SMUGNESS WILL GET YOU NOWHERE

The market is flat and I am up a smidge. However, there is a lesson to be learned from today’s trading session in the shares of YELP.

All of you little creatures of the night, wannabe Einhorns and Ackmans, went short YELP ahead of the lock-up period expiring, which happens to be today. How do you feel about that now? The stock was down a dollar this morning, but then reversed– CONSTANZA STYLE– and is now murdering shorts by the dozen, up almost 4.

Nothing is a given, always remember that.

I have meetings today and will be checking in from time to time. I don’t anticipate much action ahead of the Fed.

You should take this time to stress test your portfolios and prepare for extreme volatility.

Previous Posts by The Fly

25 Responses to SMUGNESS WILL GET YOU NOWHERE

BottleRocket says:

Speaking of volatility, UVXY will complete a 1:10 reverse split next week. Considering it went from 30 to 5 dollars in less than 6 months, why is this not the best long term short idea ever? Seems like these products are good for short term spikes and long term declines.

Reply
republicat says:

Wait —- for the –
VIX to hit 25+;

If that occurs before Halloween, I will short those ETFs like the Coyote on the Roadrunner.

Reply
Tonka says:

Because event driven hedge funds had no idea an opportunity existed in regards to lockup expiration’s…

Nope, when you heard about it on CNBC you were one of the first people to ever think about such a can’t fail trade idea.

In fact, the Facebook lockup was the first time anyone had ever traded lockup expiration’s…

Reply

Wannabe Soros/Dalio for this Nymph Creature of the Night. Oil is fading…Clam is going to do his speech on how he was right and all this QE didn’t hurt anything, that it is a tool he can use at anypoint. BTW, Mainland China HIT FEB 2009 LOWS last night…place is a mess and the Clam can’t fix it with more money to fund lending if the banks don’t lend…bank deposits are at super highs. BTW Fly never did answer what his 6th position is…

Reply

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