iBankCoin
18 years in Wall Street, left after finding out it was all horseshit. Founder/ Master and Commander: iBankCoin, finance news and commentary from the future.
Joined Nov 10, 2007
23,417 Blog Posts

Exodus’ Shortest Duration Oversold Algorithms at Shallowest Point Ever

Within the Exodus matrix, there are 4 principle algorithms, divided by time frames. The purpose of this is to ensure the engines learn how markets are behaving and to adjust accordingly.

Our shortest duration algo is 3mos. Back in March of 2016, at market lows, the oversold trigger was 2.31 on a scale of 1-5. As markets improved and volatility vanished, the scores steadily rose to reflect a market that rallied on any semblance of weakness.

Right now the trigger is 2.54, the highest 3 mo score ever, or the shallowest point in history. In other words, it won’t take much of a down tick for the system to flag OS. The interesting allegory being painted here is one that typically precedes sharp sell offs. The very essence of a calm normality is toxic for stocks. The last time the score was near this level was in late June of 2015, when it hit 2.52. Shortly thereafter, the SPY dropped from $205 to $182.

Food for thought.

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8 comments

  1. natehois

    aka get that cash ready

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  2. the_swatter

    btfd or get out of dodge LOL

    Lazarus algos vs Exodus algos… . .

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  3. probucks

    so that that gives us 2 to 3 months b4 some forms of correction?

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  4. en1gma

    SHOMP

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  5. zuul4

    very quiet out there

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  6. the_swatter

    wasnt a trader here giving an all clear to long NASDAQ the other day?

    so tough to time a ponzi, a super-fragile one at that….

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