iBankCoin
18 years in Wall Street, left after finding out it was all horseshit. Founder/ Master and Commander: iBankCoin, finance news and commentary from the future.
Joined Nov 10, 2007
23,419 Blog Posts

Making Money is the Easy Part, Olde Sport

What a crazy tape to be short! Are you short and why? What is your core thesis for betting against stocks? I am not trying to ridicule you. I just want to know the rationale behind such ruinious behavior.

I was gonna keep this new pick a secret until I positioned into it. However, since I am fully deployed and the market looks great, I think it’s only fair to share. The ticker symbol is (drum roll): CRTO. Go look it up and thank me later.

This week was all about housing stocks, a thesis that I’ve been bullish on for two years. Also, my YELP is screaming off the lows and I didn’t get in. I’m missing out in a variety of ways. Have you seen JAZZ lately?

Look, if you’re interested in short squeezes, it doesn’t get better than RBCN. Some very trust worthy people that I know think it heads to $20 and the stock hasn’t run yet. While it’s true, I am talking my book. It’s also true that based upon recent history, you will probably make more money, on a percentage gain basis, than me. Have you seen ONVO lately? Yeah, I knew about and positioned into it under $5.

My problem isn’t lack of success or an inability to find winners. My problem is patience. It’s the difference between an ordinary Wall Street stiff, making pedestrian rich man’s money, and the guy with his own jet.

The struggle continues.

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43 comments

  1. acehood1

    The guy on the jet bets on sure things.

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  2. matt_bear

    i’m too afraid to run an analysis on all trades had a hold 1 additional day/week/month (excluding forced take offs due to opex)…..the amount of money i’ve left on the table is probably sickening.

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  3. halfbloodpope

    On a long enough timeline, all the stocks I once held and sold have traded higher.

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  4. gatorsun

    Jets are overrated

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  5. gatorsun

    for every ONVO there lurks an ANGI/GNK/MCP

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  6. civilmetimbers

    Hi I’m relatively new to the stock game and I read your post and O’S. I decided to take a position in SOL yesterday however that stock is still free falling. Is it time to sell it off?

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    • the_wolf

      hold, re-read master fly’s post,.. patience young grasshopper,.. have a stop, a point 5-10% below your entry or less to limit your losses, solar’s are getting no love today

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    • The Fly

      no. If you recall the post from YESTERDAY, it’s an earnings play you ADD addled misfit.

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    • matt_bear

      SOL is tradable down to $4.50ish. It’s still moving within a bullish triangle. Forced resolution of the triangle is next thursday, but typical the pattern breaks out early. I bought today at $4.74 because yesterday felt a little early.

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  7. kapitalist

    Two things.

    First, look at the chart of EGLE this week. And then tell me if you think SOL is still in free fall.

    Secondly, look up an example of a consolidation on a chart. Then proceed to compare that to SOL’s chart.

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  8. The Fly

    any like the new Turkey Gods logo?

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  9. kea

    Why I’m hedged (and adding): I have a secret desire to be poor for the rest of my life. Turkey logo looks great.

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  10. kapitalist

    Exceptional graphic design! It hasn’t yet strayed into tacky territory like google often does.

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  11. heckler

    nice turkey, jerky

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  12. mr.partridge

    $GEVO wow… done baby …. beat all records , came for the win 🙂

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  13. tradingnymph

    Nymph’s Bear Thesis. (In short form). 2009 we created a massive Global imbalance between true demand vs actual supply in the commodities spiked by Govt intervention in China. (The Shaghai Copper Bubble).This division of true need vs supply continued to grow with every successive Central Bank action to add liquidity until the global market. Now China sits with records amounts of Materials and a slower economy. QE Yellen isn’t spiking up the commodities like the old days at all, the Aussie has not gone all ape shit like QE’s before. We have a huge massive build up of resources and well, you read the Walmart Conf Call, a slower holiday season coming. Central Banks created this massive bubble and I have to continued to study it until it pops. Which there is only one rule in this game, Bubbles always Pop. FWIW Copper topped in Feb 2011, and many would say it’s a Head and Shoulders pattern on the 5 year chart for Shanghai Copper breaking the neckline and until someone really needs that Shanghai Copper to build something besides Empty Towns, High Speed Rails that breakdown..I don’t see a Stocktwit Boom, just a Bust. 2014 brings along a stronger dollar and massive builds in materials. IMHO we are just one short move away from Dr. Copper pulling the cord on this Cocaine Party we have been on for five years and sending the Global Markets to Rehab. BTW, really really hard to be a Bear, we are rare these days.

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    • tradingnymph

      edit…To not Until the global markets..and Iran Oil Sanctions talks are back on next Wednesday.

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    • matt_bear

      i’m here with you nymph…i’m just side tracked banking lots of money trading long at the moment.

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      • tradingnymph

        Matt, I started in 2007 learning about stocks, I don’t know the moment it will pop. SPX 1755ish was my last Major Fibo Resistance, we are in major overbought territory and only floating in QE air. It appears in 1987 we did that for a time, but really dangerous for someone like me that doesn’t know what causes a bubble to pop to go long.My horrible ultra short ETF’s I use for tracking beyond bite, Gold hasn’t been working as good for the hedge, but I have to continue this study until the end.

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  14. dragun

    like the osterturk !

    nice calls FLY, between you and OA we should find 5, 5 baggers starting with 5K initial capital.

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  15. rigged game

    I am short (I own inverse 2X and 3X ETF’s and calls on same).

    I have been short for several days, because this market is sitting on an unsustainable spike.

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  16. bushwacker2

    I like your comment about patience. I’m finally starting to learn that I get paid based on stock picking ability and also the ability to sit and watch.

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  17. widespreadpanik

    Fly, what “unique” names are you liking best? RBCN? Whatever happened to IMMR, seems like it might be ready to go soon. Nice work on GOGO!! RBCN over GTAT is an interesting play. GTAT has it in the bag or is it that AAPL eats their own for dinner??

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  18. it is showtime

    Pour some sugar on me should be the Yellen theme

    ew. just got a real disturbing image

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  19. it is showtime

    Pour some sugar on me should be the Yellen theme

    ew. just got a real disturbing image

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  20. aj

    “Are you short and why? ”
    Cos Tim Knight said so?

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