iBankCoin

Back to Business as Usual

You can stop shorting stocks now. You’d be all the wiser for it.

A weaker economy means the Fed will slow down the tapering. I realize many of you insist to believe the economy is doomed and unsustainable, and all of the other things taught at Tea Party rallies, by people with junior high school reading credentials. But here is what is really going on, unvarnished and without subjectivity.

The stock market is the economy, literally.

During the crisis of 2008-2009, the government learned that if the stock market goes, so does the country.

The Fed will support the economy, through the stock market forever.

The Fed would appreciate it if the bond market could function without them. Hence, they are ‘tapering.’

If, by chance, the stock market should go down more than 5% in a short period of time, the Fed will pay attention.

If, by chance, the stock market should go down more than 10% in a short period of time, the Fed will intervene.

 

There you have it. Taper or no taper: the Fed is the buyer of last resort, the proverbial bid in this market, forever. Arguing against these facts and taking long term bearish positions is a waste of time, since you and I both know that the game is rigged. The most dangerous games to play are the ones that are unfair. If you insist on playing it, you could at least side with the rig-er and not the rigee.

I was up 0.82% today.

 

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40 comments

  1. J Livermore

    Ferst !!!

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  2. oldmantrader

    no doubt in part to the 10% plus move in TEDU- thank you for the idea. I shall now acquire a new wheel chair

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  3. N3GR0D4MU$

    thrice

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  4. i Bergamot

    This comment is for previous post about interest rates.
    Dr Fly types posts faster than I type sentences…lol

    I wonder why everybody talking about rising rates? Rising??? My new car has 0% interest!
    That’s Zero, point Zero
    Nobody checked my income (I have none – as 1st year self-employed), nor bank statement, not even a deposit. All I have – a pulse and shitty attitude…

    I will be buying a house at 0% sometime during my lifetime…
    Sure, why not… car at no interest would sound ridiculous just a few years ago…
    what’s a few hundred g’s between friends…

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    • Yinzer

      Stagflation at its best.

      Q – How does a finance department survive when they lend at 0%?

      A – They don’t.

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      • i Bergamot

        kickbacks
        How does auto dealership sells cars at invoice?

        Plus
        what, you never had a card with teaser rate, only to go to 15% if you forgot to wash your hands?
        C’mon, I am not an evil genius with all the answers… I’m just a little smelly fruit…

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        • Yinzer

          I’m old. Anytime I’ve seen the 0.0% interest rates for anything, a meltdown was around the corner.

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  5. xxxHuggieBearxxx D.P.M
    xxxHuggieBearxxx D.P.M

    trickle down economics!

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  6. I Am Jesse Livermore

    “It is not wise to be short in a bull market.” – Jesse Livermore (the real one)

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  7. Jennifer

    I followed you into LEJU. Looks like a potential home run stock.

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  8. I Am Jesse Livermore

    dipping my toe in some IRE here.

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  9. OG

    All of yesterday’s losses are back. Nice.

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  10. john

    I just found out that my new section 8 apartment rent is going to save me big courtesy of the government, including all utilities plus food stamps on the side. Considering my CD LADDER is averaging only 1.7% due to same government, others are going to have to “leverage” like this in the “New Normal”. God bless Big “Brother” Government.

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  11. I Am Jesse Livermore

    Fly, will you please ban all these idiots who want to talk politics on here? If you don’t nip this in the bud pretty soon you’ll have every jagoff Tea Party idiot posting their conspiracy theories about Obama being a communist muslim.

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  12. Dr. Fly

    Gentlemen should never lower themselves to partake in the act of politics, let alone ever discussing it.

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    • Yinzer

      Fly, will you please ban all these idiots who want to suck Obama’s communist muslim wang?

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  13. I Am Jesse Livermore

    I can’t see LEJU doing much if SFUN can’t get off the deck. Of course I may be wrong. We’ll see.

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  14. Noni Kavuri

    Take a look at LPSN. It finished above it’s 50 day SMA average of $9.74. I got in before close at $9.84. If it can break through $10.03, this will be a nice winner.

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  15. Mike E

    A lot of what I am reading points to good things to come for DVCR… Thoughts???

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  16. Colonel Papsmear
    Colonel Papsmear

    That list is what should be printed out to remind you ever day… buy the dip.

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  17. Sierra Water

    “The stock market is the economy”, lots of love. The middle class loves to hear that, since they just happen to own to much RE and equities. Mas trabajo, muy rapido. Pinche Loco!

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  18. Sierra Water

    ^so .. damn it!

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  19. Jennifer

    Jesse my understanding is leju is Web 2.0 while sfun is 1.0. That’s why zillow partnered with them. Also ten cent has 16% of shares and ej has 76%. Presumably another 5% for institutions which means hardly any float…maybe 4%? Could easily triple

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  20. tarhinitrade

    where is the quote from?

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  21. Dr. Fly

    CJES bought out.

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  22. the pirate

    Fergive me on a tangent ‘ere Cap’n, but EPMD – “Business As Usual” (1990), was the REAL DEAL back when rap was still rap. R Ross is not worthy. Arrr.

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  23. jimmy_two_times
    jimmy_two_times

    Stock Market is the last and only policy tool left.

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  24. Jennifer

    LEJU up swimmingly

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  25. TraderCaddy

    Part of a cabal?
    Takeover of the dark pools?
    Considering an early AM attempt of a take down of gold, the stocks themselves look AOK as does silver.
    This could be the real deal after a couple of years of declines.

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  26. stockthrust

    Careful. or you’ll see another 20% taken from your account? ninth inning, easy money is gone.

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  27. budh

    Frank Underwood types a much better choice than any of those tea party people.

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  28. Noni Kavuri

    anyone else thinking of shorting GoPro today? IPO price of $24, and opening price of $29.26, and it’s up 33% from it’s IPO price.

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