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Monthly Archives: January 2017

Just Before Trump’s Inauguration, CNN Ponders Who Assumes Power if Both Trump and Pence are Killed

Seriously, fuck these people. Whoever dreamt up this CNN segment should die in a horrible fire, brought back to life, and then killed again in a roller coaster accident.

What sort of demon runs this segment just before the celebration of the next President of the United States?

Breathe in the symbolism and know that your time is very limited.

In other news, greatness awaits.

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Jake Novak from CNBC Makes Veiled Threat Against President Elect Trump in Oped

So what did Jake Novak, senior columnist from CNBC, mean when he titled this post?

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What the writer did here was employ an apophasis, a veiled threat designed to be subtle, but also obvious. Everyone knows JFK is synonymous with assasination, just like everyone knows Babe Ruth is known for his prowess to hit homeruns.

But in his article, Jake dove right into the never talked about JFK led war against the steel industry — failing to mention the fact that Trump shares a disdain for crony capitalism, the CIA, and unnecessary wars with the late President who was struck down by persons unknown. Many believe that he was a victim of the military industrial complex, along with the CIA, which later had their way with LBJ by conducting a massive war against the fucking jungle people of Vietnam.

In the journalistic world of CNBC, juxtaposing a picture of JFK with a warning to Trump means Trump should stop tweeting.

Novak shills.

What does the mean for everyone involved? The all-too-easy answer is Trump needs to stop tweeting and bashing companies. But if he must wield that big stick from time to time to maintain his bargaining position, he needs to be extremely careful and pursue deals that really can be made, and make sure those deals aren’t going to be nixed or reversed in a publicly devastating way like U.S. Steel did to JFK in 1962. For someone who once fronted one of TV’s top reality shows, carefully choreographing those kinds of announcements and statements shouldn’t be too hard.

And Wall Street needs to impress on the President-elect that his interference with private industry can do more than hurt just one or two sectors at a time. Remember, the JFK/U.S. Steel fight brought the entire market down.

Because when a picture of JFK is tossed up along with the words ‘JFK learned the hard way’, we all just think about his epic struggle against the steel industry, right?

In fairness to Novak, he was even handed during the elections and even predicted a Trump win. On his Twitter account, he made reference to JFKs never talked about battle against big steel.

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The response on Twitter has been overtly acrimonious.

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Quit shitposting Jake.

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Watch Your Pathetic State Run Press Kiss Obama’s Boots Goodbye

This is revolting. If I was an alien and just landed on this god forsaken planet and only had this video to judge America, I’d surmise that the most important topic of the day was LGBTQXYZDDJDGJDGJDG rights.

I wonder is these shills will demonstrate the same level of adoration for the incoming Chief?

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Chinese Treasury Holdings Drop Most Since 2011; The Federal Reserve Now Owns More Treasuries Than China and Japan Combined

Both China and Japan are selling treasuries for their own reasons. For China, they’re trying to fend off capital flight and desperately need to keep the accordion monkey placated with a neverending flow of fresh bananas. The Japanese have their own issues — stemming from decades of deflation and a population devoid of reproduction — seemingly obsessed with anime and fucking robots (literally).

Since the financial crisis, in an overt effort to transfer private losses to the public balance sheet, the Federal Reserve purchased record amount of treasuries, in an effort to rig markets, rates, and to avoid resetting the system.

Where did the Fed find the money to buy all of those treasuries?

They didn’t. They merely printed new money to purchase American debt obligations.

The net result of this Frankenstonian approach to economics is a stock market at record highs, the rich are richer than ever, and middle class America strewn out across the landscape — debilitated by rising healthcare, education and tax expenses.

The Fed now owns more treasuries than China and Japan combined.
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Federal Reserve holdings of treasuries dwarf all others.

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Liquidation.
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China is getting out.

Source: Bloomberg

A monthly Treasury Department report released in Washington on Wednesday showed China held $1.05 trillion in U.S. government bonds, notes and bills in November, a drop of $66.4 billion from the prior month that was the steepest since December 2011. Japan’s portfolio decreased for fourth consecutive month, falling by $23.3 billion to $1.11 trillion, according to the data.

The People’s Bank of China, owner of the world’s biggest foreign-exchange reserves, has burned through a quarter of its war chest since 2014. U.S. Treasury data show the country has dumped about $270 billion of U.S. government debt since its holdings peaked at $1.32 trillion in 2013 and is using the funds to underpin the yuan and stem capital outflows.

“I’m not surprised since China’s reserves are shrinking — they are selling Treasuries to prevent the yuan from weakening too much,” said Priya Misra, the head of global rate strategy at TD Securities. “The foreign buyers of Treasuries have been foreign private investors — mostly Japanese lifers — but that flow also slowed down by year end due to the cost of hedging.”

Fuckery, largess.

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Slow News Day; Come Try Exodus Free for a Week

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There’s lots of stuff to do inside the platform. A curious mind can concoct his/her own investment methods and then test them out without backtesting tools. There’s a lot of ‘stuff’ to take in and it can be woefully overwhelming, especially if running money for other people. This is precisely why I created it — to free up some of my time so that I might partake in hedonistic games of pleasure. Instead of sifting over 10ks, why not snort a bag of cocaine and have Exodus do it for you?

Trials end in one week. Let me know what you think and how I might improve upon it.

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Alibaba’a Jack Ma Drops a Redpill in Davos: The U.S. Wasted $14 Trillion on Wars Over the Past 30 Years

And there it is, the unvarnished, raw, truth about how everything went wrong for middle class America.

Since the Vietnam war, more than 45 years ago, the US has embarked on a neocon strategy of war in an effort to build a global empire. The result of that strategy has left American infrastructure second rate, its school system in shambles, and its healthcare system a complete and utter joke.

Just imagine what America could’ve done with $14t of investable dollars, instead of waging wars.

Aside from the wars, America spends more than 50% of its discretionary budget on the military, per annum, 16% of its overall budget.
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That’s the main issue, the sordid topic that is rarely discussed in American politics, for fears of crossing the military-industrial complex.

Jack Ma from Alibaba doesn’t share those same fears, being a Chinese national worth $27b of zero fucks.

In a very rare glimpse into what the Chinese really think about American imperialism and how it shaped the global economy, all the better for China might I add, Jack Ma spoke candidly today in an interview with CNBC’s Andrew Ross Sorkin.

“It’s not that other countries steal jobs from you guys,” Ma said. “It’s your strategy. Distribute the money and things in a proper way.”

He said the U.S. has wasted over $14 trillion in fighting wars over the past 30 years rather than investing in infrastructure at home.

To be sure, Ma is not the only critic of the costly U.S. policies of waging war against terrorism and other enemies outside the homeland. Still, Ma said this was the reason America’s economic growth had weakened, not China’s supposed theft of jobs.

In fact, Ma called outsourcing a “wonderful” and “perfect” strategy.

“The American multinational companies made millions and millions of dollars from globalization,” Ma said. “The past 30 years, IBM, Cisco, Microsoft, they’ve made tens of millions — the profits they’ve made are much more than the four Chinese banks put together. … But where did the money go?”

He said the U.S. is not distributing, or investing, its money properly, and that’s why many people in the country feel wracked with economic anxiety. He said too much money flows to Wall Street and Silicon Valley. Instead, the country should be helping the Midwest, and Americans “not good in schooling,” too.

“You’re supposed to spend money on your own people,” Ma said. “Not everybody can pass Harvard, like me.” In a previous interview, Ma said he had been rejected by Harvard 10 times.
Along those lines, Ma stressed that globalization is a good thing, but it, too, “should be inclusive,” with the spoils not just going to the wealthy few.

“The world needs new leadership, but the new leadership is about working together,” Ma said. “As a business person, I want the world to share the prosperity together.”

Here’s why your country is falling apart.
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The Russians didn’t do that.

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UK Foreign Secretary Boris Johnson has come under fire for comparing the French president to a Nazi prison guard giving ‘punishment beatings’ to Britain for trying to ‘escape’ the EU.

Speaking in India, Johnson appeared to liken Francois Hollande to a World War II German soldier, in a move which is likely to further alienate France ahead of Brexit negotiations.

“If Mr. Hollande wants to administer punishment beatings to anybody who seeks to escape [the EU], in the manner of some World War II movie, I don’t think that is the way forward, and it’s not in the interests of our friends and partners,” the foreign secretary said as quoted by the Independent.

“It seems absolutely incredible to me that, in the 21st century, member states of the EU should be seriously contemplating the reintroduction of tariffs or whatever to administer punishment to the UK.”

MPs across the political spectrum criticized Johnson for the remarks, which were branded “distasteful” by some.

“Given that we and the French were on the same side in World War II and remain allies in NATO, he could have used a better choice of language to make a reasonable point,” said fellow Conservative MP Bob Neill, secretary of the all-party parliamentary group on France, the paper reported.

Former Labour Defence Minister Kevan Jones said, “This is the usual Boris tactless, foot-in-mouth quote that is completely inappropriate.

“It undermines [Prime Minister] Theresa May’s reaching out to European allies yesterday,” the Independent quoted him as saying.

Liberal Democrat leader Tim Farron also weighed in.

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Goldman Edges Higher After Earnings Beat

The world’s most influential and successful bank did it again, thanks to fixed income and trading. They beat on both the top and bottom lines — crushing estimates and making the analysts who cover the stock look like complete jerkoffs.

The Wall Street giant said it earned $5.08 a share on revenue of $8.17 billion, with $2.15 billion in net income representing a near-quadrupling in profit. Goldman was expected to post earnings of $4.82 a share on revenue of $7.742 billion, according to analysts surveyed by Reuters. Return on equity was 11.4 percent compared to a 10 percent benchmark for cost of capital.

A jump in trading revenue helped spur the growth, with revenue from bond-related trading soaring 78.3 percent from a year ago to $2 billion. The bank attributed the gain to a fourth-quarter environment “generally characterized by improved market conditions, including rising interest rates and tighter credit spreads.” The news came a day after Morgan Stanley said its trading revenue spiked 173 percent.

Shares are slightly higher early going.
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It’s worth noting, however, Goldman had a shitty year, in spite of the shares being up 30% since election night. Aside from debt trading, Goldman bled out in nearly every aspect of their bank.

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That’s actual proof that the people who’ve been buying the stocks are essentially clueless. The fundamentals only got better because of the massive Trump induced short squeeze. Other than that, Goldman had nothing going on, at all.

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Chinese New Home Prices Soar by 12.4% in December — Higher by 25% in Tier One Cities

What can go wrong, after all? The Chinese government has already informed us their real estate market, which is being driven by records amount of debt, is NOT in a bubble, so relax, chill and enjoy a large overflowing bowl of wanton soup.

Take Larry Hu, for example, economist from Macquarie. He posited, back in October, that the +25% year over year price jumps for Chinese property wasn’t indicative of a bubble…because MUH lack of supply. Perfectly normal stuff.

Source: BBG

Big cities like Shanghai are experiencing net immigration with only limited blocks of land coming on the market. “If Shanghai sells only one parcel of land in a year, the price of the land must be extremely high – this is not a bubble; this is a shortage of supply,” Hu said.

We can revisit a litany of smug remarks by any number of US economists before the US housing market collapsed — almost mocking those who warned against unchecked gains in property prices.

Take, for example, the missives of Jonathan McCarthy and Richard W. Peach — senior economists at the NY Fed.

“Home prices have been rising strongly since the mid-1990s, prompting concerns that a bubble exists in this asset class and that home prices are vulnerable to a collapse that could harm the U.S. economy.

“A close analysis of the U.S. housing market in recent years, however, finds little basis for such concerns. The marked upturn in home prices is largely attributable to strong market fundamentals: Home prices have essentially moved in line with increases in family income and declines in nominal mortgage interest rates.”

Or, we can look back at the advice of Chris Flanagan, head of ABS Research, JP Morgan — and laugh at how stupid he was.

“Based on what we know and see in terms of employment and interest rates, it is extremely difficult to see how five years from now we could be looking back and observing a historical 5-year growth rate of, say, less than 5%. That should be more than adequate to support the continued good credit performance of sub-prime mortgage pools.

“It is important to understand — we can contemplate home price growth rates declining, albeit modestly, but we do NOT envision home prices declining!”

This out of China tonight — record home prices.

Source: Beijing Monitoring Desk
Average new home prices in China’s 70 major cities rose 12.4 percent in December from a year earlier, slowing slightly from a 12.6 percent increase in November, an official survey showed on Wednesday.

Compared with a month earlier, home prices rose 0.3 percent nationwide, slowing from November’s 0.6 percent, according to Reuters calculations from data issued by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS). Shenzhen, Shanghai and Beijing prices rose 23.5 percent, 26.5 percent and 25.9 percent, respectively, from a year earlier.

Monthly growth in Shanghai and Shenzhen slowed but was unchanged in Beijing as local governments’ tightening measures took effect. China relied heavily on a surging real estate market and government stimulus to help drive economic growth in 2016, but policymakers have grown concerned that the property frenzy will fuel price bubbles and risk a market crash, with serious consequences for the broader economy. Soaring home prices have prompted more than 20 Chinese cities to tighten lending requirements on house purchases, while regulators have told banks to strengthen their risk management on property loans.

Hindsight is 20/20 and it’s never easy to time tops or bottoms. But this is child’s play. None of these gains are due to some grass roots renaissance, thanks to some technological breakthrough or keystone event that caused prices to jump. The price jumps in China are due to record levels of debt, leverage, greed, avarice, and wanton chicanery.

It’s most definitely a bubble — whether it cracks this year or not is anyone’s guess.

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