iBankCoin
18 years in Wall Street, left after finding out it was all horseshit. Founder/ Master and Commander: iBankCoin, finance news and commentary from the future.
Joined Nov 10, 2007
23,423 Blog Posts

Let’s Be Honest Wall Street Fags, Trump Has Been Fantastic for Stocks

I love how Obama nerds love to praise Obama’s stock market, which was fine from 2009-2013; but let’s be honest here — it did nothing in 2014-2016 and was only bailed out in 2016 because of the Trump rally. As a matter of fact, before Trump got elected, markets were awfully grim, were they not? Or are you forgetting the negative yield situation in Europe and how TLT was trading higher every single day?

NOTHING was working, up until the day after the election.

The past year has been retarded, from a Presidential viewpoint. Trump relishes in the idea of making himself to be a walking a living meme — but stocks have enjoyed it. Not only is the SPY +20% for the year, but we’ve seen scores of sectors rifle higher, big, big gains in tech and banks. Almost everything has worked. More than that, volatility has been nil.

In Exodus, we only had 4 overall system oversold signals this year — all of which were immensely profitable. Have a look.

All members had to do was sip tea all year, stay diversified, and add to positions when the system flagged OS. Pretty damn dreamy if you ask me.

Going forward, there are all sorts of fun things to look forward to, such as the firing of Mueller. I saw today ‘globalist Dina Powell’ has finally been ousted inside the White House and Trump is getting ready to fire everyone but Ivanka and Jared.

Both GOPtards and DEMtards alike should thank President Trump this joyous Xmas season for his many gifts of stock market success and you should all remember how terribly miserable Barry’s market was in 2014-2016.

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32 comments

  1. dragun

    this is why quant based investing is needed. It takes away the anchoring bias and emotion. I know so many PMs who’s models said get long, but hey bet against Trump and ended up losing bps in the run up. some even were brave enough to short into the election with conviction. with all that said, your model is only as good as the logic behind it. GIGO.

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  2. insp cluso to you
    insp cluso to you

    Let’s be honest here…the run up is completely based on a taxpayer funded $Trillion givaway. And that isn’t even law yet.

    You discredit yourself, Mr. Fly. Or you just think everyone is so stupid to believe that Trump did anything to be credited with the causing this artificial reason for the runnup.

    No wonder you’re sitting on such a big position of losers(UVXY not the only one.)

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    • MSGT HARTMAN

      It’s gonna be a long 7 years for you, snowflake.

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      • insp cluso to you
        insp cluso to you

        Hey alt-Cuck, watcha’ gonna do when the smoking gun of Russia-gate is made public and ol Trump’e is dragged away in chains?

        Let’s see, while you uneducated ‘tards are faceplanted into the Faux and friends, the rest of us are trying to keep track of the campaign connections – now up to 25 or so – with real Russian officials and “representatives”. We’ll see how long you and Trumpe’ refer to this as Fake news.

        God I love the uneducated.

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        • soupbone

          Don’t ever doubt we love you to.

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        • chuck bennett

          Let me know when any of this comes true.

          I love the uneducated to, but it’s the lunatics that keep me vigilant

          Regards

          Chuck Bennett

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          • insp cluso to you
            insp cluso to you

            I’ guess you’ll have to go down to the courthouse and talk to the clerk yourself?

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        • ferd

          insp cluso, you constantly tell us how you love the uneducated. So I assume that you’re a recent college grad who thinks they’ve got it all figured out. Please know that you do not. But if you want to project the illusion that you do, you must stop spouting MSM talking points about Trump being a Russian agent.

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  3. gappingandyapping
    gappingandyapping

    Quite possibly the best president in the history of the USA. Stock market will be 30,000 by March and unemployment will be 3%. This is the greatest wealth creator we have ever known.

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    • og

      Perfect time to use LOL.

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    • ferd

      LOL

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    • it is showtime

      This guy is bogus, an agent, deluded, facetious, joking, or had bad salmon

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    • bushwacker2

      Let’s hope unemployment doesn’t get to 3% br March, for that would mean the Fed would have to get more aggressive in raising rates, the yield curve would probably be inverted and stocks would be in meltdown mode. Be careful what you wish for, dude. If you like making money from stocks, you need the Goldilocks environment to keep perpetuating.

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      • moosh

        @bw2 a month ago, I would have thunk rates be raised a smidge eoy. But no, Jerome in the mutha fuckin house.

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    • numbersgame

      Well, I don’t know about the best, but I’d palce him in the top 50

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  4. ferd

    Yup, the cocaine is flowing. While emerging market men and women, hardened by adversity, continue to labor and learn new skills, we bathe in borrowed convenience and grow soft.

    When the people who’s hate we’ve earned act out, I hope that they’ll respect our demand for safe space.

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    • moosh

      Good stuff ferd. How long do most empires last on average? We should not be average

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  5. it is showtime

    THE INFORMATION ABOVE IS INVALID

    The lack of critical thinking in this analysis is astounding. So the only rationale for the increase in stocks under Trump, is that Trump is fantastic for stocks? What if there was a power faction that had substantial influence over stocks, and, they did not like Trump, and, they increased the shock-collapse potential on him, by overstimulating stocks? (making it look fantastic) The logic – continues – to point to that – above the original contentions&assertions of that scenario

    1. We know they rigged the market for obama. uh we know that. we sat here for years saying wtf it’s rigged
    2. They didn’t need it to do anything from 14-16. They were programming it, why bother programming it at a certain point. once you’ve created enough elevation and propaganda
    3. It was saved from a cratering early 16, just as, a guy named donald trump was breaking out. Magically, a continued cratering-market would elect an insurgent. The hidden hand clearly came out in Feb of 16.

    THE WRITER ABOVE FALSELY CLAIMS IT WAS BAILED OUT FROM THE TRUMP RALLY. NOT. FUCKING. TRUE. IT WAS BAILED OUT IN FEB 16. MAGICALLY SITTING NOWHERE FOR 3 MONTHS INTO THE ELECTION BECAUSE THEY MERELY NEEDED STABILITY FOR HRC’S ELECTING.

    4. There is almost-no-room to argue that stock market movement following Nov 8th magically became organic after, at the very least, having general influence and coercion for Years prior. That logic is extremely vetted by the 4-6 days surrounding, before and after, the election

    100 S&P point every 2 months, at record levels, is not normal. My contention that it represents the overall machinations and games with the stock market, Is pretty clear

    AND RIDICULOUSLY REFLECTED BY THE “SUB” “PAR” “WRITING” HERE

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    • soupbone

      Perhaps you could read only once in a while.

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    • chuck bennett

      Haha.

      And maybe all of these record earning were fake news.

      After all, stocks never go up based on earnings and grow. The absurdity.

      Reared

      Chuck Bennett

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      • moosh

        Oh my, Chuck, yikes.

        Can’t wait to see 5. 6. And 7. And your subsequent rationalizations

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    • bushwacker2

      Your comments are really inflammatory and preposterous. And you have proof, because….?

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  6. nemesis

    The trend is your friend? Yes. Cheers

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  7. moosh

    What’s up with TAN? Is big solar going to announce some kind of ico? All of this on the heels of another possible delayed saudi aramco ipo. Hmm

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  8. moosh

    Jebus, sir fly. Did you ban just about all of your peanut blog? I cannot even comment on a mighty fine post by firehorsecaper or whatever?

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  9. acehood

    Good stuff with the book, the background with your family/home life really added to it. Really curious as to the next part but guess that’ll have to wait. The evening with the LI brokers was hilarious.

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  10. numbersgame

    Fly, do you remember writing this headline: “FUTURES CRASH AS THE TRUMP TRAIN STEAMROLLS HILLARY IN FLORIDA”?

    The key result in 2016 was not “Trump”, it was the R’s sweeping Congress – that is why futures recovered. I’ll give Trump credit for helping their victory, but if a Republican Sock Puppet was elected, the market still would have loved it. The Swamp is in full control. Great for the 1% in the short term, but just fuleing the class warfare in the long term. Take a look at the ballsy tax plan that is being enacted.

    John Dickerson (Face the Nation: “Why not, in putting this bill together, make– make it so that you could say everybody in the middle class will get a tax cut that’s permanent?”
    Mitch McConnel: Well, it’s impossible to do that.

    The Republicans could have done this in a 1-page bill – if helping the middle class was their primary goal.

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