My results for closed trades today.
(MARK -22%) x2
JNUG +8.6%
ALT +11.1%
JMIA +13.5%
FCX +3.2%
I re-colonized JMIA into the bell, mainly for the LOLz. I am having a grande time in these SHIT STOCKS. I understand this sort of jargon is poisonous and could jinx my prospects, or at a minimum make me look bad. I am BEYOND caring at this point during my life. As a younger man, I cared a great deal what other people thought. But I can honestly say now that I do not listen to anyone now, not even family members…including my wife.
It’s not that I am stubborn or obstinate; it’s just that my ideas are better — my mind is stronger. I shall win forever.
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Even great men bow before the Sun; it melts hubris into humility.
Shit crypto is floating hard too fellas!
I like to say “I am no longer in the advice-taking business.” It is an amazing gift to give oneself.
Welp, take my advice FAGGOT and buy some shitcoin
Yeah baby!
The cancel crowd is a joke. Literally the only way to get canceled is to give in to any of their demands. The kids are going to stop dealing with you either way but your other customers and partners will bail if you broadcast yourself as a weak useless piece of shit.
The mob cannot possibly cancel all the people they’re targeting. They couldn’t cancel a tenth of them. Take Facebook; none of these marketing campaigns is going away indefinitely. Does anyone seriously think these companies are going to just cede the space for competitors to waltz on in? Clearly not.
The only way to lose is to be a dumb piece of shit and try and play. So long as you don’t respond the mob can’t even bite down, because “XYZ company wouldn’t take my call” isn’t a fucking story.
Re: Our unfinished discussion on 6/27/2020
Your subjective opinions notwithstanding, you’re *PROBABLY WRONG* about the “probably small like +3-5” guess. In this reply, I will aim to stick with the facts (that I have previously cited here/elsewhere and in my personal correspondence).
The Trump-vs-Clinton gap was between 3 and 5 points (i.e., a small Clinton lead) back in June 2016. These days the Trump-vs-Biden gap goes from 4 to 14 points given the polls in the last 10 days or so. Obviously the gap has been widening as the COVID stats continue to surge:
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/president-general/national/
The highly correlated net disapproval gap confirms how weak his standing is:
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/trump-approval-ratings/
In general he has lost support in every demo. But unless he miraculously finds a way to fix that young white male disillusionment, he will get substantially fewer than the 62.9 million votes that he got in the last election. Yesterday I just pointed out that his support from white males under 35 is collapsing:
https://civiqs.com/results/approve_president_trump?race=White&age=18-34&gender=Male
He’s logging net disapproval ratings (again, among white males under 35) in all of the so-called swing states–from Wisconsin (-23%) and Michigan (-22%) to Ohio (-5%) and Florida (-2%) as of today (June 25th). So there will be much fewer of that 62.9 million who will vote for him again–and a good number of them will literally die before early voting begins (since he still does best with old whites).
The control of the Senate is quite a lot more uncertain. The Dems will certainly lose the Alabama seat and gain the Arizona, Colorado, and Maine seats. To get to 51, the Dems will need to win 2 out of the 4 remaining competitive seats (IA, GA-special, MT, and NC). Bullock (of MT) is a popular governor and is polling well ahead of the incumbent. Kelly Loeffler (of GA) is the weakest incumbent of the last 3, but Tillis (of NC) is in a more purple state.
Maybe we can have a more substantive conversation since the viewership here has returned to its 2019 level and it’s safe to assume no one else is reading these “off-topic” political junk from you and me.
Then I replied to your “reply” about your disliking the polls:
“They are suggesting a net 5% of the population were Republican in May but stopped being Republican in June.”
1. Who are they? Gallup? I agree that Gallup has been one of the most unreliable pollsters for many election cycles.
2. The total number of registered Republican voters has been shrinking for many years because, again, the GOP base is mostly old whites. So it’s no rocket science but simple arithmetic that the deceased old white Republicans don’t get replaced (1-for-1) by 18-year-old Republicans–the 18 to 34 age group is much less white (and much less Republican) and will continue to get less white (and much less Republican).
“Polls are statistical samples. When your statistical sample gives you an unbelievable answer, it’s probably selection bias; not really happening.”
1. You weren’t so keen on claiming “selection bias” when Trump was polling better, were you?
2. The reason why I only included the links to the (aggregated) polls of polls is that they minimize any sampling biases. They provide a much more reliable and objective depiction of the *trends* vis-a-vis specific data points. Nate Silver and his staff track the pollsters very closely based on their accuracy/track record: https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/pollster-ratings/
3. My own subjective/anecdotal observations in the Atlanta-metro (e.g., more Biden signs than Trump signs in the overwhelmingly Republican parts of Cobb county, the significantly more vocal commitment about the 2020 elections from the black voters) have been confirming with the trends: https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2020/president/Georgia.html
I have been saying quite often the election this November is still (almost) all about PA+WI+MI (each was lost by Clinton by less than 1%) that tipped the balance of electoral college outcome for Trump. Those 3 states have already swung heavily in the 2018 midterm elections against the GOP and Trump was then polling way better than he current is. You simply can’t say with a straight face that every 2016 Trump voter in those 3 states will vote for him again and *at the same time* the ones who didn’t vote last time will stay home again (as Clinton’s unfavorable stats were way higher than Biden’s unfavorable stats have ever been).
Lmao how long have you been stalking these boards?
I am going to die of laughter in a month when Trump’s approval rating snaps back to where it was in March.
Like 15 years. I remember when Tim Knight was blogging on tradertim.blogspot.com (and probably much richer than he is now).
I just want your guy to keep hugging the Confederate flag till election day. The Republican Party couldn’t have found a more cancerous ugly face to be its mascot since 1856.
With the current demographic trends, the GOP won’t be competitive in over 30 states by 2028–even if it doesn’t perform more poorly than it currently does among nonwhites.
And those 20 states that it will still be able to win are the shithol-est states like Idaho and Mississippi.
good
I’ve been listening to the “demographics will make the GOP lose forever” argument since 2005 and it’s still lazy nonsense.
The real battle line is rural vs suburb vs urban. Not racial. The present state of affairs in American cities is 100x more dangerous to the Democrats than any demographics are to the GOP.
Besides, all native born populations have been contracting with the exception of asians. It’s not just whites. The only way your future pans out is if Americans let immigration continue at historical levels. In case you haven’t been paying attention, we aren’t.
https://theweek.com/speedreads/924397/body-camera-transcripts-reveal-derek-chauvin-told-dying-george-floyd-takes-heck-lot-oxygen-talk
Here’s a fair offer: Have one of Floyd’s brothers choke Chauvin on cement in 8 minutes 46 seconds (give or take a minute or so) and broadcast the execution live.
*choke Chauvin to death
And the people who downvote you.
It would be interesting if we end up with college educated coastal elites paying good money for black ex-cons to choke out kidnapped redneck meth heads in some swanky underground nightclub.
Fat white old white boomers with limp dicks full of brisket grease…
…worried about all the big black dicks their daughters are choking themselves with on the weekends.
America really is the best country in the world.
No other country has tried so hard to improve consistently on its racist dark side as this one.
Granted nobody has our racist history… nobody freed slaves, and now we are throwing Christopher Columbus heads in the river.
What the protesters need is vans with soundsystems blasting salsa
The fact that they call non racist white people “cucks” says it all.
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