Thursday, March 18th, 2010

According to the Laws of Mathematics…

Tuesday, November 24, 2009 at 8:55 pm

34

…Green Mountain Coffee Roasters Inc. (GMCR: 97.61 +3.92%) is deeply oversold.

One of the little tricks of  The PPT is knowing how to determine Oversold/Overbought ranges, using historical records, made readily available to all subscribers.

At the risk of putting a foot in my mouth, I will tell you, with a great deal of confidence, GMCR is nearing the bottom of its trading range. Historically, the stock HAS NEVER registered a technical reading below 1 (strong sell), until today of course. At the close of trading today, the stock closed down $1.48, with a technical score of just 0.94 aka NEW ALL TIME LOW. What does this mean?

Well, for one, it means the stock has been very weak. However, historically, the stock bounces rather quickly whenever The PPT grades it below 1.15, on a technical basis. For the most part, the fundamental score has been flat to up, at around 4.20 (strong buy).

The last time the score was in this ballpark was on 11/6, registering a score of 1.10,  when the stock was  trading at $67.61. Three days later, the stock hit a high of $75.91. Prior to that,  on 10/30, the score hit 1.12, when the share price was at $66.55. However, after three days, the stock only gained .30. Lastly, on 8/19, the score hit 1.15, when the share price was at $55.61. Fast forward three days, the stock was above $58.86.

Life is all about putting your balls on the line, gentleman. Today, I stepped in and bought more Green Mountain Coffee Roasters Inc. (GMCR: 97.61 +3.92%) . Let’s see what the stock Gods have in store for me.

EXCLUSIVE: Pics of “The Fly’s” Keurig in action, a must have for all of you “coffee players” out there.
flykeurig
flybrewing
flycoffee

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Comments

34 Responses to “According to the Laws of Mathematics…”
  1. assmnan says:

    Thats right bitch. I sold a bunch of December 65 puts so the mothafucka better start moving north again god damnit. I think this buyout battle they are in is hurting the stock to.

  2. mreb says:

    Fly, you do know the stock is moving based on the day to day developments of its bidding war for DDRX against PEET right? There’s like 2-3 press releases every day on it.

    Today it sold off because GMCR upped their cash bid from $30 to $32.

  3. mreb says:

    GMCR prob doesn’t move up until the market believes the DDRX battle is over. Right now the market is worried GMCR has to pay more for DDRX than $30-32.

  4. Kiwin says:

    Under the title of this entry it says: “Tuesday, November 24, 2009 at at 8:55 pm.”

    You have two “at” there, FYI. Get that gravy-man on that.

  5. henryfool says:

    I’m in for more in the am.

  6. No One says:

    Title makes no sense.

  7. Dr Fly says:

    Lots of things in life make no sense. You should make it your business to point such things out.

  8. softbatch26 says:

    stock Gods, what happened to the turkey Gods?

  9. Dr Fly says:

    Soon Santa Fly is coming to town

  10. tgarfield says:

    Is this turning into ftk. Are you short this stocks?
    Maybe you should pretend to be short in your blog.

  11. ahead of the curve says:

    Hat tip for the newsbot.

  12. lindsay says:

    thanks so much for the newsbot Fly

  13. Derek says:

    Fly,

    Hey bro, I seen you zipping down 1st street today in your silver PT Cruiser, the one with the flames on it.
    I honked but you was appeared to be fervently labouring over Chinese take out; chop sticks, blue tooth connected and all.

    Maybe next time.

  14. Jworthy says:

    Nice, newsbot.

  15. Soup kitchen says:

    If you want to impress me ,show me a pic of your time machine…..

  16. HuggieBear says:

    On your guidance, Fly, I shall take this one plunge into GMCR. This may or may not be the first and only time i follow your guidance — that is what we’re dealing with here.

  17. SteveTheNeighbor says:

    Neighbor Fly. Can I borrow your coffee thingy for tomorrow? Mother-In-Law Steve and Aunt and Uncle Steve will be here for Thanksgiving. I promise not to break it like I did with your eight track player (I did return the disco ball).

  18. Ponch says:

    Thanks for posting those pictures. Now I know I will not get one, as the coffee looks like pisswater and you can see right through it. Coffee should be dark and strong…. just the way you like your men Fly….hehe

    • Po Pimp says:

      No doubt. Coffee should be strong enough to eat with a fork. Think I’ll be sticking with my tried and true Community Coffee.

  19. smurf says:

    Happy Swear Day everyone!

  20. ZenProfit says:

    I miss the large blue oatmeal bowl pix. Not to mention the old radio.

  21. The Fly says:

    The coffee is great. My favorite old school coffee is illy and it’s always light.

  22. Dr. Incognito says:

    What kind of damage are you expecting to do with such a tiny coffee cup?

  23. The Fly says:

    They have dark roast too.

    Dr. , I concur

  24. Whodunnit says:

    For someone who hates techincal analysis, you sure seem to rely on it alot.

  25. alesandro says:

    americas standard of living will decline in the next decade. we are moving back to instant coffee.

    • sandfleas says:

      lol, alesandro, my mother still drinks her instant Maxwell House
      and I am talking more than 50 years.
      Future generations will not drink the instant stuff
      as their parents have already instilled the routine of coffee grinders
      and beans into their progenies’ morning routine.
      Colleges have already caught on to the trendiness
      of lattes and students walking around with
      Starbucks’ cups is all the rage.
      One must have a coffee in his/her hand at all times.
      GMCR will run to its 50-day and then take a breather.

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