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Dr. Fly

18 years in Wall Street, left after finding out it was all horseshit. Founder/ Master and Commander: iBankCoin, finance news and commentary from the future.

ROFL @ FNM

What the fuck?

[[FNM]] just hit an iceberg, called California. Abandon ship and grab onto any floating doors and shit.

My “Reverse Five Horsemen” of agony keep printing coin: [[FED]], [[PACW]], [[DSL]], [[CORS]] and [[FHN]].

Folks, we have a full fledged panic in the markets, with wheel chaired bank stocks leading the way. Sadly enough, I know some very good people who are heavily long banks now, trying to catch that allusive bounce.

There will be no bounce, only the “black flag.”

On this “Fairy Fannie” move, [[FTBK]], [[FMBI]], [[WFSL]], [[MI]], [[STI]], [[TCB]], [[WB]], [[ACF]], [[PJC]], [[BBT]], [[CYN]], [[RF]], [[PZN]] and all of the brokerage stocks, amongst many many others, are receiving the “Death Ax of Indecision.”

If you’re still long the market, please see your local shrink for a dose of psychotropics and sedatives.

NOTE: On this FNM move, other “GSE playas” are feeling the pain: [[NLY]], [[CMO]], [[MFA]] and [[ANH]]

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SURRENDER!

There is no need for “The Fly” aka “Senor Tropicana” aka “Old Man Killa” aka “Plutonium Petey” (my name is not Petey) to risk his assets. He already won.

I’ll have you know, whether you appreciate it or not, I have mountains of capital gains, thus far. Moreover, I don’t need your advice.

I know that came out of left field, in a very unsolicited/assholish type of way; but it’s true.

The banks have vomited all over themselves, and I have not. At this juncture, I have decided to start covering my bank shorts, even though I feel they go lower. In order to save myself the hassle of posting egregious “Fly Buy/Sell” blogs, consider this post your fucking memo.

From [[PACW]] to [[BBT]], I have had my fill. It’s time for me to move on, retire, and open up an old man walking cane factory. Sadly enough, I believe many of those “old man canes” will be faulty, causing millions of elderly men to fall down multiple flights of stairs.

Upon reading this post, I am sure many of you “cup fuckers” will cry foul. You will say: “Hmmbbahh grafggh jaromba kalalaka.”

Just know, “The Fly” doesn’t speak your caveman dialect, nor does he wish to visit your home for a fine Chardonnay.

Top picks: short [[MXB]], short [[CLF]]

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Fly Sell: CLF

I sold short 3,000 [[CLF]] @ $99.50.

Disclaimer: If you sell short CLF because of this post, you will become addicted to oil. And, you may lose money.

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Fly Buy: FMBI, TCB

I covered some of my [[FMBI]] short, buying 10,000 @ $16.60. And, I covered some of my [[TCB]] short, buying 10,000 @ $10.85.

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Fly Buy: FXP

I bought 2,000 [[FXP]] @ $84.95.

Disclaimer: If you buy FXP because of this post, aliens will fuck up your corn crop. And, you may lose money.

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Banks Can’t Bounce

The market is trying to bounce here; but the fucking banks are not cooperating. Once again, they need a catalyst to sprint higher. You can’t buy them on weakness. Look at [[FED]], [[WB]], [[FMBI]], etc. I can go on and on.

The fact of the matter is, investors are deathly afraid of the banks, especially the regional variety. My shorts in FMBI, [[TCB]], [[PACW]] and [[BBT]] are working just fine.

However, it’s worth noting, non-bank shorts are not doing too well. My positions in [[FXP]], [[REW]], [[TWM]], [[SMN]] and [[CLF]] are clubbing me to sleep. Fuck, just looking at CLF makes me want to go take a nap.

Other banks on my hit list include:

[[WFSL]] (I should not have covered), [[CMA]], [[CYN]], [[SNV]], [[PZN]] (no stock available) and [[EWBC]].

On the long side, I like [[RIG]], [[HANS]] and [[RIMM]] for a trade.

NOTE: [[MXB]] is 10 points rich too. I like to bet against the name. However, at the moment, the volume is very thin.

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REPORT: Credit Crisis May Cost $1.6 Trillion

Gameover, Motherllamas.

Geneva – The global financial crisis could lead to losses of 1,600 billion dollars for financial institutes, according a report in the Swiss Sunday newspaper SonntagsZeitung. It quoted a confidential study by the hedge fund Bridgewater Associates as saying losses for banks holding risky assets could be four times greater than the 400 billion dollars previously estimated. 

The hedge fund expressed doubts that the financial institutes would be able to drum up enough funds to cover the losses, something it said could exacerbate the crisis. 

Bridgewater, one of the world’s biggest hedge funds, based its calculations on the state of risky debt-based US assets, such as mortgages, credit and credit card demands. 

The value of such risky assets is 26,600 billion dollars, according to the hedge fund. The losses would amount to 1,600 billion dollars if these assets were valued at market rates and not in the form of securitization, the newspaper said.

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