I started a position in GLD and a few miners last week, all of which are getting C-4d today amidst the market sell off. Deflation is the rage, as the dollar grinds higher and commodities lower.
My losses are being offset by my 20% weighting in my FCX short, which is circling the drain.
Bear in mind, my position in gold isn’t a trade, but more of a longer term thesis trade headed into the fall.
Should TLT start to trade down, which would be entirely nonsensical given the risk off environment, only then would I be exposed to loss.
With 25% in cash, I am looking forward to allocating money into the SPY, but only after a sharp decline.
Without question, we are at the doorstep of a sharp decline, similar to what H. Clinton faces in the polls.
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How sharp do you suppose?
10%
Have you considered shooting UUP as part of your thesis?
I am/will not, just wondering…
So, we’re saying by Friday, CNBC will have someone on saying the Fed should cut rates, right?
#signals
*shorting
I expect rosey jobs report on friday. Gold down rest of week.