Having 50% of ones assets tied up in TLT, ETR and EXC would’ve been pleasant right about now, no? I blame Bill Gross for TLT’s underperformance last month, which was likely the result of PIMCO selling ahead of his departure. But the very essence of my thesis is playing out today, is it not? There is no need to sell short, when you have utilities up 3.5% for the day. In the past, during periods of excessive weakness, utilities have run 15-20% in a single month. Investors seek comfort through low beta dividends and that’s why I positioned this way for September.
But that’s all ancient history now, isn’t it? Instead of being in the bosom of safety, I am in a fucking hornets nest with my ass exposed to devilish insects. I’m long shit like PANW, EMES, BITA and 10 other lunatic stocks. I am embedded, mind you, in the thesis of a raging bull, ordinary maniac, a Ned Riley of sorts, awaiting dip buyers.
The market is off by two hundred. Yields are crashing lower. Utilities are soaring and I saw it all coming from 6 months away.
I sabataged myself and will now pay for my trespasses.
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I really needed that laugh, thank you sir.
I am in a fucking hornets nest with my ass exposed to devilish insects…
Just seriously, LOL.
People in my office “Fly have another good post eh?”
Laugh all you want. I am sick to the point of projectile vomiting, like the fucking exorcist, over this shit.
I’m taking a serious beating. Been a string of losses I ask why I toil away in this bullshit to begin with. Even broke out some fave chapters in Reminiscence of A Stock Operator last night. It will get better. Or worse, much worse.
It’s the Vomit Indicator redux.
Wait until the vomit bucket is full and the fingers are shaking like you just got hit by a taser before you buy.
Of course, the opposite is true.
Sell when you think that the Zombie “Fly is God” phrase is actually correct.
That is so tough dude.
You couldn’t resist doubling down one more time… just like the rest of us.
Sold EXC and ETR yesterday, color me pissed off. Did hold onto TLT though.
goodness, I feel for you..you convinced me, you had it fly
Is that a ‘Bill Shatner use’ of the word “sabatage” (No Canadian Homo)?
With the Fed ending it’s program, blind dartboard investing is ovah.
Here is the bottom. Time Stamp !!
bottom for 10 pts rise in SP before 50 pts down
Nope, that was it. Greedy shorts will now be executed via castration.
Care to play again sir?
This is it fucker, You want me to nail it to the tenth of a percent? Now shut up child, men are at work here.
It pains me to see you not profit from your own prescience.
I wonder if a long-short strategy is ideal now. For the average consumer, why not buy VTI and sell BIDU and QIHU short? Of course, if China decides to issue more stimulus, this could be problematic, but for now…
Today would have been your hail Mary day. Sorry you succumbed to the noises.
Shorts…please form a line against the wall on the right. Single file. When you reach the front of the line, lift your gown the castration procedure.
I like your attitude.
Thank you, I mean me, I mean you, no me….
This is exactly where the market should be for a midterm push much higher.
In several days we will no longer look at the spoos handle and say “Why does my spoo start with a 1???”
In several days we will no longer look at the bears as if they have some sort of smart-ish information that has not been apparent to everybody on earth for the better part of 3 years.
In several days we will be wallowing in the gloary that is the US Legislative body, bombarded by infomercials from tricksters and grifters alike, sifting through political personalities like Fleer Ultra baseball cards.
In several days we will have massive Ebola outbreaks that will need to be cured by rampaging biotech firms.
In several days we will need to track the Ebola infections with the newest apps out of the newest startups in the dirtiest, most hobo-filled, most inferior-to-its-suburbs city in the world: San Francisco.
I say the spoos trade much higher from here, in several days.
the absolute worst feeling in this trading game is having a thesis and trade correctly lined up, and fumbling with it.
Here’s a lunchtime “sin” or fact of life: Your middle-end restaurant main dish comes from a Sysco/US Foods semi truck. The task for most places is finding a way to dress up the same old Sysco $4 chicken patty and turn it into a $18 menu item.
The restaurant can add some local vegetables or whatever
A restaurant can immediately get an additional 50% profit by describing the food as “sustainable ,organic, GMO free, locally sourced, green, and hormone and gluten free.”
Works for Whole Foods although you can pretty much get the same stuff at Trader Joes or even Publix for much less cost.
You’re right don’t capitulate; we head higher from here
Buying energy sector garbage right here…MDR @ 5.61, KEG @ 4.86 and tech MXWL @ 8.15
$DUK is getting the job done
The writing, editing and posting experience here is awful on this Samsung Android with Verizon. Right here in the city Verizon is like a 24 K dial up. If this is typical I am astounded that half the population wants to live a wireless life. I had to give up on the earlier Sysco comment, unfinished.
Fly, this is like the third time you’ve done this. You have seen a major correction coming months in advance, prepared for it, then changed your mind the moment before it happened. Sometimes I wonder about this schizphrenia
How did Genghis Khan get to make his post sticky?
I got some meds for you bro, close that laptop and come to Cali this weekend. Chess and I will meet ya at Commerce 😉
S&P 500 only off 3%..we need more blood before we go back up..another 2% would be best for the next leg UP..
PS at least you’re not long FNMA from way higher like me.
FNMAS traded as low as $2 in premarket….a steal at those prices ..this court ruling says nothing about the future of these companies. It’s just a setback but GOP controlled congress, GOP senate and republican president does bode well for FNMA
sorry..this selling is relentless.. thankfully, I hedged massively 2 weeks ago with lots of emerging market puts, treasuries and small cap puts. I’ve heard of bad days but it seems like every day this market is getting nailed like chris burden
are you a meme? you’ve commented basically the same thing in the last handful of posts
financials and techs still ok here….so this is garden variety selloff…
not too late to sell, you will have an opportunity to buy back lower.
I fucking hate you all
BANNED!
Buy $TRUE, $GMED, and $FSLR…you shan’t regret it.
I just bought $FSLR. thanks for the vote!
Yes. I love it. Bring on the fear. I feed on fear.
Would you recommend buying SOL on this dip?
Anyone lookin at HOG??
I couldn’t believe my eye’s when you flipped that 180 last week. Hedge with fear $UVXY
DOW is done for 2014, probably 2015 too. Jumped the shark at 17,322.
Go GOLD!
sold my utes and silver yesterday. 0/2 bang boom.
I humbly offer a suggestion to the group: OA subscription if you’re not in already.
I’ve been 100% cash (extra humility) while I study OA’s sessions, but it looks like volatility might finally be making a comeback, so it could be time for me to dip a toe in with the natural risk caps that options provide. He’s been killing it in the low vol environment with directional plays, but selling vol works well too, especially when there’s fear and choppy prices. I believe Fed policy has had a large role in keeping vol low. That’s fading, and with news thrills looming, it could be high surf ahead. Options make great instruments for riding those waves.
I was crying while reading this. Hilarious Fly, thanks for that.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=06wGR1oOoC8
NUGT !
For today’s bang the close what do you guys think? Another whooosh lower still? Or do we get a dip buyer coming in strong in the last 20 mins or so?
The machines are in control (extra Matrix).
You are all doomed.
I think I’m gonna puke. Today on my way back home from the Kremlin I saw some pervert spewing on the sidewalk. Obviously he was an American.
HERE LIES HUGGIEBEAR
19xx – 2014
MURDERED IN COLD BLOOD BY A BUNCH OF COMMUNIST BRAZILIANS.