iBankCoin
18 years in Wall Street, left after finding out it was all horseshit. Founder/ Master and Commander: iBankCoin, finance news and commentary from the future.
Joined Nov 10, 2007
23,445 Blog Posts

BEHOLD: 12631

I took a loss in my personal accounts, but made money where it counted: clients. Back at it tomorrow.

Top picks: TSO, BAC, EMN

Coming soon…

[youtube:http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VNv1fvqCMEk 616 500] If you enjoy the content at iBankCoin, please follow us on Twitter

96 comments

  1. mustard seeds

    FIG…Sometimes timings everything

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    • apocalypse now

      Time is everything, our most valuable commodity.

      Great video Fly, IBC is the Apple of financial blogging in both excellent graphical user interface and deserved hype for new product innovation.

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    • KaiserTheDog

      Yes it is and now where are those beef bones you promised me yesterday.

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  2. Bullish

    Now that was dramatic!

    If I wear my 3D glasses while watching the trailer I see hidden messages from the Fly.

    Bravo!

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  3. Ix

    Very dramatic. I like the 5 doors …. numbered 1, 2, 6, 3, and 1 no doubt.

    (Behind door #1 … a new AMC Pacer!)

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  4. chart killer

    Nice Work,… BAC going higher.

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  5. Trading_Nymph

    1097 held today and SPX failed to take it out. For tonight I will be watching if Steel Makers slap down that REALLY STUPID BIG POP in the spot ore price last night….biggest one day pop in over a year….imho, it’s that crossing of the 50MA on the shanghai Comp. Friday is normally risk off so I bet the Stress Test News gets sold off like a big dog and we can finally travel down again to test 1054ish and then 1028ish…

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  6. Kreizi

    Who’s that junkie with a pipe-joint in his mouth?

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  7. alphadawgg

    1…2…6…3..1….very masonic in a conspiratorial kind of way. It has The Knights Templar stamp of approval all over it .

    Time to buy VXX?

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  8. El Grande Presidente Quatro-quatro
    El Grande Presidente Quatro-quatro

    Banks are for asshats. Remember that.

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  9. Frog

    AMZN missed earnings big time, FWIW

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  10. No One

    ppt getting a facelift?

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  11. A Monkey with no Face
    A Monkey with no Face

    Fuck, my VXX position shot me in the fucking face.

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  12. skayfe

    I sir, am intrigued!

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  13. The Zombie

    12631
    Fantastic score from “Inception”.
    Awesome flick–saw it three times already–all at the IMAX.

    The Fly is God.

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  14. Gilbert

    Fly,

    Danny’s breadth indicators are a joke
    there is nothing that it can do that any of the free indicators cannot. such as a simple MA

    it should make you feel sick to bundle that shit with this site

    you are on track to turn iBC into a 3rd tier blog, no doubt

    the reason why he is active lately trying to boost his cred to sell this snake oil

    who the fuck is “Danny” and why should we pay to use “his” breadth indicators that he just bundled together; instead of using some that the pro’s have provided?

    GOOD LUCK!!!

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    • Yogi & Boo Boo

      Gil – How much money have you made me? Oh that’s right. Never mind.

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    • The Fly

      Gil

      You’re banned.

      You have no idea what you speak of.

      Thanks

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      • Purdy

        Fly picks his audience like Carl Rove.

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      • No One

        You mean Karl Rove?

        “In the fall of 1970, Rove used a false identity to enter the campaign office of Democrat Alan J. Dixon, who was running for Treasurer of Illinois. He stole 1000 sheets of paper with campaign letterhead, printed fake campaign rally fliers promising “free beer, free food, girls and a good time for nothing”, and distributed them at rock concerts and homeless shelters, with the effect of disrupting Dixon’s rally.”

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  15. roodle

    dear people
    never ever ever ever forget whats really important

    http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yKFYajnP1qk&feature=fvw

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  16. Ix

    So .. 12631. Fibonacciesque. Ish.

    Fractal growth? (Pyramid up with 6 at the apex, the product of 2 and 3)

    6
    2 3
    1 1

    3rd dimensional shadow of the 4th dimensional construct using paint-by-numbers?

    Erm… Postal code for Riyadh, Saudi Arabia?

    126 31 Stockholm County, Stockholm, Sweden?

    STOCKholm syndrome. Very punny.

    Ok, I’m tapped out of foil-hat guesses.

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  17. Awesome-O

    Wish I would have held STI – yesterday killed me so bad I dropped it but today it rocked

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  18. panamaorange

    Market profile charts on the SandP futures are somewhat straightforward, as of close–

    Buy ES 1065 or below tomorrow. Or, sell ES 1090 or above. In between that range, beware the wrath of slap chop

    http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nMMxIAn_76g&feature=fvw

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  19. Peter Pan

    If we know the markets will move lower eventually in short term, why regret holding vxx. Im selling my longs in this melt up, and then release my vxx as the market tanks. I do not feel confortable not being hedged in this market. Am i right or wrong?

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    • Frog

      Just a minute. Let me find my crystal ball so I can tell you.

      It says “Try again later.”

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    • alphadawgg

      If you’ve positioned VXX as your hedge, it is probably not your best vehicle to hedge with, imo. Even though it correlates negatively to the S&P 500, the standard deviation of VXX has been more than 3x that of the S&P 500 over the past 12 months. That’s a lot of volatility. You will be better off, in my opinion, by hedging your long stock positions with SH or BRPIX.

      If you don’t want to sell your stocks right now, if I were you, I’d hedge by going market neutral and take the rest of the summer off. This market is a range bound, meat grinding SOB. It will frustrate traders and eat up their capital. Go have fun. Life is short. The market will make it’s major move as we get closer to the Fall (no pun intended).

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      • omfgitsjd

        I wouldn’t hedge with it.

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      • Quint

        I agree with Alpha’s view 100%…this market might act like it is going somewhere, but it will then just find a reason to reverse itself….until September rolls around.

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  20. Peter Pan

    Thanks for the advice. Lol

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  21. The Fly

    12631 is an addendum to The PPT.

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  22. Peter Pan

    Thanks Alpha
    Im 50 percent cash 15 percent vxx
    35 percent long. How’s that look for market neutral?

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  23. buylo

    I’ll be happy to beta test the 12631 for you if you like. (Results are not guaranteed, of course! until after the testing is completed)

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  24. InspectorInvestor
    InspectorInvestor

    is Ronald Reagan still dead?

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  25. Sum_Ting_Wong

    12631

    HMMMM

    I shall play those in lotto

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  26. Gilbert

    Fly,

    this site needs some action and I have just the solution for you

    start to occasionally throw 1 weak tabbed blogger into the PG (a pit filled with lions and shit) and let them try to claw their way out

    if they fail, then they burn for eternity in the fires of Hades.

    throw Danny the hindsight trader in first, if even a trader at all

    PS. NO NEED TO BAN I AM OUT!!!

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  27. alphadawgg

    Gilbert?……Grape?

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  28. Willy Holder

    i told you boys to get long pussy

    hummin on CAT still

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  29. Le Fly

    Never Offend the ruling class gilbert

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  30. Le Fly

    He never died

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  31. arch

    looks like i missed a happening today… i have new people to train , and no time for personal pillaging of the markets ..so i will remain watchful

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  32. TA

    Personally I don’t see the point in hedging. If am too long for the market conditions and/or my risk profile, I simply close enough positions until I am at the right level.

    Cash and your stops are the only hedge I need.

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    • arch

      you hedge to stop the bleeding..but if your cost avg.down to get into a full position…once you have that position hedging is a lot more costly…and would need to be done in full force with the right hedge position to stop the bleeding …no averaging in there…

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    • DMG

      Personally, i think you should STFU and keep sitting on the side lines, sally.

      If it wasn’t you that said you have been sitting out for the past month, then fuck off anyways.

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  33. Random Punk

    My Prediction of todays news yesterday…

    Ok…market tanked overseas for a couple hours….then soared to highs….brits didn’t sell off as planned..
    Not sure about Asian fellows jumping out of windows….possible they have not been found yet….

    BUT IT DID RAIN!?!

    I think
    I say I THINK
    I’m ready for fast money

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  34. ColonelKurtz

    Executive Order 12631 – The “Working Group” on Financial Markets est 1988

    APROPOS!

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  35. Peter Pan

    I guess the reason I keep a hedge with vxx is because we seem to keep moving lower. We go up but the low’s keep getting lower. I have made more this year off a vxx than probably any other stock. I’m still learning.

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  36. wondering

    Just wondering if the PPT and it’s community has access to any morning meeting notes and bank research notes?

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  37. Le Fly

    Yes

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  38. bearearns

    Great Day For Me. Gotta love those days… You can be clueless for a few days but if you see something and can capitalize who gives an F about the other days

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  39. RC

    12631 T-shirts coming soon.

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  40. Bullish

    Fly, any plans on an iPhone update anytime soon? Just curious…
    Am I allowed to put a comment in the suggestion box?

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  41. Finch

    Preface: the fly is el cid
    Stoopid question:
    What is the “target” for BAC? Upside looks limited to me. But I’m just a small time, trend & leverage type brother.

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  42. Finch

    Adendumb to my previous stoopid question:

    Given that BAC is effectively trading like a 2x levered ETF, with a cheney-head sized P/E, what is the near-term upside target?

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  43. bear

    hey fly guess what you suck with your constant search of direction. You are just one of the herd. You suck you old fart. Into VXX out of VXX into TZA out of TZA into TNA out of TNA, you are just trying to jump on th emoving train but get constantly hit, cause you know sh*t about the market and its direction.
    And your “PPT” – what a piece of sh*t!
    Now you can block me like i need to read the junk you spew several times a day.
    O yea do not forget to ask me to email to your admin to restore my access. Funny…

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  44. HawaiiFive0

    bear,

    You really don’t know of what you speak.

    PPT members have access different tools/systems to help guide them with regard to the direction of the general market as well the direction of individual stocks.

    What you’re trying to critic is a very narrow time frame in which Fly has already admitted that he had not followed his own systems.

    Do these systems/tools hit the mark every time? Of course not. Do they get it right most of the time? YES!!!!

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  45. Le Fly

    Bear

    Never address your superiors with such disdain. You are banned

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  46. omfgitsjd

    I will just swing on the spiral untilI I hit the entry point.
    http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wS7CZIJVxFY

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  47. JakeGint

    I think we saw something significant today with The Big Brown Breakout — this transport bellweather is a great “tell” for the market trend.

    ___________

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    • mustard seeds

      While UPS is doing better, the railroads, I’m not sure whats up with some of the numbers, but carloads for railroads are up, albeit against shit numbers from this time last year. Norfolk Southern has pulled all but 150 locomotives out of storage (down from 900+) and is leasing about 80 which just showed up…CSX got a bonus met coal run in their numbers as China bought some US stuff in Jan/Feb to scare the Aussies on pricing. Intermodal shipments again are higher by 30%, again versus last year…somethings moving. By Sept we should have a good idea if its going to be a blue XMAS for retailers…

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  48. Hammy

    “It is possible that the Pentagon will have to look for the first time at cuts to the health benefits provided to active military personnel and their families.”
    http://www.nytimes.com/2010/07/23/us/politics/23budget.html?_r=1&hp

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  49. Mr. President

    Senor Fly,

    Just curious, what’s your record for number of bans in one post’s comment section?

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  50. Jayla

    Dunno if i could dislike a stock more than i do SD right now. Wtf is wrong with it? Whaaaasnaaaaa SD refuses to participate in the rally

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    • alphadawgg

      J-
      It’s called a laggard. Sell it and move on. You’re not married to it….or, are you?

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    • Mr. President

      If you have the patience, SD will reward you.

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    • gappingandyapping
      gappingandyapping

      The ARD shares hit people’s accounts. That is where the selling is today.

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  51. TraderCaddy

    Reason number 12631 why thinking is dangerous for stock trading.
    After the earnings release yesterday of AMZN and MSFT one would have though that MSFT would be going up at the open and AMZN would be going down at the open
    Guess not.
    Everyone trades the gaps these days.

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  52. noodle

    i think we’ll close the week at the highs, on NDX
    weekly resistance is waiting to be tested.

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    • noodle

      like 1875 or sum shit.

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      • noodle

        then it prob could have some wiggle room b4 it hits 1900, on wednesday

        imo imo imo imo

        time machine, bitch

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  53. Jakegint

    Monsieur Le Docteur de Le Fly!

    It appears your contretemps avec Le New York Citi Garbagio Polizei is about to be taken to “le next level!”

    ___________

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    • IBD

      I hear Bloomy frequently hops on his jet and flies to Bermuda on the weekends – he’s the guy who recently called Steinbrenner a great New Yorker – the man lived in Tampa.

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  54. THEFLYISAFRAUD

    EVERYONE, THE FLY IS A FRAUD. HE MANIPULATES HIS TRADE LOG AND ACTUALLY IS A VERY BAD TRADER.
    I’VE BEEN BANNED MULTIPLE TIMES BECAUSE THIS THIEF WILL DO ANYTHING TO GET PEOPLE LIKE ME FROM EXPOSING HIM.

    HE TARGETS AIMLESS RETAIL INVESTORS WHO READ HIS BULLSH** SO HE CAN SELL AD-SPACE.

    BEWARE! DO NOT FOLLOW ANY OF HIS RECS.

    HE DOESN’T EVEN TRADE. IF HE REALLY “BANKED COIN” THEN WHY WOULD HE PUT ALL HIS EFFORT INTO A BLOG? WATCH, THIS WILL BE DELETED BECAUSE HE CANT DEFEND IT.

    THE FLY IS NOTHING BUT ANOTHER SCAM ARTIST USING PEOPLES NAIVENESS TO PROFIT.

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    • DMG

      LOL…nothing shouts ‘crazy’ like the all-caps douche-bag.

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      • Yogi & Boo Boo

        Yup, I was wunderin’ [sic] how the good Dr. was able to manipulate my personal returns and put all that green in my account.

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  55. HawaiiFive0

    Yup,

    Last week just to see how it might work, I randomly picked from the hybrid’s oversold list buying each on paper at the open on the 19th, and sold them on the 23rd.

    Here are my results: ANO -2.8%, EGP +4.8%, ELOS + .7%, EQY + 6.13%, SSYS +8.1%.

    OK, let’s see, in case this is hard for THEFLYISAFRAUD, I believe that’s an 80% win rate with and average gain of 3.386%. Damn, I guess I was scammed again.

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