Classic heart attack close, the sordid ordeal that makes you cry in the shower–curled up like a fetus. I guess this is how I am to be destroyed, by a giant tax cut on the consumer, heavily long consumer oriented stocks. One might deduce that destruction is inevitable, with large margin balances and depreciating intelligence quotients. Nothing you see here today is based upon logic, which doesn’t make it feel better.
A loss is a loss, of course of course.
Early in the morning the tech sector was bucking the trend, even some oil stocks. After 3:00, the margin clerks walked into offices of brokers around the country, punched them in the fucking face, and then liquidated their accounts to zero.
The contagion is real. The devastation of this move, specific to energy, is equal to that of the banks in 2008-2009. OPEC doesn’t seem to care about the decline. I am sure they’re sipping on some tea, whilst the Bakken shale workers receive pink slips.
This close you see today, closing out a week of pure debauchery, is the reason why retail will never come back to the markets. The correlations and the violence of the moves are too much for most to bear, even professionals.
I will hold firm, because “The Fly” doesn’t capitulate into the hole. Feel free to save yourselves and live out the rest of your lives from the middle of a garbage can. I’d rather dive head first into a cinderblock, than sell to these motherfuckers who are covering their shorts.
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FIG
FIFG. “Fly is Fuckin God”
Indeud! Even better!
HUggieBear took a drubbin’ today…i am going to hold as well, this is ridiculous.
Oh STFU
boom! full paid tuition to STF University.
Sold my SLCA, which I followed you into this morning. Bought SU at the close. Holding PXD, added more EOG at the close. And bought a bit more MVIS (long term holding), your old fav[u]rite, Sir Fly.
Sounds like a fun filled day.
PXD is fucked. Go read about their triple lindy hedging collars.
I saw you posted this the other day re PXD, I have just a small position, will liquidate on a bounce, will likely take a loss. Why don’t you own EOG down here Fly – they seem to be the lowest cost producer bar none.
EMES did well at the close, hope that’s a sign of something good for you for SLCA & FMSA. Your GPRO, YELP, COH all seem to have held up quite well, congrats!
I am fucked. You are fucked. We are all fucked.
Well, fuck.
That was fun…OK. now off to be “interrogated” by the CIA
What a lame ass close.
Awesome close… get with the program!
Predictions for Monday, fry?
central bank speak will get us a bid.
also, a bounce in oil because I am short a slug of SCO.
Fly’s Mr. Ed reference did not fall on deaf ears (eyes). Off to the glue factory for this pony.
Fed next week.
There will be a bounce.
Canary in the coal mine oil and gas exploration, it was sub-prime mortgages last time. See you on the other side. Fly when you start shorting?
Beware the mini crash next week. 5-10%.
Whoa!
used to be a great trader named Whoa long ago in the stockpickr days. Hadn’t thought of him for years until i saw this post.
Bluestar,losing only 5% is a good thing for me
$TWTR held up…of all stocks. LOL
i think this was the worst weekly decline since 2011
I’m Back
SLCA and FMSA , your only two frak holdings plunged the most! I think somewhere some hedge fund manager who is reading this blog on an hourly basis and loves shorting has a beef with you boss!
Fine by me. I can hold my breath a long time.
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…are you like “Houdini” … or, maybe like … “David Blaine” ???
Are you ALSO wearing a straight jacket ???
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DON’T TRY THIS DEATH DEFYING FEAT AT HOME !!!
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… Drum Roll Please !!!
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I’m fucked. I realized a lot of cap gains during the year, especially through the Kinder Morgan deal. Now I have to sell my losers into an absolute bloodbath. It’s like vomiting when you drink too much, you know it’ll keep you from dying, but it still sucks.
I will tell you what will happen Monday. Morning will be slightly down. Then we will rally to about 2020 spx. But after that……
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The blog title seems nonsensical !
Is it a riddle ?
What am I missing ?
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Alf, I take it that you don’t feel like the market ape reached in and yanked your still beating heart and placed it in a brown paper bag and handed it back to you…Are you in the Vanguard low duration bond fund?
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… your comments seem to presuppose that I would/could … ACTUALLY BE LONG stocks in this “Market” !!!
LOL
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SERIOUSLY ???
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Verne Troyer and I had Lunch today … and I gladly picked up the tab !!!
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… admittedly, Mr. Troyer DID order from the “Kid’s Menu” !
But … his frickin’ bar tab was staggering !
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Slippery oily market.. oh well, this too shall pass.
but not as good a trader as tick tock
The fix steps up over the weekend or something is out of control. Obviously nothing is ever out of control but the price of commodities. Where is that ugly xmas sweater? Castration makes one chilly.
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… here in the Dallas / Fort Worth area a local TV news channel reported today … LIVE … as they were filling their tank …
$1.99 / Gallon gas !!!
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Back To The Future !!!
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Time for a road trip!
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It is TRULY amazing to me …
… how well Brian Auger’s Oblivian Express music STILL holds up today …
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So far ahead of his time !!!
TRUE GREATNESS !!!
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… mostly overlooked and unappreciated !
IMO
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Bravo!
You know Fly was the first one to really point out the slide in oil affecting the market a few months ago,talking about it a good week or 2 before CNBC even took notice. And again he nails it by calling this energy blow up the equivalent of the 2009 banking meltdown. I haven’t heard anyone even allude to that. And maybe because it mostly hurts Texas, Alaska and No.D it doesn’t carry the same punch but I tell you when you buy a small energy company that had been as high as 10 in 2014 and you get it for an average cost of 1.86 and still see another 35% get taken off it in a few weeks, a company that probably owns 600-700 specialty drilling trucks worth several hundred thousands to millions and the market cap now goes below $200 million.You know the math doesn’t work. I know I’m not buying XOM, but the math doesn’t work. So when I saw companies like Protective Life that got down to 3 bucks in the 2009 massacre and ironically got bought out this year from a Japanese Insurance co. for 70, I just got to keep the faith.
You have to ask yourself where are we in the cycle? Is this the bottom as in March 09? Absolutely not. More like Sept 08. Where is the money to be made now? Being short. There is plenty of time to sort out the winners and losers later. Or there are no winners , just survivors, like in dry bulk shipping and coal.
All I know judging by Fridays fast sell belie major support in SPX is there will be no Santa Rally this year. Good to be in cash and be spared the carnage in markets.
The Fed speaks 12/17. You can be sure if “indefinitely” doesn’t appear near ZIRP, market’s gonna puke.
The Santa Rally starts December 15th.
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GIT’YER POPCORN READY !!!
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“Johnny Football” … is makin’ his NFL debut … tomorrow !!!
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YEAH BABY !!!
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Life long Dallas Cowboys fan here …
… Cowboys vs. Eagles tomorrow nite for ALL the “marbles” …
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5I think I am actually looking forward MORE to the Browns vs. Bengals game than “da Boyz” !!!
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… sorry for the fat finger iPad post …
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Nevertheless …
Browns vs Bengals is MUST SEE TV !!!
IMO
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LOL, A Brown-Bengals Battle to a Cowboy fan (here) is about as fun to watch as was the last 15 minutes of the market Friday.
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… well, that was a big waste of time !!!
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The boys on Options Action – Mike Khouw, Carter Wirth, and Dan Nathan were bearish as hell after Friday close.
They are looking for a drop of AT LEAST 10% in SPY over the next few weeks, because SP earnings will drop significantly in 2015, due to the oil price plunge, and the very bearish chart breakdown, together with VIX action.
My feelings too. The Big Boys are still pumping SPX 2100’ish in 2015…no doubt whilst they dump positions and short the heck out of things.
If by Monday afternoon things don’t show improvement, 100% cash for me is happening (and I didn’t even get to 100% in Financial crisis). I’ll sit this bitch out, cuz there will be no quick rebound in energy prices, imo.
Santa is coming and he’s bringing a rally for the bulls.
Arab markets collapse…