iBankCoin
18 years in Wall Street, left after finding out it was all horseshit. Founder/ Master and Commander: iBankCoin, finance news and commentary from the future.
Joined Nov 10, 2007
23,428 Blog Posts

Give Recession a Chance: Q1 GDP Comes in Light at 0.5% v 0.7% Expectations

The morons at the NY Fed had forecaste upwards of 1% growth, no? Jar my memory.

It looks like the Atlanta Fed’s GDPNow models worked, only missing by a tenth of one percent.

*ECONOMY IN U.S. GREW 0.5% IN FIRST QUARTER VS 0.7% FORECAST

Spin it however you like: these are abysmal numbers (thunderous lightning strikes spire atop castle).

Dow futs are lower by 133.

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10 comments

  1. figesmalls

    Does this mean they won’t raise rates the rest of the year?

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    • btn

      Consider

      March: “The Committee continues to monitor inflation developments closely.”

      April: “The Committee continues to closely monitor inflation indicators and global economic and financial developments.”

      There’s a <1% chance that they will raise in June considering the Brexit vote and the 3rd coming of te Greek bond crisis in June. Both of these events will have major influence on world markets, and therefore future FED policy, so it's too early to tell after that.

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  2. active shooter

    Helicopter money on the way…….more crack for the addicts. Me thinks a little price discovery would go a long way toward restoring health to this phony market.

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    • fxtradex6

      You people crack me up. Always denying what is right in front of you.

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    • frog

      Yes, price discovery. Discovery that the market is on crack and going higher.

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  3. btn

    Simple explanation for the NY FED’s model’s miss: no matter how accurate the model and how well it fits (past) data, the model’s projection still relies on *assumptions* as input data for future predictions.

    In other words: garbage in, garbage out.

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  4. gorby

    There is no need for helicopter money.
    Just have one rate increase per year
    and Bob’s your uncle.Jobs are still
    growing.

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    • fxtradex6

      You’re just fucking yourself if you’re not going to grease the inflation wheels.

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  5. trumpmeister

    I just snorted a line of coke. I think I’m going to sell some TLT and buy shares of FB. It’s too easy to make money in this market especially when Helicopter Yellen is dropping free dollar bills.

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