Upping my tech weighting here, I swapped out of AKS for some AMKR.
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I will be surprised if you are not invited on the next Dancing with the Stars considering how well you do the QE2.
What can I say? I am an excellent dart thrower.
Last Friday, Bank of America announced that it was suspending all foreclosure proceedings, presumably until further notice. Other banks have already suspended foreclosures in a whole truckload of states. A nationwide moratorium on foreclosures might soon happen—which would be a big deal: Global Financial Crisis, Part II—Longer, Wider and Uncut.
“It’s oozing from where?”
“Man, you guys are fucked.”
But the mainstream media—surprise-surprise—has downplayed the whole shebang. They’re throwing terms out there into the ether, but devoid of context or explanation: “Robo-signings”, “foreclosure mills”, forged signatures, “double booking”, MERS—it’s confusing as all get-out.
So the mainstream media just mentions it casually—“and in other news tonight . . .”—like it’s no big deal: A couple-three lines, lots of complicated, unfamiliar terms, an attitude like it’s a brouhaha over paperwork of all things!—and then zappo-presto-change-o!: They’re showing video footage of a cute koala nursing in the arms of a San Diego zookeeper.
But even the koalas know that something awful is heading America’s way. Smart little critters, they’re heading for the treetops, to get away from this mess.
So what the hell is going on with the God forsaken mortgage mess in the United States?
It’s got a lot of bells and whistles, but it’s basically quite simple: It’s all about the fucking Mortgage Backed Securities (MBS). Again.
So this is what happened, more or less—the short version.
In the crazed frenzy to get as many mortgages securitized during the Oughts, banks took shortcuts with the paperwork necessary for the Mortgage Backed Securities. The reason was because everyone in the chain of this securitization mania got a little piece of the action—a little slice of the MBS pie in the shape of commissions.
So in the name of “improved efficiencies” (and how many horror stories are we finding out, carried out in the name of “improved efficiencies”), banks digitized the mortgage notes—they didn’t physically endorse them, like they were supposed to by the various state and Federal laws.
Plus—once the wave of foreclosures broke, and the holes in this bureaucratic paperwork became evident and relevant—some of the big law firms handling the foreclosures for the banks started doing some document fabrication and signature forgery, in order to cover up the mistakes—which is definitely illegal.
Long story short (since this is the short version): A lot of the foreclosed properties might not have been foreclosed legally. The people evicted might still have a right to their old houses. The new buyers might not actually own the REO’s they bought off the banks. The banks could be on the hook for trillions of dollars, and in the sights of literally millions of lawsuits.
In short: This could become another massive oozing sore, complete with yellow-green pus drip-drip-dripping out of some unmentionable places on the Body Economic.
Now—the long version:
Homeowners can only be foreclosed and evicted from their homes by the person or institution who actually has the loan paper—only the note-holder has legal standing to ask a court to foreclose and evict. Not the mortgage—the note, which is the actual IOU that people sign, promising to pay back the mortgage loan.
Before Mortgage Backed Securities, most mortgage loans were issued by the local Savings & Loan. So the note usually didn’t go anywhere: It stayed in the offices of the S&L down the street.
But once mortgage loan securitization happened, things got sloppy—they got sloppy by the very nature of Mortgage Backed Securities.
The whole purpose of MBS’s was for different investors to have their different risk appetites satiated with different bonds. Some bond customers wanted super-safe bonds with low returns, some others wanted riskier bonds with therefore higher rates of return.
Therefore, as everyone knows, the loans were “bundled” into REMIC’s (Real-Estate Mortgage Investment Conduits, a special vehicle designed to hold the loans for tax purposes), and then “sliced & diced”—split up and put into tranches, according to their likelihood of default, their interest rates, and other characteristics.
This slicing and dicing created “senior tranches”, where the loans would likely be paid in full, if past history of mortgage loan statistics was to be believed. And it also created “junior tranches”, where the loans might well default, again according to past history and statistics. (A whole range of tranches were created, of course, but for purposes of this discussion, we can ignore all those countless other variations.)
These various tranches were sold to different investors, according to their risk appetite. That’s why some of the MBS bonds were rated as safe as Treasury bonds, and others were rated by the ratings agencies as risky as junk bonds.
But here’s the key issue: When an MBS was first created, all the mortgages were pristine—none had defaulted yet, because they were all brand new loans. Statistically, some would default and some others would be paid back in full—but which ones specifically would default? No one knew, of course. If I toss a coin 1,000 times, statistically, 500 tosses the coin will land heads—but what will the result be of, say, the 723rd toss specifically? I dunno.
Same with mortgages.
So in fact, it wasn’t that the riskier loans were in junior tranches and the safer mortgage loans were in the senior tranches: Rather, all the loans were in all the tranches, and if and when a mortgage in a given bundle of mortgages defaulted, the junior tranche holders would take the losses first, and the senior tranche holder take the loss last.
But who was the owner of the junior tranche bond and the senior tranche bond? Two different people. Therefore, the mortgage note was not actually signed over to the bond holder. In fact, it couldn’t be signed over. Because, again, since no one knew which mortgage would default first, it was impossible to assign a specific mortgage to a specific bond.
Therefore, how to make sure the safe mortgage loan stayed with the safe MBS tranche, and the risky and/or defaulting mortgage went to the riskier MBS tranche?
Enter stage right, the famed MERS—the Mortgage Electronic Registration System.
MERS was the repository of these digitized mortgage notes that the banks originated from the actual mortgage loans signed by homebuyers. MERS was jointly owned by Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac (yes, those two, again, I know, I know: Like the chlamydia and the gonorrhea of the financial world—you cure ‘em, but they just keep coming back).
The purpose of MERS was to help in the securitization process. Basically, MERS directed defaulting mortgages to the appropriate tranches of mortgage bonds. MERS was essentially the operating table where the digitized mortgage notes were sliced and diced and rearranged so as to create the Mortgage Backed Securities. Think of MERS as Dr. Frankenstein’s operating table, where the beast got put together.
However, legally—and this is the important part—MERS didn’t hold any mortgage note: The true owner of the mortgage notes should have been the REMIC’s.
But the REMIC’s didn’t own the note either, because of a fluke of the ratings agencies: The REMIC’s had to be “bankruptcy remote”, in order to get the precious ratings needed to peddle Mortgage Backed Securities to insitutional investors.
So somewhere between the REMIC’s and the MERS, the chain of title was broken.
Now, what does “broken chain of title” mean? Simple: When a homebuyer signs a mortgage, the key document is the note. As I said before, it’s the actual IOU. In order for the mortgage note to be sold or transferred to someone else (and therefore turned into a Mortgage Backed Security), this document has to be physically endorsed to the next person. All of these signatures on the note are called the “chain of title”.
You can endorse the note as many times as you please—but you have to have a clear chain of title right on the actual note: I sold the note to Moe, who sold it to Larry, who sold it to Curly, and all our notarized signatures are actually, physically on the note, one after the other.
If for whatever reason, any of these signatures is skipped, then the chain of title is said to be broken. Therefore, legally, the mortgage note is no longer valid. That is, the person who took out the mortgage loan to pay for the house no longer owes the loan, because he no longer knows whom to pay.
To repeat: If the chain of title of the note is broken, then the borrower no longer owes any money on the loan.
Read that last sentence again, please. Don’t worry, I’ll wait.
You read it again? Good: Now you see the can of worms that’s opening up.
The broken chain of title wouldn’t have been an issue if there hadn’t been an unusual number of foreclosures. Before the housing bubble collapse, the people who defaulted on their mortgages wouldn’t have bothered to check to see that the paperwork was in order.
But as everyone knows, following the housing collapse of 2007–‘10-and-counting, there’s been a boatload of foreclosures—and foreclosures on a lot of people who weren’t sloppy bums who skipped out on their mortgage payments, but smart and cautious people who got squeezed by circumstances.
These people started contesting their foreclosures and evictions, and so started looking into the chain of title issue . . . and that’s when the paperwork became important. So the chain of title became important. So the botched paperwork became a non-trivial issue.
Now, the banks had hired “foreclosure mills”—law firms that specialized in foreclosures—in order to handle the massive volume of foreclosures and evictions that occurred because of the Housing Crisis. The foreclosure mills, as one would expect, were the first to spot the broken chain of titles.
Well, hell, whaddaya know—turns out that these foreclosure mills might have faked and falsified documentation, so as to fraudulently repair the chain-of-title issue, thereby “proving” that the banks had judicial standing to foreclose on a delinquent mortgage. These foreclosure mills might have even forged the loan note itself—
—wait, why am I hedging? The foreclosure mills actually, deliberately and categorically faked and falsified documents, in order to expedite these foreclosures and evictions. Yves Smith at naked capitalism, who has been all over this story, put up a price list for this “service” from a company called DocX—yes, a price list for forged documents. Talk about your one-stop shopping!
So in other words, a massive fraud was carried out, with the inevitable innocent bystander getting caught up in this fraud: The guy who got foreclosed and evicted from his home in Florida, even though he didn’t actually have a mortgage, and in fact owned his house free-and-clear. The family that was foreclosed and evicted, even though they had a perfect mortgage payment record. Et cetera, depressing et cetera.
Now, the reason this all came to light is not because enough people were getting screwed that the banks or the government or someone with power saw what was going on, and decided to put a stop to it—that would have been nice, to see a shining knight in armor, riding on a white horse.
But that’s not how America works nowadays.
No, alarm bells started going off when the title insurance companies started to refuse to insure the title.
In every sale, a title insurance company insures that the title is free-and-clear: That the prospective buyer is in fact buying a properly vetted house, with its title issues all in order. Title insurance companies stopped providing their service because—of course—they didn’t want to expose themselves to the risk that the chain-of-title had been broken, and that the bank had illegally foreclosed on the previous owner.
That’s when things started gettin’ innerestin’: That’s when the Attorneys General of various states started snooping around and making noises (elections are coming up, after all).
The fact that Ally Financial (formerly GMAC), JP Morgan Chase, and now Bank of America have suspended foreclosures signals that this is a serious problem—obviously. Banks that size, with that much exposure to foreclosed properties, don’t suspend foreclosures just because they’re good corporate citizens who want to do the right thing, with all the paperwork in strict order—they’re halting their foreclosures for a reason.
The move by the United States Congress last week, to sneak by the Interstate Recognition of Notarizations Act? That was all the banking lobby—they wanted to shove down that law, so that their foreclosure mills’ forged and fraudulent documents would not be scrutinized by out-of-state judges. (The spineless cowards in the Senate carried out their Master’s will by a voice vote—so that there’d be no registry of who had voted for it, and therefore no accountability, the corrupt pricks.)
And President Obama’s pocket veto of the measure? He had to veto it—if he’d signed it, there would have been political hell to pay, plus it would have been challenged almost immediately, and likely overturned as un-Constitutional in short order. (The jug-eared milquetoast didn’t even have the gumption to veto it—he pocket vetoed it.)
As soon as the White House announced the pocket veto—the very next day!—Bank of America halted all foreclosures, nationwide.
Why do you think that happened? Because the banks are screwed—again. By the same fucking thing as the last time—the fucking Mortgage Backed Securities!
The reason the banks are fucked again is, if they’ve been foreclosing on people they didn’t have the legal right to foreclose on, then those people have the right to get their houses back. And the people who bought those foreclosed houses from the bank might not actually own the houses they paid for.
And it won’t matter if a particular case—or even most cases—were on the up-and-up: It won’t matter if most of the foreclosures and evictions were truly because the homeowner failed to pay his mortgage. The fraud committed by the foreclosure mills casts enough doubt that now, all foreclosures come into question. Not only that, all mortgages come into question.
People still haven’t figured out what this all means—but I’ll tell you: If enough mortgage-paying homeowners realize that they may be able to get out of their mortgage loan and keep their house, scott-free? Shit, that’s basically a license to halt payments right the fuck now. That’s basically a license to tell the banks to fuck off.
What are the banks gonna do—try to foreclose and then evict you? Show me the paper, motherfucker, will be all you need to say.
This is a major, major crisis. This makes Lehman’s bankruptcy look like a spring rain, compared to this hurricane. And if this isn’t handled right—and handled right quick, in the next couple of weeks on the outside—this crisis could also spell the end of the mortgage business altogether. Of banking altogether. Hell, of civil society. What do you think happens in a country when the citizens realize they don’t need to pay their debts?
If this isn’t handled right, then this will be the second leg down, in the American Death Spiral.
Oh dear Lord, he said, calm yet despondent. Look at it, he said. I mean just look at it! Have you ever seen anything like it?!?
No, said the koala—truthfully. And you know, uh . . . it’s . . . It’s pretty disgusting, actually.
Oh shit my teevee just broke.
Satans wife is on CNBC just now and her name is maxine 🙁
I was watching that and somehow she made that imbecile Mark Haines look intelligent by comparison. She takes stupid to a painful level.
Funny how things work. Our bank economists started to use the term Quantitative Easing in the late 90’s to describe what should happen in japan and later what they did.
Now everyone’s using the term. I kid not, even the dude that runs a coffee shop down the road asked me the other day when were “the Americans going to QE”. He wasn’t even using the correct term either but going straight for the acronym.
Everyone’s a macro biologist these days… oops I meant economist.
The Aussie’s started the QE2 craze? Yeah, right, the only trends to come out of that penal colony were boomerangs and crocodile skin boots.
Nice try, J.
Not here, Wilmer you idiot. I was working in NYC at the time.
lol
Working for the FBC before the asshole Swiss bought it and ruined the joint!
_________
I will make t-shirts: QE 2in’
I will give you 15 shares of FTK for one 🙂
I’ll take a QE 2in shirt.
Then print 500 billion more, making them all worthless.
really good idea imo
I will accept ftk certs as form of payment
http://www.moriarty.com/ML_News/The_Cake_is_a_Lie/
What should I swap VXX with? Probably FTK. Soon they’ll be on parity.
People should get to live in those houses for free, and not pay taxes and insurance either. Somebody did some paper work wrong.
Asshole Commie Maxine Waters has never read the US Constitution and probably does not know the meaning of Congress shall pass no ex post fact laws.
And we wonder why this country is in trouble. I mean not so much that she is a legislator but that there are enough stupid people to elect anyone like that. What country are we going to move to. Where is there intelligent life that can live free?
Short SPY’s at 118.25. Fuck this balloon and everyone in it!
BGZ has such high volume nowadays, you might as well play it instead
Stopped out at break-even. No reason to take any sort of position yet in this market. Going back to scalping again and taking trades. Nobody holds shit for more than 30 minutes anymore.
No reason to short this market? None?
I think i just had an aneurysm trying to comprehend that statement.
http://comedians.jokes.com/lewis-black/videos/lewis-black—college-horse
Siri total bull mode
Pamela Gorman for Congress.
She can sure shoot.
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GqnjzONrPiA
LOL the comment ” put the gun down and make me a sandwich”
Git Drunk n’ Buy Stocks!!!
Buying more golds and raising stops
Let’s see if TLT can drop below 100
10/13/10 Where is the VKING?
O’bama is a stock rallying gangster
I believe he decided to kayak across the Pacific Ocean with a start date of 10-10-10.
Is it the Top Yet? …this is taking forever…even the “People’s Stock” AAPL hit that lame 300 they all wanted.
It’s a bull market, you know.
We are not at April Highs…POMO details comes out at 2pm…and lol, my Chinese Billet Port Spot was actually flat to down last night, and Spot Ore has Popped, but demand not there….I really thought market would care about China missing Trading Analyst Estimates…not yet.
Market only cares about DXY these days… I think it might stay a lot longer than anyone thinks…
May be till Nov.3 lol
hehehe
Eur/USD has China sellers at 1.4000 and it’s Sept uptrend line above that point …one of them has to give…fwiw POMO new levels at 2pm coming up.
SOL is a friggin’ ATM machine.
DOW 9000
You all get to look like geniuses now.
Life is good, no?
I can’t miss…
Still short AEM?
Close your eyes and buy. Buy whatever ticker tickles your fancy on the teevee. Seriously. Don’t bother looking at charts, economic numbers, earnings releases…all meaningless in the face of QE2. Just set a 7% stop loss order and you’re on your way to riches.
just be aware of when it starts gettin’ too easy…..then it will be time to load up on VXX
Isn’t it easy already?
fly man how are you doing today?
this is what the rally sounds like to me
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Wg8DMqFuip8
All bears please use the exit door.
easy for the plebs and OTB guys.
I AM AN INVESTING GENIUS
My head hurts…
I sold a lot of more volatile stuff today, but kept my core largely intact, despite the overbought condition of both gold and silver.
Reason?
The mysterious Stairway to Heaven Formation appearing in the night sky.
______________