iBankCoin
18 years in Wall Street, left after finding out it was all horseshit. Founder/ Master and Commander: iBankCoin, finance news and commentary from the future.
Joined Nov 10, 2007
23,431 Blog Posts

THE BEARS ARE IN HELL

All of the panic and strife from two weeks ago has withered away, like pixie dust in the wind with the profits of professional short sellers. The stocks that everyone was afraid to own are now ownable, bankable companies, worthy of your attention. Look at FEYE, DWRE and NOW screaming higher.

The good folks over at GOOG have decided that they do not like SALE’s coupons and have prohibited people from finding it on the internet, in favor of COUP’s coupons. While some people might say “that’s punitive, anti-competitive and generally unfair.” I say to them, and anyone else, the internet belongs to Google, so shut up.

Most of my stocks are higher today and I am back on a profitable path, but there is a cost. No longer am I able to toss around millions of dollars into whims, play around like some animal in a field of garbage. I am much more selective now, imposing rules and order to my trading practices. Believe you me, there are so many degenerate stocks that I wish to own now, but I simply cannot afford to buy them. Until I make back 10% from my -32% loss, I am in the proverbial ‘fag box.’ In case you’re wondering, I am still down about 32%, so there’s nothing to get excited about just yet.

HOWEVER, I need  to remind you of the imperial powers of The PPT, flagging  the market to be oversold on 5/15, when the SPY was at $187.4. On that day, I purchased QQQ, as part of my new trading strategy, at $87.4. I will sell it  on the 7th day, which is Tuesday, most likely for a 3-4% profit.

Over the past 12 months, our mean reversion algorithm is 100% accurate, 10-0, over a 10 day hold. Over the lifetime of this algorithm (2008), it clocks in at 85% accurate.

To get ahead in the market, I do not need the holy grail. All I need is an edge. This provides me with that and I’d be remiss if I didn’t take full advantage of the tools god has bestowed upon me.

Amen.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=lF7C8NFzAGQ

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21 comments

  1. granpa

    Have a great long weekend, everyone be safe to return to these here interwebs on Tuesday.

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  2. budh

    Hey– all the new indicators are indicating the market crash is imminent! It’s been that way for 5 years! Remember that chart from 1929??!?!? And indicators like margin debt, divergences and too high market sentiment? All that stuff says crash! crash! crash!

    I just can’t be wrong about that.

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  3. dae42

    Enjoy the weekend, all. And long live the guillotine!

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  4. Bullish

    It is showtime!

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  5. it is showtime
    it is showtime

    ADDED

    (to volatility)

    YES

    (mid to low 11 Vix bring it on)

    Loving This

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    • TJWP

      Right there with you, sub 12 (currently sub 11.50) on the VIX volatility is a steal and doesn’t stay that low historically.

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      • firsttofallgo

        I agree a sub 12 VIX is quite low historically, but with VXV at 13.62 you’ve got a mean cost of contango. Assuming no changes in implied volatility these 3 month vix futures will decline by approximately 16% as they approach 1 month to maturity. With a vix curve this steep I’d tend to roll the futures inverse with XIV and pick up the carry.

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  6. teslawasright

    Long Live the Fly and the House de Le Fly.

    Now fill your humidor with 50/50 water and glycol and get back to what you do best.

    Long drives and yelling at tanned yard workers!

    Medic!!!!

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  7. ryans

    “Fuck Yeah”

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  8. snoozemr

    it has been a very nice little run. momo stocks making a stand – as well as a lot of the beaten down IPOs from 1-2 months ago. I had thought about flirting a bit with red-headed stepchild bio IPO CNCE a couple of days ago to catch the bottom but didn’t have the stomach – would have caught a 20% 2 day jump. Anyhow – the perma-bears always seem laughable to me – as does D Gartman these days. Their best case scenario is that the Earth is flat. Which isn’t such a good scenario. Pleasantly flat for Dennis I suppose.

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    • it is showtime
      it is showtime

      I, guarantee,

      Bears looked pretty idiotic in 2005, 2006, 2007

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  9. the_wolf

    bulls, bears,
    will be fed on by wolves

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  10. dewey dortmunder
    dewey dortmunder

    Happy Queen Victoria’s Birthday Fly!

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  11. blackalgo

    Things are looking good!
    Fly, I don’t know why you like ANGI (other than P/S ratio being relatively low compared to others) but I do like the chart. Looks ripe for a 20-30% up move over the next few weeks on a reversion move. Care to comment with some substance on why you like ANGI?

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    • Dr. Fly

      I use Angi all the time to find contractors. I believe in the service

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      • bruce keller

        I am getting some ANGI calls Tuesday. I believe in your ANGI choice, Fly! Although I really am going mostly solar TBH.

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        • NON Solo

          you guys don’t think Yelp has some pullback in it? It’s up 12% in the last five days.

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  12. widespreadpanik
    widespreadpanik

    Fly, it’s good to see you turn into a true longer term investor. Growth @ARP. God bless. AAPL, GE, ETP, EBAY (big boys) GTAT, CYNO, CAMP, WBAI, Solar for the smaller triple potential

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  13. alf44

    .

    The Cost Of Freedom

    Mother earth will swallow you, lay your body down …
    Find the cost of freedom, buried in the ground …

    Mother earth will swallow you, lay your body down …
    Find the cost of freedom, buried in the ground !!!

    ~ C S N & Y ~

    A lot of brave Men and Women made the ultimate sacrifice for us here in this great country !

    Try to always keep that in mind this weekend … as you and your’s … “nosh” on copious Steaks, Burgers and Dogs … assorted Chips & Pork and Beans !!!

    God Bless our Troops, Veterans and First Responders !!!

    Have a GREAT MEMORIAL DAY WEEKEND !!!

    .

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  14. tmmdn0

    Jesus Fly, I hope that isn’t the Orbital Space Cannon there on the logo.

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