marking the moment both Clinton and Kaine clinched the victory.

This was all going to happen at 9:30pm, a mere 30 minutes after the polls closed — which meant she felt confident in a runaway landslide.

NYPD and the Fire Department are a little besides themselves over the arrogance of this request, according to sources at the Post.

“It’s a little presumptuous of her to plan on winning. I guess she put in for this before Friday,” one NYPD detective said.

Others said the actual election results could put a damper on things, but one firefighter raised the specter of a 2000-style recount and added, “So what’s she going to do, put the fireworks on ice?”

Another source wondered: “If she loses, will she take it over to the East Side and sell it to Trump for half-price?”

A retired firefighter said the FDNY’ s “rank and file is outraged they are being forced to do political work.”

“This will make it seem like the firefighters endorsed Hillary,” the source said.

Indeud.

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SMOKING GUN: Podesta Emailed Clinton’s Attorney, Cheryl Mills, About Deleting Emails One Day After Congressional Subpoena

It’s all over. Unless Obama suspends the election and declares martial law, there isn’t a chance in red hell the Clinton campaign can talk their way out of this one.

It’s inexplicable.

Bear in mind, shortly after this email, Hillary’s IT guy, Combetta, took to the internets to learn about how to delete emails for a ‘very VIP’ customer. With this revelation, there can be no question about whether there was intent or not. If justice prevails, Mills, Podesta and Clinton will find themselves in a federal prison sometime soon.

Here is a close up of this egregious email.

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The game has ended. Thanks for playing.

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