Most of my advisor friends are conservative, but they’re also greedy pigs who only think about themselves. As such, many of them want H. Clinton to get elected. Before you flip out on a rant, understand that most people just want to do blow, drink a few gallons of wine, and unwind on a nude beach in Greece. The idea of a Trump presidency is a headache for people who have much to lose.
My populist bend has more to do with growing up inside of the sewers of Brooklyn, before it was gentrified into a hipster haven, than anything else that might’ve swayed me over the past year.
For a long time, I wanted the status quo. I thought it was good for me because stocks went up and I made a living from their appreciation. But in 2014, I started to view things differently. I saw the corrupt nature of what the Fed was doing as unnatural. On top of that, companies were missing earnings by wide margins and macro trends started to really point lower — yet stocks continued to edge higher.
I think the Yellen Fed and their feckless and asinine approach to monetary policy, with all of their fucking speeches and lies, put me over the top — John Rambo style.
But in the event Hillary gets elected, I won’t lament over it, not even for a second. My approach to most things in life is to expect the very worst, making favorable outcomes nothing but upside surprises. I realize that’s a very gloomy way to wade through life; but it has worked for me thus far and I’ve used this cognitive dissonance with great success — steadying an otherwise volatile and unpredictable vessel.
Should Clinton win, and based upon today’s polls it’s looking like the probable outcome, I anticipate Yellen will remain at the Fed. Monetary policy will remain static, healthcare reform will be increased, this time aiming at profit margins for big pharma in order to help out the struggling Obamacare. Our foreign policy will surround itself around a neocon agenda, targeting Russia as our biggest enemy.
In other words, more of the same.
Growth will be moribund and multi nationals will do well. Stocks will rise and the debt burden will expand.
Maybe it’s a good thing, although I doubt it. Banks will rise and solar will get hammered. Most people would think solar would do well under Clinton. But you’d be forgetting the fact that she’s owned by Saudi Arabia. Either way, as market participants, it’s important that we figure out how to prepare for Clinton and the easiest path towards making money.
The election season has been very distracting, and fun, if I’m being honest. Bear in mind, a Clinton win might already be baked into the market. Big money has never taken Trump seriously, so you may not get any immediate upside upon her election.
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