iBankCoin
18 years in Wall Street, left after finding out it was all horseshit. Founder/ Master and Commander: iBankCoin, finance news and commentary from the future.
Joined Nov 10, 2007
23,468 Blog Posts

This Rally Cannot Last

Do not be fooled. The market will not rally with Morgan Stanley [[MS]] and Goldman Sachs Group, Inc. [[GS]] in the shit box. As long as people have doubts about them, the market will drill itself lower—putting holes in asshole dip buyers in its path.

Again, I made a mistake selling out of my energy stocks yesterday. However, if it makes some of you feel better, I did load up on Freeport-McMoRan Copper & Gold Inc. [[FCX]] , which should charge higher soon.

At the present, my total energy exposure consists of National-Oilwell Varco, Inc. [[NOV]] , Western Refining, Inc. [[WNR]] and Clean Energy Fuels Corp. [[CLNE]] .

On the long side, I like the action in ag stocks. Lindsay Corporation [[LNN]] , Valmont Industries, Inc. [[VMI]] and Potash Corp./Saskatchewan (USA) [[POT]] look less than gay.

Finally, I sold out of all of my [[FXP]] today, due to China Mobile Ltd. (ADR) [[CHL]] fuckery. And, I am really digging the move in Hansen Natural Corporation [[HANS]] today, despite not owning a single share. I just like their products.

NOTE: Bill Miller still sucks.

NOTE II: [[SKF]] and [[SRS]] still look pretty neat.

NOTE III: The death drop by State Street Corporation [[STT]] will sound some alarms. Elevator down.

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25 comments

  1. johndough

    Thoughts on gold and silver on this intraday pullback?

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  2. STT

    state street

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  3. CubsRock

    I’m holding many small/mid-cap Tech names, they are all holding up nicely in this sell off. Tech is going to be the place to go.

    Any thoughts on that Master Fly?

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  4. Big Mike

    Sooo…Dougie Kass is bullish on MS, and so am I. This cannot be a good sign.

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  5. ss

    Obama is a manchurian candidate

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  6. Zbigniew Brezinski

    I am an elitest who wishes to destroy russia through a facist american attack.

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  7. Juice

    While The Fly was up Egregious %’s yesterday, Bill has been Miller was not so busy losing 5.87%.

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  8. wtf?

    Fly, what do you think of shorting RKH here?????

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  9. The Fly

    RKH is a good short, as is IAI.

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  10. Juice

    MS + WB = a merger of loosers. Thats like the Mariners merging with the Padres.

    Sell that combo short, to zero.

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  11. Ozark Hillbilly

    I’m pretty much still all in on the short side, except for some bottom picks in energy. My account balance was not pretty this morning ….. but looks OK now thanks largely to AAPL.

    I’d love to go long on some beaten up bank preferreds in my IRA’s but I think it gets worse yet before it gets better. Also stil looking to short some industrial stocks that haven’t been hit yet.

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  12. Juice

    GGP just shit in its dinner plate. So sad. 🙁

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  13. Yogi & Boo Boo

    Ugly Ugly tape

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  14. Juice

    GGP seems to have come down with dysentery. Such a shame. 🙁

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  15. Ozark Hillbilly

    MS + WB

    Its like tying together two birds that each have a broken wing and trying to get them to fly again.

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  16. Aris

    i used to have a few friends that worked at state street – some probably still do – and i’m worried about this action today. something must be up.

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  17. Juice

    KEY & FHN just cracked. I’m thinking RF may go next.

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  18. CubsRock

    SKF over $144, The Fly wins.

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  19. Big Mike

    Fly,

    What price are you covering your Goldman Short? Book value? or Tangible Book value? We are hitting it now.

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  20. Juice

    FITB getting ready to join the shower shitting party.

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  21. The Fly

    I am short GS until the cows come home.

    FITB too.

    STT dropping on AIG exposure. Again, this is the list of AIG bagholders.

    AXA (ADR) (AXA: 29.00 +4.35%) : 161 million shares

    State Street Corporation (STT: 53.78 -16.94%) : 96 million shares

    Barclays PLC (ADR) (BCS: 21.62 -4.34%) : 94 million shares

    The Bank of New York Mellon Corporation (BK: 31.29 -5.47%) : 31 million shares

    Legg Mason, Inc. (LM: 35.83 +0.96%) : 29 million shares

    Northern Trust Corporation (NTRS: 66.32 -6.22%) : 29 million shares

    T. Rowe Price Group, Inc. (TROW: 51.96 -2.82%) : 23 million shares

    Janus Capital Group Inc. (JNS: 21.68 +1.26%) : 19 million shares

    Goldman Sachs Group, Inc. (GS: 105.44 -7.91%) : 17 million shares

    Morgan Stanley (MS: 18.51 -14.90%) : 16 million shares

    Bank of America Corporation (BAC: 28.14 +3.46%) : 16 million shares.

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  22. recusancy

    WB a good short on this spike up?

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  23. pie eater

    STT also has large MS exposure.

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  24. hmmmm

    Fly- where do you get your holdings numbers?

    From yahoo…reported 6/30/08 AXA has ~132.6M shares or 4.93% of % outstanding.

    http://finance.yahoo.com/q/mh?s=AIG

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  25. dunnoShite

    is the kraft move into down priced in? or will that happen on/around the day it actaully is in (9/23?) or end of month when fund managers rebalance index funds?

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