iBankCoin
18 years in Wall Street, left after finding out it was all horseshit. Founder/ Master and Commander: iBankCoin, finance news and commentary from the future.
Joined Nov 10, 2007
23,417 Blog Posts

THE WTI-BRENT SPEAD IS NOW $13

WTI is down $1.70 to 96.58, while Brent is barely off at $109.72.

This is extremely bullish for refinery stocks, particularly those who refine crude ‘mid-continent’. Crude derived from W. Texas do not have the luxury of pipeline infrastructure to transport around the country. Instead, it is trucked around, circa 1900. Because of this annoyance, crude from W. Texas sells at a discount, even to WTI prices. Expanding on that point, gasoline or refined products are priced in Brent, making the WTI-Brent spread a supreme factor in determining profit margins for refinery companies.

The spread has widened from $3 to $13 since September, but down from $20 achieved in March.

Since March, many refinery stocks have traded down because of the tightening spread, spearheaded by analyst downgrades.

Look for said analysts to eat crow. The sector is back in play again.

Top picks: ALJ, ALDW, WNR, HFC and DK

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9 comments

  1. gatorsun

    yep ALJ can run up as fast as it ran down…did it before…ripping shorts to 14 and beyond

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  2. matt_bear

    Black gold.

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  3. belzile

    NTI they are Padi 2

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  4. paradoks cat

    CAPSUCKSHISOWNDICK

    always remember.. oct 23 2008

    http://ibankcoin.com/flyblog/2008/10/23/fly-buys-skf-mos-nov-aci/

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  5. granpa

    History. Yes, the History of the Land of Fly. The greatest land of the interweb worlds.

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    • tradercaddy

      Funny thing though.
      You and I haven’t aged at all.
      We are as good looking and as smart as ever.

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  6. bood

    problem is there’s lot of interest shorting (some of ) these names waitin for the ratio to reverse

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  7. the_ambassador

    Others r saying that this will push oil and refining stocks down; hence VLO’s fall today. Am I missing something…?

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