All of you are liars, in one form or another. You might tell tales about your athletic years, wear clothing that masks your imperfections, or perhaps cheat on your wives because of your itsy bitsy brain. There is nothing that I loathe more than base instincts, especially when it’s coupled with ignorance. I am not a puritan and have lied myself, when the occasion called for it. But, generally speaking, I tell the truth because I am confident with who I am.
It takes a fundamental maturity to understand that our time is fleeting and it’s meaningless to aspire to a charlatan. True charlatans will take issue with that comment because of their skeptic driven insecurities, so be it.
Now some of you will never be happy with who you are. You might think it’s about the money, the weight, or the predicament you happen to be in; but the truth of the matter is you’re in a state of wanting. The raw data points to consumerism and it’s as old as time. People covet thy neighbors car, house and wives–like greedy little bastards stealing champagne bottles in the midst of a race driven riot.
We want to achieve success, don’t we? When I was starting out as a broker, I thought success was doing more than $10,000 per month in commissions. It was all the money in the world to me. I remember being able to take my wife and son to a greek diner, feeling grateful that I could afford anything on the value-driven menu. Today I view that as a practical joke. My food bills exceed 5k per month and I am not fat.
How does this pertain to investing?
People are greedy hogs. We’re getting better, compared to previous generations; but we’re still hogs.
This fucking market is going up because of greed. There’s nothing so spectacular about the fundamentals, especially earnings. Every time I look, some company is getting blown out because of their earnings shortfall. The one, singular, thing you can rely on is greed, both on the upside and the downside. There is a constant ebb and flow, a quiet orchestra of emotions playing in the background of the market, performed by a bunch of Eddie Barzoons.
People ask me “Fly, you’re a smart guy, why are you always bullish with all of the problems in the world?” My short answer is that I am a servant to fashion and right now it’s fashionable to be long stocks. I’m never interested in the low probability, black swan, trade–because that’s like trying to catch a comet by its tail.
As novice investors, persons of insignificant interest, you should be focused solely on what the people on this website are saying: nothing more or less. The fastest route to success is to emulate those who have paved that road before you.
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