Leveraged Long

Once again, all of you fuckers who were calling for a market crash this morning were wrong. You’re like a living fable, specific to the boy who cried wolf. The market fell 75 points and no one gives a shit about Greece anymore.

Here is what is going to happen:

The fucktards who just got elected will find religion and tow the line. If not, they will be kicked out of the EU and Spain and Italy will enjoy strong ring fencing to support their borrowing costs via the ECB. If you insist on betting on disaster, I will adamantly bet against you. It’s true, the market has been tough; but let’s not listen to men dressed like cows, declaring all is lost.  There is nothing extraordinary about the market action. As a point in fact, it is behaving as it should, more than ever.

Companies with bad earnings are being deflated, while winners keep wining. Old man stocks are regarded as safe havens and small cappers are volatile.

Gold and silver are horrible and TLT is on the cusp of $120 again. It is clear to me, the threat to the system is not Zimbabwe style inflation, but the specter of the economy falling into a deflationary vortex. Because of that, you can bank on the Fed providing a bid for this market. Now if you are in the camp who believes such a bid will only present itself AFTER a calamitous market decline, maybe down to 10,000 Dow, I believe you do not know the Bearded Clam very well.

He’s gonna get you bitches, starting with tomorrows trade.

NOTE: I am 110% long.

 

Previous Posts by The Fly

28 Responses to Leveraged Long

Genghis Khan says:

Fly- I’m curious, what is your YTD now, are you still in positive territory? Also, did you sell CLR? Any word on commodities? A lot of them have been shitting the shower lately. Thanks.

Reply
jason says:

Ya Fly long for sure. I am in gold oil and e-mini longs snortin junk off strippers lower back tattoos. Long live the clam and his coke-blunts!

Reply
jimmy_two_times says:

Fly, with all due respect. In a previous post you had mentioned no QEing until 10500 or so on the Dow.

Why the change?

Reply
Fidel Cash Grow says:

I don’t know if I am on board with everyone on IBC, including myself, having access to the Fly’s picture collection. Part of the fun of checking out the latest post was to see if the Fly would trot out Merlin or one of my other favorite pics. May seem like an odd request, but I respectfully encourage the Fly to be less generous, and to share less in the future.

Sold $P, bought $LNKD on the dip and sold 6 points higher. Not a bad day ($YELP notwithstanding)

Reply
Bobby Boucher says:

Equity only put-call ratio at .98 as of today’s close. Average going back to 2003 is .65 with a std deviation of .12

So we are now almost 3 std deviations above the mean. The rubber band is getting ready to snap back and rip the tits off the shorts.

Reply

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Major US US Futures Europe Asia Commodities 2yr Euro Yields 10yr Euro Yields Oil
  • DOW 15,354.40 0.80%
  • NASDAQ 3,498.97 0.97%
  • S&P 500 1,667.47 1.03%
  • VIX 12.45 -4.74%
  • SPX 500 (CFD) 1,665.90 -0.01%
  • DOW (CFD) 15,345.00 -0.06%
  • NASDAQ 100 3,025.10 -0.13%
  • EURUSD 1.283 -0.05%
  • UK 6,723.06 0.53%
  • GERMANY 8,398.00 0.34%
  • FRANCE 4,001.27 0.56%
  • SPAIN 8,582.40 0.47%
  • H. KONG 23,082.70 0.17%
  • JAPAN 15,138.10 0.67%
  • KOREA 1,986.81 0.79%
  • SHANGHAI 2,282.87 1.38%
  • NAT GAS 4.10 -0.24%
  • GOLD 1,453.60 -0.60%
  • SILVER 23.76 -0.77%
  • COPPER 3.19 0.32%
  • FRANCE 2YR 0.19 -10.90%
  • GERMAN 2YR -0.03 -314.29%
  • ITALIAN 2YR 2.18 27.59%
  • SPAIN 2YR 2.81 8.21%
  • FRANCE 10YR 1.86 -0.96%
  • GERMAN 10YR 1.33 -0.38%
  • ITALIAN 10YR 3.90 -2.04%
  • SPAIN 10YR 4.21 -2.35%
  • WTI 96.02 0.90%
  • BRENT 104.72 0.00%
  • WTI/BRENT 8.70
  • 321 CR SPR 21.96 10.04%