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Dr. Fly

18 years in Wall Street, left after finding out it was all horseshit. Founder/ Master and Commander: iBankCoin, finance news and commentary from the future.

Conspiracy Theory: DEATH TO SHORT SELLERS!!!

If you’ve been shorting stocks for the past 6 months, you must feel like a homeless hobo after getting beaten by a tire iron (ban all tire irons). It’s important that we recognize the point of short sellers as the evil counterbalance they are, the constant and persistent check on prosperity that promises to drag us all into the dark ages. Having time away from the professional management of money, and hating on the markets, I can tell you with supreme confidence that selling short is a job designated for trolls, men beneath the stairs who grabs your ankles at night and who steals pieces of molded bread for his breakfast treat.

Herb Greenberg, long time denizen of the crevasse under the stairs, chimes in.

Year to date, some of the most heavily shorted stocks have been the biggest winners.

shorts

The essence behind buying  stocks, which is heavily shorted, is to pressure the short sellers into bankruptcy. Once the marshall repossesses their computers and they’re unable to hold onto their shorts, a forced buy occurs, which then adds to the tinder in a market that is completely rigged (extra Trump) to trade higher–at which point you make mountains of cash and receive first rights to urinate on the headstones of the shorts you just killed.

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Energy Stocks Are Surging; But They’re Slaves to Seasonal Trends

Energy stocks have exploded to the upside today, thanks to the 2.7% leap in WTI. While markets languish, crude stocks are enjoying splendor on a grandiose scale.

Observe.

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Now you might be feeling your oats today, long these idiot stocks into a melt up. However, just know, whatever gains that you expect to ‘enjoy’ in the coming weeks ahead should be extremely limited. For the better part of the past 3 months, energy stocks have been wanton losers. Guess what? That’s exactly what the seasonality Gods forecasted for them.

Have a look.

Do these trends look familiar? They should, since they repeat themselves almost every year without a hiccup.

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In spite of the +10% gains over the past two weeks, energy stocks are still down over the past month.

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Based on these trends, we get a respite in October and then a fucking collapse in November,  just in time for Thanksgiving. After that, we should see an investable bottom.

All of this data, for both sectors and individual stocks, is available inside Exodus.

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$BID Explodes Higher, Tracking Very Closely to its Asian Customers

Sotheby’s is one of my favorite long term holds for a variety of reasons, the first being the divergence of classes in this country, and the world, widening– providing an avenue for the super elite to spend their excess cash reserves. The other reason why I like BID is because it will eventually get a buyout, or someone will attempt it. It is the ultimate show piece for any billionaire.

The vast majority of growth at these auction houses emanates from the east, ripping off newly minted millionaires in China. This is the reason why the price of art, first growth wine, and other collectibles have been soaring: Chinese demand. What I didn’t realize was how closely the shares of BID tracked with the MSCI.

Fascinating.
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The company just recorded a stellar quarter. Profits were way up, led by a 22% jump from Hong Kong.

The stock is up 13% today.

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In other words, Sotheby’s is China and is tied to its fate. Food for thought.

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A Most Absurd Trade and Subsequent Loss

What did I say in the beginning of the year? I had this fucking rage against stocks and promised to only trade the oversold signals in Exodus, long only trades. Remember when I said that?

No, I can’t stick to a plan for an entire year. Poor Fly gets bored and has to veer off the reservation. NO MORE VEERING OFF THE FUCKING RESERVATION. Each time that I do, guess what, I get whipped with a cat o’ nine tails.

I just sold out of DRIP for a two point loss, from $7.5 to $5.5. What is that 25% inside a week or less? This is the second time I’ve been flame broiled in oil shorts this year, thanks to my fervent belief in the oil man being dead. If I keep this up, I’ll be the one dead, as the oil man smashes my dead body to pieces with his barrels.

There isn’t much else to say, other than quit being a dumbass and stick to the plan. It goes without saying, the plan isn’t to get impaled by haggardly 3x ETF vehicles of doom. Those fucking bastards at Direxion will get theirs one day.

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Short Sellers Put to Sleep in Shocking $MFRM Takeover

No one saw this one coming, believe me. The parent company of Sleepy’s, MFRM, has been mired in mud for the better part of the last year. The stock had been ripped to shreds, off by 50%, amidst a slowing US consumer. So, naturally, a gigantic South African furniture company, dubbed Steinhoff, stepped in and fucking destroyed the 36% of shares sold short in MFRM, acquiring the company near all time highs or 114% higher than Friday’s close.

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Founded in 1986, Mattress Firm has approximately 3,500 stores across 48 states with 80 distribution centers. In February, the company solidified its position as a leader in the U.S. mattress retail market when it completed its $780 million acquisition of HMK Mattress, the holding company of Sleepy’s. Sleepy’s was the second-largest specialty mattress retailer in the U.S. with over 1,050 stores in 17 states in the Northeast, New England, the Mid-Atlantic and Illinois.

RIP MFRM shorts. You accounts just went negative equity.

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Burger King Kicks $CMG While Down, Launches Whopperito

Get the fuck out of here with this shit.

In response to CMG’s catastrophic decline in revenues, the poison vendors at Burger’d King have decided to launch their Whopperito, which is essentially a whopper in a flour burrito and some zesty ‘Mexican sauce.’

Super racist name to boot.

Burger King’s latest new item is taking a stab at Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc., which is still reeling from a string of foodborne illness outbreaks.

The Whopperito, which puts Whopper burger ingredients like beef, tomatoes, onions, lettuce and pickles inside a flour tortilla, will be sold nationally beginning Aug. 15. A queso sauce replaces the mayonnaise from the hamburger.

“It’s certainly one of the first times that we’ve tapped into the Tex-Mex category,” Alex Macedo, North American president at Burger King, said in an interview. “It’s one of the fastest-growing categories — consumers like the freshness of it, they like the mix of flavors.”

Americans love their burritos, especially ones stuffed with whopper chopped meat.

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Post Erdogan Crackdown of Turkish Civil Rights, Goldman and Friends Invest $150m in Burger King Turkey

 

They’re like an evil empire spreading their tentacles towards their minions. Immediately following a coup and subsequent crackdown of civil rights in Turkey, in which school children, scores of teachers and other random people were scooped up and tossed into raping prison cells, the folks at Goldman, Credit Suisse and the European Bank for Recomstruction and Development rewarded Erdogan’s regime for a job well done, by investing $150m in TFI TAB YATIRIMLARI AS, aka Burger King Turkey.

 

TFI TAB Gida plans to invest $800 million in the next three years as it aims to double its restaurants to 3,000 locations, according to a report in the Dunya newspaper, citing Chairman Erhan Kurdoglu and other executives. Revenue from the Chinese business will double to $400 million this year as the company targets 30 percent annual growth overall, the newspaper said.

The company is plotting to come public soon. I am sure Goldman will provide them with the advice necessary to make their dreams a reality.

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Fed’s Powell: The Economy Sucks, Let’s Hold Off From Hiking Rates

In an interview with the Financial Times, Fed’s Powell cited sluggish growth and a lack of inflation as a reason to hold off on hiking rates

 

“The probability of an era of weaker growth, lower potential growth – that worries me more than it used to,” he was quoted as saying in Monday’s edition of the newspaper.
“With inflation below target, I think we can be patient.”

Meanwhile, away from bullshit land, more than 500,000 jobs were created over the past two months and the Atlanta Fed is forecasting 3.8% GDP growth for Q3.

Fed’s Powell is either wholly full of shit or an idiot.

You decide.

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Reintroducing My Blogroll

I haven’t concocted a blogroll since 2004. I’ve been getting bored of all the lies and deceit coming out from the grimaces of the main stream media reporters. As such, I’ve done some reading over the weekend and come up with a few sites that I like, some for nefarious purposes. I fully intend to incorporate some of their missives into my content in the days, weeks and centuries to come.

They’ll all be long dead and I’ll be quoting them to my readership base of belligerent space invaders, who will fucking love me.

 

If any of you have a blog/site or two that needs adding to my olde blog roll here, please let me know.

Thanks in advance (super asshole form of goodbye).

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Desperation: Walmart Acquires Start Up Jet.com For $3 Billion

Believe it or not, this is the largest e-commerce acquisition, ever. I’ve never ventured off to Jet.com, mainly because nothing is better than Amazon or Ebay.

Jet.com was founded two years ago by CEO Marc Lore, who will remain at the company to teach the fucking morons at Walmart about the internets. I suppose Marc was working real hard these past two years, building Jet.com from scratch into an entity that enticed and allured the corporate HACKS at Walmart to acquire them for 6x sales.

Truth be told, I find it rather amazing that Jet.com did $500m in sales last year. How the fuck does an ecommerce company go from dick in hands to $500m in two years? Pray fucking tell me, the world wants to know.

Maybe they took some of their VC money and bought lotto tickets, and with the winnings bought a bunch of lamps and rugs and shit from their site?

I really want to know.

According to CrunchBase, the company raised $800m from a sundry of greedy fucking bastards, including Fidelity–who chipped in $500m, which was likely all designated into performing ‘revenue QE’ for the companies balance sheet– by purchasing a bunch of lamp shades and tea kettles.

THE COMPANY IS BASED OUT OF HOBOKEN, NJ for christ’s sake, land of the hobo and boozehound.

The CEO, Marc Lore, stands to rake in $750m from the transaction.

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