I’ve been trying to find a trend, a rationale, for the underperformance in my software stocks and have concluded the reason is due to curse on me, specifically. Mostly everything is up, breadth at 70%, with large caps beating small caps by a comfy margin.
I have an old man section in my portfolio and that is doing wonderfully. Have a spy at GIS, HSY, PG, and BUD.
Within my tech holdings, SPOT, SAIL, MDB, ZEN, and HUBS are holding it together.
But at the bottom of my portfolio, the ass-end of it, is where you’ll find the curse: CBLK, DOMO, ZUO, PVTL, IIIV and ZS. The net result is me missing out on today’s rally — a heinous circumstance for a man in my position.
Bottom line: I cannot believe that I am missing out on this magnificent display of capitalism. Several of these stocks are close to be stopped out, at which point I will need to determine what to do in terms of philosophy. Reason being, I believe there is nothing better than the SAAS sector. It has demonstrated a repeatable (double entendre alert) process in producing high returns for investors. This small blip might be something reflected upon in the future as a buyable moment. However, as a player in the market and someone interested in minimizing losses, my job to manage risk supersedes emotional bias. After all, 75% fo my money is in a non-emotional quant strategy fund, managed by Exodus. This part of the portfolio is designed to be fast, catching trends, and booking fast gains AND losses.
If you care for the fate of Le Fly in the slightest, you will sacrifice a small animal to the Gods this evening, in order to break the curse being thrusted upon me.
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Well, if one was trading momentum by going long when the current day high breaks the previous day high, with stops occurring when the current day price breaks the previous days low, they would have been chopped considerably (3 separate long signals and two stopping signals over 7 trading days on the Q’s). Long terms significance is dubious, but it’s not just your imagination, it’s been a great tape for kneecapping momentum traders for the past couple of weeks. Even the longer time frames are seeing the trading range shrink.
its called distribution . long plan distribution
the big bull trend is over , we we’ll have some other flag-up this year , they ll be used to unload more & remains