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Let the revolution begin!
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Zoodie (6 mins ago) The Picasso of this blogging game! [...]
TheArtist (21 mins ago) love it.... [...]
z (36 mins ago) That chart is clearly printing a Bush & Clown Lips formation. [...]
Yossarian (42 mins ago) Show this to Gentle Ben yet? [...]
JROD (49 mins ago) Mr. Fly, Please check: https://www.donfishback.com/blog/2009/10/28/early-performance-indicates-vxx-is-a-horrible-volatility-product/ [...]
Budfester (11 mins ago) Nice going on this John. Was watching you from the side. I expected it to tank, went short and got killed. You are quick on the trigger, m [...]
mhass33 (29 mins ago) Best post in the history of the internet [...]
rd (1 hour ago) FWIW, based on the screen shot of your order entry, the first trade netted approx $5,800. [...]
SlayingDragons (1 hour ago) One hell of a play. [...]
carlco2 (3 hours ago) thnx for the detailed charts, what a beautiful trade on flat day to. Good to relax and celebrate with a few chicken squawks ;) [...]
SlayingDragons (28 mins ago) My gut says oil is going to get hit the hardest of comodatees (sic) when the correction happens. Oversupply, low demand, inflated price. [...]
JakeGint (10 hours ago) Deep in the money SPY puts are much more my style. Why feck with a backwards ass ETF? _____ [...]
RaginCajun (11 hours ago) ha, indeed it does. [...]
BernieCornfeld (11 hours ago) oh..I am scared, but VXX looks like SD or UNG in disguise [...]
RaginCajun (11 hours ago) lol, "Banquing more coin than a cigarette machine in a methadone rehab ward." Nice trade Jake the snake, just let me know when you're rea [...]
OpihiMan (17 hours ago) I think you were eyeing FUQI as a short at one time, but I can't recall how long ago that was. . . Wonder who caught that -37% drop yeste [...]
OpihiMan (17 hours ago) Wrong chart. [...]
OpihiMan (17 hours ago) Gio You posted this CAGC chart on your HITK post. [...]
hooper (1 day ago) Gio What is your take on CGA Thanks [...]
allan (2 days ago) 3 posts in one day? welcome back :) [...]
DPeezy (7 hours ago) I got sucked in by The Hoyas as well. I even picked Notre Dame for a couple wins. Yikes. _________ The Huskies are one of the hottes [...]
sg07 (7 hours ago) "as it seems stocks are finally going to head into a cycle low here, with the PM miners leading the charge." What do you mean by "cycle l [...]
JakeGint (9 hours ago) Holy crap, the first day of Tourney play has been some of the most fanstastical and exhausting play I've ever seen. If the rest of the Tour [...]
JakeGint (10 hours ago) The Huskies only can sell their soul to Satan once. No other explanation for that string of shots that just kept falling towards the later [...]
mrkcbill (11 hours ago) Now that was a good baskeetball game. Huskies are exciting team. [...]
SiCal (1 min ago) Hi Wood, Some time ago you said you would be working on a short system. Any developments on this? [...]
tapesense (8 hours ago) You discretionary bastard :) [...]
franky (1 day ago) thanks for the input -- and yep, i'm painfully aware. i'm experimenting with "automatic" trading using IB's scale-in/take profit @ feature. [...]
Woodshedder (1 day ago) RSI2 is still working for a long-side entry indicator, but it will not work very well by itself. There has to be other factors involved. I m [...]
franky (1 day ago) i've been looking for a reason to buy BX wood -- thanks! also, have you looked at RSI(2) for an entry indicator? is it crap? i've had modera [...]
Hawaii Five0 (1 day ago) Thanks Danny, I think I got a little more of what you're saying with that explanation. If I'm nothing else, I am persistent. But beli [...]
Danny (2 days ago) sweet [...]
manuelstop (2 days ago) Dan--I'll email you at the address you used for the newsletter. EOD is super slow, and I'll do late 2nite. English is hard-visuals are eas [...]
Danny (2 days ago) I try not to look at it in terms of lighten up or load up as black and white. I mean frankly no one knows the future, so if you went 100% l [...]
Danny (2 days ago) I should also add, that the picks from yesterday weren't as ideal, as, say HSNI, as gleaned from my comments. Of the four suggested, 3 had [...]
wealthmiser (13 hours ago) vxx not exactly an original idea..look at the volume..i assume that you meant 22.19 vxx is the kind of stock one hopes one is wrong on..plus [...]
wealthmiser (13 hours ago) did you get out of smsi or hold some? How long are your trades on average ? You look at PE or Earnings or you strictly a chart guy sc [...]
Henry Fool (18 hours ago) alright, that's cool too. [...]
KreppaNu (18 hours ago) Jake made me change back to this one... More VXX for me here @ 2.19!... [...]
Loadup (21 hours ago) Load up on YRCW [...]
robert (10 hours ago) Sigh. [...]
Le Indie Rotary Phone (10 hours ago) Come again? [...]
robert (2 days ago) “Here, have a cookie. I promise when you finish eating it you’ll be feeling right as rain.” [...]
JakeGint (3 days ago) I am casting a spell of "unlearning" on this blog, as I fear you are giving away too many of the "comp'ny secrets" with which I bullscheiss [...]
Wall$treetKid (3 days ago) Great stuff [...]
JakeGint (13 hours ago) TRANNIES. _____ [...]
Le Fly (19 hours ago) 30% of my assets are still long. So yes, vxx is a hedge. [...]
TA (19 hours ago) WTF? What competition? With who? You've done a great job on the market so far.I will keep it to myself if you like. [...]
sg (20 hours ago) I am not sure it's a hedge. Fly just has TLT and VXX and lots of cash. [...]
scott (22 hours ago) I appreciate your kind words, but comeon. There is NO competition...and don't be jerky... [...]
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fly is GOD!
FLY
What brand watch do you wear?
“Sucking at the hind tit of a dead cow” - Good stuff!
the fly wears a neon swatch, with the rubber bumper guards.
Does anyone see a problem here:
The current instability in the credit markets could adversely affect our ability to obtain financing or re-financing at favorable rates.
As of December 31, 2008, we had approximately $2.11 billion of mortgage debt, a significant portion of which is subject to balloon payments. We do not expect to have cash flows from operations to make all of these balloon payments. The fixed rate mortgage debt has the following maturation schedule:
2009
$ 18.8 million
2010
334.5 million
2011
301.5 million
2012
168.0 million
Thereafter
1,289.5 million
RuhRoh this could get nasty….
Gapping -
Who is “we?” If the “we” is any entity larger than a modest savings and loan, then I wouldn’t exactly get too concerned about $2 billion in “Dewey Defeats Truman” buttons.
Either a Timex or a Casio?
Awesome vid Fly
When is that toothless slacker going to update the brackets?
Term Limits. That is the key. It seems to be the only way to end this asshattery.
Calculator watch. seiko data 2000 to be eggzact
http://www.pocketcalculatorshow.com/nerdwatch/graphics/seiko-data2000-watch+keyboard.jpg
It’s also anti democratic, Junk Spread as people should have the right to vote in whoever they like.
the problem is and always has been money in politics. Lower the spending down to the bear knuckles at the federal level and you wouldn’t give a shit who is in power.
The United States needs to go back to its roots. It was never intended to be a democracy, it was always a constitutional republic. Big difference.
Holy Crap this is Rush Limbaugh, Sean Hannity, Ann Coulter combined, with a sprinking of Glenn Beck.
Jeez.
punyandy: That we would be HME.
And that is only one of the countless issues they are facing.
J said:
“It’s also anti democratic…” “It was never intended to be a democracy, it was always a constitutional republic.”
You have successfully reinforced my point, my good man.
I should have explained myself a little better, JunkS.
The US was never meant to be run under majoritarian rule. That’s what I should have said.
fly has a mini time machine for a watch.
I got a better idea FuckFace.
Why don’t you take your kids and grandkids and down to the Cheesecake Factory and drop a couple hunjie into the system.
This could have been a great financial site if that fly maggot would go away. The others contributors are great… The fly is just a poser.
Fly, As good as the other guys are, you make coming here a joke with all your stupidity and bootlicker followers.
I am done and gone.
Don’t let the door hit you on the way out. Asshole.
j
What do you think of this plan for all the dog shit assets in the banks? Do you think this plan is what ran the banks up the last few weeks and this is going to be a sell the news? Looks like the futures are up 1%. I
Si vis pacem, para bellum.
I stole this thought from a different site and it kind of makes sense;
“One (there are a few) reason that the market for Big Shitpile securities is “frozen” is that it would have been stupid to sell them at an actual market price when Timmeh’s been promising that one day soon he’ll scoop them up at above market prices.”
Mrkcbill
No, i really don’t think the recent run up was as a result of the plan. Don’t forget that Geithner has been getting shit since he first announced some sort of plan.
I think the banks went up simply correcting the the huge falls.
Look, i think it’s this simple. If the plan looks as though the shit will be taken out of the balance sheets with little cost to them, the banks will revert to book value..the move could be that big.
If the plan doesn’t appear to be that “helpful” then that’s a different kettle of rotten fish.
I tend to think they’re trying as best they can to get these assets out of the balance sheets at little to no cost to the banks and the Fed is on the other side of the ball trying to create a huge monetary expansion.
It could work… however I wouldn’t exactly call it successful as all they’re doing is engineering another crash down the road. There’s no such thing as a free lunch.
The other interesting thing the Fed is doing is that it’s really fucking with the ECB and the BOJ’s heads. They’re basically saying monetize as the weakness in the dollar can only be countered by these two through aggressive monetary easing. Don’t do it and you’re all dead as the strength in the Eruo and the Yen will kill you.
Even the Chinese are fucked and they know it. Where the fuck are they going to go with 1.5 trillion worth of US bonds. They can’t sell this shit as it would fuck them. I think the Chinese will eventually catch on to the idea that the only way they can protect their holding is buying US assets possibly through minority positions in US firms- using their bond holdings as collateral for straight loans. It’s all they can do if they want to prevent the value getting debased and cut in 1/2 over the nest 10 years.
So in other words the Fed is engineering a world wide monetary expansion of mammoth proportions.
The jury is out on whether it will work, but it may and could send asset prices up again over the next few years. Long term the worst place to be in is in cash.
another fun run
kool aid is d lishuus…Plug me back in to the matrix
all this negativity is boring
This is almost as cool as when KTEL records opened a website…and the stock split twice ….frieght trains kill a bitch
Fuck it all……lets go surfing…..the endless summer is coming around the corner….get the sexwax out and gas up the wagon, for the pussies, sun screen will be required.
You out in california, Artist?
a 500 sqft shack in la jolla right off the beach might be had for 200k or less by now. bunson burner included
J-
enjoy your thoughts always, what do you think of Gartman’s assesment that the Aus and NZ dollars are the best currencies for the next few years? Looking at some closed end funds with huge aussie gov’t exposure. e.g. FAX
Charlie:
Here’s the thing about the aussie. If you think world liquidity is going to be ample over the next while.. that the central banks will produce oceans of liquidity… the Aussie will do well as it always does in those circumstances. The converse is also true.
Basically the Aussie is an excellent liquidity marker.
The new zealand dollar to a lesser degree. However the NZ dollar will of course do fantastically as the new PM is a former FX dealer who worked for Bankers Trust and Merrill. He used to be my trading assistant for a little while and I used to send him out to pick up my car from the service center. I taught he all he knows so of course he’ll do fantastically well
True, he used to be my junior.
He was like Fly’s Vincenzo eventually becoming the Prez. LOL.
In short if the banking plan takes off the aussie will be super charged too as the fed and soon the rest of the gang will load the world with money up to our ears.
However never lose sight of the fact that the aussie is a piece of shit currency with huge overseas borrowings and when the world is illiquid there is enormous pressure on the currency.
I guess the devils are still in the details. Who is in first loss position and what will the bids actually come in at. Looks like if private equity can raise 400 Billion or so, it might actually make a dent in the 1.5T toxic assets, but way too many details
http://www.ft.com/cms/s/0/81ca704c-170a-11de-9a72-0000779fd2ac.html
The five new joint venture funds would be able to draw on Fed Talf financing. This is a surprise concession by the
Fed, which has maintained that the Talf was to finance new lending rather than legacy assets. For portfolios of problem loans, the government will use a separate vehicle backed by the FDIC. Banks will offer pools of loans for sale in an auction format. Authorised joint venture partners will bid for these pools. The government will provide the winning bidder with up to four times the equity a private investor puts in. The FDIC will guarantee loans of up to six times equity.
Heh. Very funny video. “Stop being cowards, fellow Americans. Put a teabag in an envelope and call a talk radio show.”
Just the thought of such daring makes me swoon.
The claims that members of Congress don’t pay into Social Security and get 100% salary for life after a single term are bogus.
Give me liberty with the facts, or give me death!
The aussie correlates well with gold and commodities, so if you think those two areas are bullish, then the aussie trade will work very well. However, the flip side, if you feel the US markets are going down, and we have another meltdown like the fall, then most people will run to the safety of the dollar, and drive all the other currencies down, including the aussie.
it doesn’t correlate well to gold at all…… and which commodities exactly?
If Aussie correlated to gold, it would be in the 90’s as gold is pretty much at its highs.
j,
got it from a video from. I thought there was an 80% correlation to gold with the aussie, guess depends on what the greenback’s doing, and if the people run to saftey of the grerenback, they’re running to gold too. sorry.
http://www.learningmarkets.com/index.php/video-will-the-us-bailout-help-the-aud.html
Erkel
No please don’t apologize. It’s okay to make mistakes. Please don’t feel i jumped down your neck as it wasn’t my intention. It’s far better to get things into right in the end.
thanks for coming back.
“Term Limits. That is the key. It seems to be the only way to end this asshattery.”
No we have that in Michigan and all it does is consolidate power in the executive branch. The real solution will be when people actually get involved in government, find out how their reps and senators are voting on the bills before them and then use their heads at the voting booth instead of mindlessly drinking the party kool-aid.
“Shorts blunderbussed, film at eleven. ”
___
JPMorgan Might Lose Dimon to a Geithner Flameout
http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601039&sid=aVo3AMbZl0Ko&refer=home
I don’t get it? Are libs only impressed by protests with rhyming signs, then?
Mocking the free assembly clause from the Left– c’mon you knew it was coming, people. The last thing they are is consistent.
____
The guy has a few flaws in his speech - do not send mail to Congress - it goes to a warehouse where it is checked for “white powder” and stuff. You have to email or fax.
WTF!!!! no mention about abolishing the federal reserve which is MORE DANGEROUS THAN STANDING ARMIES according to Thomas Jefferson!
This is a B.S> Fucking distraction from the real fucking issue…
Brilliant! I’m sending teabags to legislative branch, judicial branch, executive branch, and “monetary branch” (what the fed has become).
“You have to email or fax.”
How exactly does one email teabags? and how is that effective?
Ha ha ILLEGAL IMMIGRANTS CAUSED THE ECONOMY TO TANK OMG!!!1!!!1!!!11!!!
I’d like to clean public toilets with that ass’s head.
Is there anyone out there who can get a ‘transcript’ version out there?
I tried to send it to friends overseas (soldiers) and they can’t pull up the vid, it is blocked thanks.