The Exodus Algorithms Are Running Flawlessly

Consider this a Saturday morning infomercial with Billy Mays Hays (rip) pitching you the virtues of a high grade market intelligence platform — to be used specifically for the purposes of market speculation.

For those unfamiliar with Exodus, watch this video.

How has Exodus performed as of late?

Without flaw.

Here are all recent occurrences of our 12 mo hybrid oversold signal — which, essentially, measures the stress points of the market and determines whether they are notable or not.

We’re working on some next level stuff now and I don’t want to get anyone too excited, because I’m not sure it’s gonna work yet. We’re still in the discovery phase. I’ve dubbed it, literally, The Holy Grail, which is a set of algorithms used to find momentum breakouts on a micro level — ideally designed to find big breakouts in whole sectors that can last for up to 7 weeks.

The theory is history rhymes and the patterns we see today will be repeated in the future. It’s an ambitious project. But if I’m right, it will take Exodus to a whole new level.

The platform provides users with real time streaming quotes, a slew of valuation data, seasonality stats, predictive algorithms for the market and all ETFs and individual equities, GARP, bubble basket indexes (semi annual managed portfolios for long and short ideas), my picks (emailed in real time) and private blog (+14% ytd), two robust communities of seasoned traders (user notes, Pelican room), the best stock screener out there  and a bespoke page (the grid) of customized screens that I created using our best tools (momentum, oversold, institutional holdings, chart breakouts etc) , as well as a community sharing  feature which allows everyone to see each other’s portfolios and screens.

Here was our recent signal in $XLE, which prompted me to get long oil.

If you want to schedule a live demo, email me and I’ll have someone give you a call.

Hilarious stuff. The chimps over at CNN must have a keyword trigger for whenever a guest says the words ‘CNN Fake News’ — which prompts an instant audio cut. After all, calling a CNN journalist ‘fake news’ is no different than calling a black person the ‘N word.’

Shills.

Speaking of CNN fake news.

While it’s true, the market has been a joy to invest in so far. But like in the book animal farm, where all the animals were equal, some were more equal than others — as is the case now you filthy pigs.

For the day, I gained more than 4% — fucking spearheaded by gainz in $HBM, $TECK and $URG. For the year, I’m now up by 14%, once again asserting a Trumponion dominance over you cuckzoids out there protesting higher paying jobs and airport security.

Everything about this market is perfect. I know this sounds crazy from the guy who warned of ‘imminent apocalypse’ during 2016. But the facts on the ground have changed. Right now, quite honestly, there’s literally nothing that could stop the market from achieving supernatural like performance.

You have to understand, “The Fly” is here to win, whether it be Presidential elections, culture wars or stock picking contests. You might attempt to compete and play yourselves into a stupor of sheer idiocy. But you’d be better off joining us in the halls of Exodus — loitering about the Pelican Room — and breathing in the aromas of winship, as ancient as the Order of the Cinncinatus.

Good things are about to happen. You’d be wise to stay the course and heed my advice, for I know exactly what I’m doing — almost at all times.

The globalist shills at Fitch have issued a warming due to Trump’s proposed anti globalist policies.

Per chance, do you notice a county missing from the list?

Anyone?

How about the United States?

Fitch is warning that Trump’s policies will have a profound and deleterious affect on counties who’ve been raping the United States over the past 30 years.

They do, however, Reserve some hope that The Donald will simmer down and listen to his CIA overlords, like Obama, and do whatever he is told.

“The Trump administration represents a risk to international economic conditions and global sovereign credit fundamentals,” the agency said in a statement. “U.S. policy predictability has diminished, with established international communication channels and relationship norms being set aside and raising the prospect of sudden, unanticipated changes in U.S. policies with potential global implications.”

The most serious implications would involve credit downgrades for sovereign debt.

Fitch does not mention the U.S. specifically being subject to a reduced rating, but listed several of its trading partners that could take a hit should negative conditions emerge from Trump’s saber-rattling on international trade agreements and immigration flows.

Among those that could face the most serious impact are Canada, Germany, China, Japan and Mexico, all of which have been mentioned by Trump or his advisors as benefiting from unfair trade pacts. Fitch warned that as the rhetoric escalates, “the list is unlikely to end there.”

“One interpretation of current events is that, after an early flurry of disruptive change to establish a fundamental reorientation of policy direction and intent, the administration will settle in, embracing a consistent business- and trade-friendly framework that leverages these aspects of its economic program, with favourable international spill-overs,” Fitch’s analysts said.

“In short, a lot can change, but the aggressive tone of some administration rhetoric does not portend an easy period of negotiation ahead, nor does it suggest there is much scope for compromise,” the analysts wrote.

The warning comes a day after Fitch said the amount of countries carrying AAA-rated debt has fallen to its lowest level in 14 years. As a percentage of all nations with rated sovereign debt, that is the worst reading ever.

The Fitch warning also includes countries that enjoy investment from U.S. companies and in turn ship goods back to the United States. That list is “potentially long” and includes Canada, the U.K., Netherlands, Mexico, Germany, China and Brazil.

Nevertheless, stocks are at record highs.

After Trump dominated the election, defeating Hillary Clinton by -3 million votes, a Queens museum, with the help of Shia Labeouf launched a project to install a camera outside the museum, so that leftard could conjoin with one another and sing the praises of their mental disorder — called liberalism.

The results of this project have been nothing less than disastrous.

As a matter of coincidence, I’ve been keeping close tabs on this projects — which became the obsession of the cretins on the 4Chan pol message boards. Instead of a bunch of liberals gathering around to smoke weed and decry the evils of Trump, redpillers stormed the camera, en masse, to tell leftards how they felt.

In other words, the project that was designed to unite leftists to take down Trump ended up being a lightening rod for a sundry of Trump supporters. As such, the museum decided to shut it down — giving final victory to the Hitler fanatics over at 4Chan.

Here are some hi and lo lights.

A Queens museum said Friday it is shuttering its controversial anti-President Trump exhibit dreamed up by actor Shia LaBeouf, conceding that the installation has become a “flashpoint for violence,” The Post has learned.

A webcam mounted on a wall outside Astoria’s Museum of the Moving Image — titled “HE WILL NOT DIVIDE US” — began filming on Inauguration Day, and was to be in place 24/7, for the duration of Trump’s presidency.

But clashes between pro- and anti-Trump forces were too much for museum brass to justify the art project.

“The installation created a serious and ongoing public safety hazard for the museum, its visitors, its staff, local residents and businesses,” the museum said in a statement.

“While the installation began constructively, it deteriorated markedly after one of the artists was arrested at the site of the installation and ultimately necessitated this action.”

The statement said the controversy led to “numerous arrests” and prompted around-the-clock police patrols.

Those busted included LaBeouf, who was put in cuffs at a late January scuffle at the oddball installation.

Neighbors complained about noisy visitors loitering on their porches in the early morning hours, urinating and smoking marijuana, the local community board said.

Following a deluge of complaints, the 114th Precinct has set up a 24-hour patrol presence outside the museum, the NYPD said.

Community leaders and neighbors said something had to be done.

“Why don’t they put the cam inside the museum? That has been raised by some individuals,” said Community Board 1 District Manager Florence Koulouris.

“The concern is the quality of life. There’s action going on during unacceptable hours. The museum needs to find a way to make the project better for everyone involved,” she said.

Meanwhile, a prominent museum board trustee had slammed the project as misguided, and said it was authorized without her input.

“I was not told. I don’t really know how it happened. I was upset when I found out about it,” said Claire Shulman, a former Queens borough president.

“It was a mistake to do it. It’s unsafe for a public institution to do a project like this,” said Shulman, a Democrat.

“It’s inappropriate for that location. It’s a city building. It’s a city institution. It’s one of the finest institutions in the city.”

I Mctold you “The Fly” was back on his fucking game. The infrastructure play is where it’s at. But more importantly, Trump had a telephone call with the President of China yesterday and didn’t hang up on him, instead ceding to the one China policy. As a result, markets can’t stop jerking off to this news — buoying the shares of anything China related — including BASE METALS.

You know how I feel about $CLF (buy it), $UEC and $URG. But do you really know how I feel about zinc? I fucking love the stuff. I sprinkle it on my cereal every morning and pray to the Gods, both olde and the new, for deliverance against the many evils that stand in my way of unfettered greatness.

With 60% of my 140% exposure to this market, I am long $HBM, $TECK and $VEDL — due to their exposure to zinc — a key element (Zn) in galvanizing steel.

Also, my new oil position is higher by 3% today. I’d tell you the ticker symbol, but I promised a member of Exodus the other day that I wouldn’t. Join us in the great halls of distinguished gentlemen and I promise you, it’ll be worth your minor investment in House Fly.

My year to date gains are now in the magnitude of +13%.

Look at this shit.

The 'Dear White People' show writer tweeted this on election night. Maybe this $NFLX show is racist after all? pic.twitter.com/QP9WuPjmtF

— The_Real_Fly (@The_Real_Fly) February 10, 2017

So the writer of a new $NFLX show said some racist stuff and then went on to create a racist show, dubbed ‘Dear White People.’ The response by the conservatards has been to cancel their Netflix subscriptions, like fucking asshats, because MUH their feelings were hurt. I’d rather shoot myself out from a carnival cannon into a brick wall than cancel my access to House of Cards, Peaky Blinders, Luther and all of the other shit that I watch on that glorious network.

On the left, they’re fucking boycotting anything and anyone that even looked at Trump in a kind way — from Ivanka’s entire clothing line to Uber to Tesla and now Under Armour. For the love of God, even the most likable person in the world, The Rock, entered the arena filled with leftist retards to decry the supportive comments by the CEO of $UAA about Trump as being ‘divisive and lacking perspective.’

The madness has to stop, fuckers. Vote with your ballots, not your wallets. After all, are you going to carry around lists of ‘politically friendly’ companies with you at all times? The next time you visit a restaurant, will you interrogate the head Chef and staff to see if their views on abortion align with yours?

Trump won. Hillary lost. Get over it.

Some people refuse to watch Woody Allen movies due to his unsavory relationship with his adopted daughter. Understand something, he’s most likely a monster, a reprehensible human being — but I still love his movies. Heck, if I were to hold my moral compass up before watching a Hollywood movie, a place littered with degenerates, I’d find myself without any form of digital entertainment. Fuck that.

How about music? Do you believe the losers you’re listening to actually share your values? WHO GIVES A SHIT?

Life is fleeting and unusual. Narratives change, as do hot button political views. I know for a fact many of you supported the Bush wars, but now with the benefit of hindsight know they were complete horseshit. On the other hand, I’m sure scores of you supported Obamacare when it was first announced, but have since soured on it after finding out it actually sucked.

I like what I like and I do not punish myself — just because the CEO of a company has a different opinion about the events taking place on the ground in Nepal. I come from a very diverse background. My step father, whom I love dearly, is a brilliant math scholar — born Morrocan and is Muslim. My wife and my in laws are of South American heritage. My Mother’s side is Italian and my Father’s parents came to America — fresh from the potato fields of Ireland. Everyone has different views, democratards, replictards, apolitcaltards; but we all get along — because politics isn’t everything.

Mostly, it’s theatre for the intrigued.

I was just in $SHLD yesterday looking for a pair of pants for my youngest son and left empty handed. I’ve never seen a worse run store in my life. It reeked of incompetence, from the textile selection down to the empty registers with no one remotely interested in taking money from shoppers.

Nevertheless, shares are exploding higher (~40%) this morning for a variety of reason. EBITDA came in much better than expected. They’re guiding sales up. They’re closing a shitload of stores, focusing on profitability. Additionally, amended their credit facility and also reduced debt and pension obligations through financial engineering.

Get this, the company is shifting its focus towards online and away from their shitty brick and mortar stores.

Welcome to 1997, fucked faces.

Sears Holdings has initiated a restructuring program targeted to deliver at least $1.0 billion in annualized cost savings in 2017. These savings include cost reductions from the previously announced closure of 108 Kmart and 42 Sears stores. Under the restructuring program, we intend to: Simplify Sears Holdings’ organizational structure, including greater consolidation of the Sears and Kmart corporate and support functions, as well as improve accountability for profitability at our store and online channels; Implement an integrated model to drive efficiencies in pricing, sourcing, supply chain and inventory management; Optimize product assortment at Sears and Kmart stores, using data analytics to better align with preferences of our Best Members focusing on profitable, high-return Best Categories; and Actively manage our real estate portfolio to identify additional opportunities for reconfiguration and reduction of capital obligations.

In addition to the cost reduction target announced today, we continue to assess our overall operating model and capital structure to become a more agile, asset-light and innovative retailer focused on member experience.

On February 10, 2017, the Company entered into an agreement to amend our existing asset-based credit facility. The amendment provides a $140 million increase to available borrowing capacity under our revolver as compared to availability reported at the end of the third quarter of 2016. Sears Holdings concluded the fourth quarter of 2016 with no borrowings and $464 million of letters of credit outstanding, against its asset-based credit facility. The amendment provides immediate additional liquidity and financial flexibility to the Company.

On a pro forma basis, giving effect to the amendment of our credit facility, our total liquidity and liquid assets would have been over $4.0 billion at the end of third quarter of 2016. The amendment will reduce the aggregate revolver commitments from $1.971 billion to $1.5 billion, but will implement other modifications to covenants and reserves against the credit facility borrowing base that improve net liquidity. The amended credit facility is smaller in size, reflecting the Company’s reduced needs consistent with lower inventory levels associated with our transforming business model, which has fewer physical stores and a greater online presence. The amendment also provides additional flexibility in the form of a $250 million increase in the general debt basket from $750 million to $1.0 billion.

We are targeting a reduction in our outstanding debt and pension obligations of $1.5 billion for fiscal 2017 through improving profitability, asset sales, and working capital management. Sears Holdings has contributed almost $4.0 billion to our pension plan since 2005, driven largely by the prolonged low interest rate environment.

“As previously indicated in our January 2017 update, sales declined in the fourth quarter of 2016 compared to the prior year fourth quarter due to a combination of the competitive retail environment and fewer operating stores, as we emphasized improving profitability. Accordingly, we have continued to manage inventory and costs closely resulting in a notable improvement in our short-term operating performance and progress toward our profitability goals.

We expect total revenues of $6.1 billion [vs. $5.68 bln consensus]... Total comparable store sales for the fourth quarter have declined 10.3% [co said comps were trending down 12-13% on January 5], comprised of a decrease of 8.0% at Kmart and a decrease of 12.3% at Sears Domestic. We expect that our fourth quarter 2016 net loss attributable to Sears Holdings’ shareholders will range between $635 million and $535 million, which is inclusive of a non-cash impairment charge related to the Sears trade name of between $350 million and $400 million. This compares to a net loss attributable to Sears Holdings’ shareholders of $580 million in the fourth quarter of 2015, which was inclusive of a non-cash impairment charge related to the Sears trade name of $180 million…

In addition, our preliminary fourth quarter 2016 Adjusted EBITDA was $(61) million, compared to [consensus near -$245 mln] Adjusted EBITDA of $(137) million in the fourth quarter of 2015. This significant improvement in Adjusted EBITDA has been driven by tighter expense control and inventory management.”

This is all pageantry, swirling about the toilet bowl before being deposited into the sewer littered with retail failures. However, with the amount of shorts stuck in this stock, there should be an epic squeeze today.

What a crock of shit. But I’ll take it.

The New World Order, via the OECD, are very busy this morning trying to jimmy oil prices higher — issuing news that could only be viewed positively by traders.

In short, OPEC is cutting production much faster than previously expected. The IAE announced demand for crude is rising and the vampires at the OECD announced global oil stocks fell the most in three years.

Listen to me, you cannot get better news for crude oil. I told you they wanted crude higher. It’s working.

Source: Briefing

Note that OPEC is currently at 90% compliance with their portion of the coordinated OPEC/non-OPEC output reduction agreement. Saudi Arabia exceeded their portion of the promised 490k barrel/day reduction by 70k barrels/day. Angola & Qatar also cut more than originally expected. IEA also stated the global oil stocks overhang that has weighed on prices should fall by about 600k barrels per day in the next 6 months. Other notable highlights of the report include:

IEA raised global oil demand growth expectations for 2017 to 1.4 mln bpd, up 100k bpd from their previous estimate.
Global oil supplies plunged nearly 1.5 mb/d in Jan, both OPEC and non-OPEC countries produced less.

At 96.4 mb/d, world oil production stood 730 kb/d below a year ago, with OPEC posting its first y/y decline since early 2015.
OPEC crude production fell by 1 mb/d to 32.06 mb/d in Jan.
Lower production was partly offset by higher flows from Libya and Nigeria, which are exempt from cuts.

OECD total oil stocks fell nearly 800 kb/d in 4Q16, the largest fall in three years.

End-Dec inventories were below 3k mb for the first time since Dec 2015. Stocks continued to build in China and other emerging economies, volumes of oil at sea also increased.
After falling by 0.8 mb/d last year, non-OPEC output will grow by 0.4 mb/d in 2017.

Growth is mainly in the Americas, where higher prices are fueling increased investments in US LTO activity and long lead-time projects are coming on stream in Brazil and Canada.

We have the former CEO of Exxon as our Sec of State for Christ’s sake. Get long crude.

These people are unbelievably tone deaf — insulated in their word of fetishes and drugs and all of the worst elements of mankind. Here is neo-liberal Chris Cuomo from CNN, in an interview with Michael Smerconish on Sirius XM yesterday, telling his listeners that saying ‘fake news’ to a journalist is the same, mind you, as calling a black person the ‘N word’ or derogatory term to an Italian (if alive, his father would smack him in the face with a meatball hero).

Nevermind the fact that the ‘N word’ is rooted in hatred for a group of people for nothing other than the color of their skin. Juxtapose that against the term ‘fake news’, used against corrupt journalists and organizations using their platforms to deceive people, purposely, for political/social justard means, and one could make an indelible argument that Mr. Chris Cuomo is, in fact, a fucking moron.

Let’s not forget his infamous foray into the Wikileaks dilemma this summer, telling viewers that it was, in fact, illegal to view the Wikileaks — that they should reserve such a privilege to the professionals in the media.