BEHOLD: Amazing Consistency

A great man once said “it only happens because you let it.”

Natural gas stocks are in play. The commodity is the biggest winner of 2011, so far. Shares of SD, CHK and GMXR look great. Nevertheless, I am trained to believe it’s all bullshit. So, I will refrain from chasing. Although I am long GTE, OXY and WTI, I am really more into MOTR-boating and buying up shares of social-networking plays, things of that nature. I hop from thesis to thesis because I get bored easily. While you fat fuckers smoke cigarettes in your cars, windows rolled up, “The Fly” is taking down baseball player annual wages.

Are you going to teach us all how to invest? Fuck off, no one gives a shit.

Due to the spike in yields, the Fed is now insolvent, for all intents and purposes. However, since they are into expanding the money supply, they can simply print-buy Treasuries until they are blue in the face. If you think about it, Bernanke’s mandate has been achieved, as estimated inflation is now around 3%, up from 2%. Yields have gone up; but, nominally, after inflation, they are lower. Ben is a fucking genius; but he will need to get bailed out by Congress, whenever he decides to contract the money supply. His insolvency will be revealed when he decides to sell Treasuries. Because of this fact, I believe he will not be able to control inflation, when needed. When will he sell?

Answer: when inflation gets too hot.

You should know, the Fed doesn’t give a shit about commodity inflation. They only care about wage inflation. Commodities are temporary phenomenons, but wages last for awhile.

With my money, I am hoping for a dip, in order to allocate my last 10% of cash reserves. I am convinced, with the conviction of an innocent man on deathrow, that we trade higher, all based around the laws of science, dictated by the Earth, Sun and the Moon.

NOTE: The PPT will be blessed with a Social Networking Index sometime today.

MCP‘s lock up period expires soon. As sure as I am sitting here, the stock will likely double again. That company can’t mine enough “rare earth” to justify its market cap, currently valued at 5 bill. The price of rare earths have shot up more than 500%, over the past year and no one really knows what the fuck is going on. I do not own the stock and have no intentions of buying it. However, I am sending out a cautionary message to those of you trying to pick tops: be careful shorting hyper momentum stocks in a bubble building market.

These are the good times. It doesn’t get better than this. If you are curious how the dot com bubble traded, look no further than OPEN, CRM and FFIV.

Another thing: quit fucking asking me if I am still in stocks. If I said I bought it and have not posted a sell, I am still long. I am not here to hold your fucking hands, so man the fuck up and do your own research. If you don’t have the internal fortitude and the patience to hold a stock for more than 1 week, while sitting on a 2-3% loss, you are not fit for this business. Get yourself some thicker skin, then get back to me.

During today’s tape, I sold out of some spec chicoms, like CHNG and CHLN. Additionally, I booked egregious profits in RAS and OCZ. With some of the proceeds, I started small positions in RLOC and CTCT. That’s how I roll.

In a word: WEGOHIGHERBITCH.

I bought CRIC, CTCT and RLOC.

Disclaimer: If you buy CRIC, CTCT or RLOC because of this post, the next time you order Chinese food, you will find a rats tail in your sesame chicken. And you may lose money.

I sold 150,000 RAS, just south of $2.50

UPDATE: I sold out of OCZ too.

This is a public service announcement:

You fucking bet against Reverend Bernanke and now find yourself without mustache and chest hairs. Let this be a lesson to your bearshitting non-believers: as long as the sun and the moon exist, stocks will trade higher.

Thank you for playing.

Good day.

Gio penned a great piece the other day, regarding Groupon, RLOC and OPEN. If you’re not reading his blog, you need to do so at once, for he is a sharp guy. His post got me thinking about social networking, with regards to investing, and then it hit me: holy shit, we are building another kick-ass bubble. This time, after the bubble pops, we don’t get to walk away from it. However, the great part about bubbles is they can last a long time, so let’s play.

At 50 billion dollars, Facebook is valued at 25x sales. That’s right, I said “25.” If this is the “new norm,” then everything in its genre goes up. Ancillary stocks, like OPEN, RLOC, LOCM, VCLK, QNST, ACOM etc. will be bid up. Once Groupon and Facebook come public, investors will run, mind you, into these stocks, in addition to many others. I will be doing extensive research on how best to play this bubble. Stay tuned.

As an aside, the ADP employment numbers of 297k new jobs is staggering and is a game changer. If the official Government numbers match these numbers, GDP numbers are going way the fuck up and we are on the precipice of a significant break out, for the economy, to the upside.

Bottom line: Until these numbers are debunked, this a long only market.

Since I’ve been trading on pure religion, over the past 3 months, I thought it made sense to look under the hood of this market, to examine if we are primed for a good old fashioned “homo hammer.”

First, we shall explore breadth.

Today’s PPT breadth reading of 27.4% was the lowest since 11/30/10. What happened on 12/1/10? Look it up fuckface. I’m not your blog servant.

The percentage of large caps rated “buy” stands at 37%, nothing special about that number.

Moving onto the credit markets, they are a mess. Yields have shot up and my Risk Appetite Index is now hovering at $100, off from a high of $105. Realistically, it’s not the end of the world, considering where rates were two years ago.

Looking at my Raw Commodity index, it is very bullish. Natural gas is up more than 7%, over the past week, with coal and lithium trailing 1-3% points behind. Notable laggards are sugar and cocoa, down 9% and 4.7% respectively (think HSY). It’s worth noting, natural gas is up 12%+ over the past two weeks. Over the past month, coffee, lithium and lead are the biggest winners, all up low double digits.

Moving onto individual equities with market caps above $5 billion, MCP, MTL, ANR and WLT are the biggest winners, over the past week. Over the past two weeks, MCP, YPF, ANR and NXPI are your biggest winners. Again, with exception to NXPI, commodity related stocks are clearly the outperformers.

The biggest losers are RBS, COH and EXPE.

The only minor outlier are the semis, with marginal weakness in the shares of LRCX, KLAC, STX and AKAM. Since this market is being led by tech and commodities, it’s important to identify potential chinks in the armor, so to say.

In short, the health of this rally appears to be robust, sans weakness in select tech names.

High beta names setting up for a big move include: MINI, MWW, JOSB, MCHP, HUSA, VECO, CSIQ, GNK and N. The Overall PPT score has not registered an OVERSOLD reading in ages, which is rare. Clearly we are due for a pullback at some point. The question is, why now?

Bears got their mustaches punched off in late trading, partly thanks to the QCOM for ATHR bid. Once again, keep your eyes peeled for deals. This ATHR deal ups the valuation targets for a slew of tech firms. You just need to figure out the next one to go.

For the day, I was down 0.58%, putting me back in the black, following yesterday’s +0.86% showing.

My outperformers included CHLN, AXL, PWER and CENX, while EXK, OCZ and FMC raped me a little.

I’m laying down the fucking law here and will no longer tolerate disobedience on iBankCoin. There is too much money to be made to waste time with some of you retarded ham and eggers. That sort of predicament is erroneous to me and does not live up to my expectations of “The LINDZON LIFESTYLE,” promised to me by stock Gods and Devils. On the eyes of your grandmother, I will bank some coin tomorrow.

Stay tuned.

The festivities have been halted, if only for a short while. Although the Dow is down a mere 5 points, most stocks are getting man-slaughtered, particularly those tied to crude. As a point in fact, crude always gets smashed in January, yet here I am long an abundance of oil stocks. Aside from all of the talk and bravado, I am prepared to lose no more than 10% on this opening salvo. At the moment, I am down a staggering 0.64% for the year.

It’s important to put things into perspective on days like today. I’ve been spoiled with instant double digit gains for months now and find it tedious to absorb paper losses. Naturally, due to the over-bullish and confident environment we find ourselves in, should the bids dry up, there will be many pikers caught permanently in the net. Because of the company I am with (pikers), I will exercise extreme caution when trading this tape, which entails going to cash at a drop of a hat.

Today’s sell off is simply too anemic to scare me out, so I bought more. I started a position in JOSB, despite their low-end commercials annoying me to no end. Goldman owns a bunch and there is a large short positions: a recipe for a squeeze.

Into the bell, I am sitting on my hands, keeping faith in Reverend Bernanke’s holy hands to set this fucker on its proper course.

Amen.

“The Fly” is preparing for extreme winship, starting with wardrobe adjustments. Effective immediately, he has switched from the traditional “business costume” aka suit with tie to white robe with sandals. The incense is burning profusely and the ambrosia is flowing without restraint.

The first week of January is where the money is banked. While it’s true, people are giddy to the point of insanity. It’s also true that as long as the sun, moon and earth exist, stocks will trade higher.

My position is one that epitomizes win. Bet against me, small pedestrian, see where it gets you.

Top picks: OXY, WTI, MOTR