iBankCoin
18 years in Wall Street, left after finding out it was all horseshit. Founder/ Master and Commander: iBankCoin, finance news and commentary from the future.
Joined Nov 10, 2007
23,417 Blog Posts

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When the bubble stocks burst a few months ago I created a ‘bubble basket’ designed after the criteria that David Einhorn talked about in his cryptic warning to investors, regarding ‘high valuation’ stocks. The index is made up of about 100 stocks and it slid from par (100) down to about 80, when the market bottomed. Since then, the ‘bubble stocks’ have been leading the market higher, as that index surged from 80 to over 106 last week–making up all of its losses.

Well, today it is getting hammered, down nearly 3%. If your portfolio is getting racked today, you’re probably overweight too many ‘bubble stocks’ and stand at risk for a repeat of April of 2014.

bubble

Risk is off. I sold out of LEJU and booked a 16.5% gain in the process. Thus far, for today, I sold out of BALT, RBCN and LEJU.

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19 comments

  1. acehood1

    One down day and risk is ‘off’?

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  2. NON Solo

    Fly, you still like TEDU? Still holding?

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  3. jules

    Would you add to CHK here or wait?

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  4. jon v

    Not sure if its tomorrow but very soon we rip to the upside and leave the nervous nellies selling today out in the cold.

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    • k_melancon

      Thin trading and the momentum names were hit today – lots of fresh wounds means quicker reactions from the market to any suspected re-creation of those conditions

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    • rigged game

      Why? Do you think earnings are going to be great, after the blood has been squeezed out of the turnip for about four straight years?

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      • jon v

        Mainly because everyone is so skittish about everything now and are expecting a repeat of the April/May drawdown in momentum companies.

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  5. anton

    Merci, Le Fly.

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  6. bruce keller

    Might be a fake-out. Just noticed SPY had a pbar at 500k volume @ 198.40 a little before close.

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  7. ironbird

    The Fast Money crew is getting old. The amount of make up and fake tan has gone full clown. Boolish, no doubt.

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  8. rigged game

    The MSNBC-ers were spot on regarding beef and grain prices.

    Now with $4 corn, beef is $5 a pound, while a few years ago corn was $7 and beef $3,

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  9. thankful trader
    thankful trader

    Thank you, sir!

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  10. controller

    I should have sold everything and made potato salad instead. https://www.kickstarter.com/projects/324283889/potato-salad

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  11. ironbird

    What happened to the nat gas revolution names today? That is a brutal one day dump on what news?

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