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Monthly Archives: April 2012

The Dow Jones Economic Sentiment Indicator Rose for the Third Month in a Row

By Kathleen Madigan

The Dow Jones Economic Sentiment Indicator rose for the third month in a row, as job gains are providing momentum to the U.S. economy.

The ESI advanced to 48.1 in March, from 47.4 in February. The ESI is now at its highest reading since December 2007, although the rate of progress last month was slower than in previous months.

“The indicator suggests that employment growth remained robust during the month and that the recovery is in hand, although not yet with the ebullience of past rebounds out of recession,” said Dow Jones Newswires “Money Talks” columnist Alen Mattich.

Positive coverage continues to be driven by better news on the labor markets. Better job growth will provide the money and confidence consumers need to keep lifting their spending, a key driver of U.S. economic activity. Coverage of the Federal Reserve was also positive for the outlook.

Negative news was dominated by the sting of higher gasoline prices. Worries about the health of the U.S. banking system were also a negative for future growth.

The economic sentiment indicator is designed to project the health of the U.S. economy by analyzing coverage of 15 major American newspapers, using a proprietary algorithm to look for positive and negative sentiment about the economy in every article.

The ESI is reported on a scale of 0 to 100; higher numbers represent increasingly positive sentiment. Dow Jones selected the 15 newspapers used to compile the indicator because they include extensive original reporting on economic issues. They are also geographically diverse and represent eight of the 10 largest metropolitan areas in the U.S.

Read the rest here.

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Brent – WTI Trades to Highest Levels Since October

Bespoke:

The only thing worse for drivers than rising crude oil prices here in the US is the rising spread between Brent and WTI crude oil.  Since bottoming out late last year, the spread between the two benchmark prices of crude oil has risen by more than 140% and is now back above $20 per barrel.

Read the rest here.

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Al Qaeda Warns New York

Al Qaeda Warns New York

 

A graphic appearing on jihadi forums Monday caught the NYPD’s attention—not just for its announcement of a potential terrorist threat but for its unusually sleek graphic design. The graphic features a stylized image of New York City with the headline “Al Qaeda: Coming Soon Again to New York.” An NYPD spokesman said the website where it appeared is heavily used by Islamic militants, and that the city police and the FBI were investigating.

SOURCE

 

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S&P 500 Beating Gold Most Since 1999 on Positive Earnings

By Srinivasan Sivabalan and Whitney Kisling – Apr 2, 2012 5:53 PM ET

The best first-quarter gain for the Standard & Poor’s 500 Index since 1998 sent U.S. stocks above gold by the most in more than a decade, a sign of growing investor confidence in corporate profits as analysts raise earnings estimates for the first time this year.

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Hedge Your Bets in Japan; Evacuation of Tokyo a Possibility Given Two Factors

Factor #1: How bad will it get ?

Factor #2: Not only has Japan decided to not fund  the Nuclear and Industrial Safety Agency (NISA) and the Nuclear Safety Commission of Japan (NSC), but many say they have not learned from their previous mistakes.

This makes for a higher increase of a black swan event imo….

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5th Circuit Court of Appeals Orders Justice Dept. to Determine if Courts Have the Authority to Pass Judgment on the Constitutionality of Laws

“President Barack Obama’s attack on the Supreme Court appeared to backfire Tuesday, when the Fifth Circuit Court of Appeals issued an order giving the Justice Department until noon Thursday to state whether the administration truly believes courts lack the authority to strike down mandates that they determine are unconstitutional.

On Monday, Obama said that striking down his signature healthcare legislation would be an “unprecedented, extraordinary step” and would demonstrate a lack of “judicial restraint” by the Supreme Court.

He also pointed out that the nine Supreme Court justices are unelected, suggesting that it would therefore be undemocratic for them to overturn Obamacare, which narrowly eked through Congress by a seven vote margin in the House of Representatives.

“This is liberals in shock over watching their side being demolished in oral arguments,” Fox News commentator Charles Krauthammer said Tuesday, pointing out the courts have had the authority to strike down unconstitutional provisions for over 200 years. “And [they are] trying to bully the Supreme Court into ending up on their side in a case which they clearly had lost intellectually and logically.”

The order from the Fifth Circuit for the Justice Department to clarify its position on judicial authority came during a separate challenge to Obamacare brought by physician-owned hospitals.

As a Justice Department lawyer began arguing the government’s case, Appeals Judge Jerry Smith interrupted the presentation to ask if the Fifth Circuit Court had the legal authority to strike down a law it finds to be unconstitutional. CBS News reports that when the government lawyer answered affirmatively, the judge stated that it was not clear to “many of us” that the president agrees.

The three-judge panel then gave the Justice Department until noon Thursday to provide a three-page letter clarifying whether it believes courts have the authority to pass judgment on the constitutionality of laws….”

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Tokyo Issue a Tornado Warning as The Strongest Winds in 50 Years Hits the Island Nation

“Japanese airlines canceled hundreds of flights, some train services were halted and thousands of workers went home early as some of the strongest winds in more than 50 years hit Tokyo today.

The weather agency issued a tornado warning for the Tokyo area after the storm dumped as much as 6 centimeters (2.4 inches) of rain an hour in central Japan as it crossed from the southwest, with winds gusting up to 140 kilometers (87 miles) an hour. An 82-year-old woman died after being knocked over by the wind and hitting her head, national broadcaster NHK reported….”

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China Doubles the Quota for Foreign Investment

China accelerated the opening of its capital markets by more than doubling the amount foreigners can invest in stocks, bonds and bank deposits as the government shifts its growth model to domestic consumption from exports.

The China Securities Regulatory Commission increased the quotas for qualified foreign institutional investors to $80 billion from $30 billion, according to a statement on its website yesterday. Offshore investors will also be allowed to pump an extra 50 billion yuan ($7.95 billion) of local currency into the country, up from 20 billion yuan….”

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