iBankCoin
18 years in Wall Street, left after finding out it was all horseshit. Founder/ Master and Commander: iBankCoin, finance news and commentary from the future.
Joined Nov 10, 2007
23,445 Blog Posts

Goldman Ball Sach’d

Let me get this straight: the government created an environment, through loose monetary policy and lax regulations, that led to the whole CDO/credit crisis debacle. Then, when the shit hit the fan, they bailed out the banks, including Goldman, via TARP and funneling money to them via American International Group, Inc. [[AIG]] . Now, after the market is up and Tea Party’s are running rampant throughout America they want to sue Goldman?

Pardon me for being skeptical; but the government is full of shit and Goldman will end up getting away with nothing more than a little slap on the wrist. If this happened one year ago it might have broke the old bank. But, after such a vigorous market recovery, the Godly fuckers at Goldman can just write a check for $5bill and tell the Obamanites to “fuck off” and enjoy the robot led recovery.

I had a good day, with [[TLT]] , [[VXX]] and [[SRS]] charging higher. My longs did “alright” with minor pullbacks in Flotek Industries, Inc. [[FTK]] , TriQuint Semiconductor [[TQNT]] and POSCO (ADR) [[PKX]] .

At the end of the day, this market is still in bull mode, until we get a string of triple point decline days. Although I believe the market is way overextended, I have been wrong about calling the top before, so there is no reason to believe I will be right now. Typically, I am pretty good at calling inflection points. However, truth be on the table spinning, I have been dumbfounded by the relentless and incessant “bullshittery.”

NOTE: I believe Mr. Bones, iBC’s new blogger, will post this weekend. And, be sure to tune in on Sunday, at 8:00pm, for my little cartoon show: “The Fly” Meets Mr. Devil Dog.

[youtube:http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DP2VyquMAaM 616 500] If you enjoy the content at iBankCoin, please follow us on Twitter

62 comments

  1. Le Fly

    Lol at smaller and smaller tea bags

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  2. Le Fly

    This will be a non event when it’s all said and done. Quit looking for justice and focus on getting yours

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    • JakeGint

      Fix is in.

      This was arranged. The tipoff was the blame placed on a veep. Pfffffft! Yeah a VP constructed that $15mm fee deal.

      ____

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  3. Le Fly

    Fyi: justice is an ass

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  4. Le Fly

    Fyi: justice is an ass

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    • JerryHall

      Then my eyes see a reflection of ‘simply beautiful’ hard firm and muscular Gluteus Maximus. Long live a ‘TIGHT/FIRM’ ass..
      F/D..my non~multilensed eyes are riding the tail of ‘de~jour Fly’and very gratefully so!

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      • JerryHall

        Did you know?
        Fly’s shit does ‘NOT’ stink!!
        Can you honestly prove to anyone that you have smelled little fly turds?

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  5. StratG

    Fig
    Goldmans is on double secret probation from here on.

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  6. Maelstrom

    Jagger sounds as good as he did 30 years ago..great band

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  7. TX Slave Trader

    I agree with your take on this lawsuit Fly, but don’t forget to mention, this will all be done in time for the Fall elections so Obaminator can claim he cleaned up Wall Street and held them accountable. Meanwhile, Goldman can sacrifice a director, maybe a few traders, pay a record setting fine, and claim no wrong doing, if anything it was only a few “bad eggs” but certainly no institutional problems….nothing to see here.

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  8. The_Real_Hmmm

    I come from the futures of spaces and times. Sounds like Brimstone, Young Man and I can’t wait for Mr. Bones, Retirement Specialist.

    I believe commercial RE still ain’t good yet, as reflected by GE made-man “not Jack Welch.” However, overseas I think the restriction of insurance companies allowed to invest in RE in China and egregious rules of 50% down payments for second homes shows that real estate is too hot in China. The question is though, are wages and savings sufficient to support mortgage payments? EJ is a short I mentioned yesterday that could perform well in that situation. Or, if there’s alot of investments in RE by China insurance and Godzilla sized earthquakes persist, look to short LFC.

    Oh yea, I still think some of the retailers should pull back, like ANF which I had to exit earlier this week because it bounced +13% on idiocy.

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    • He Says She

      Citi put retailers on “downgrade watch” from market weight today after the bell i believe

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  9. A Monkey With a Dart Board
    A Monkey With a Dart Board

    we are all fools.

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  10. JF2

    Well said. This is just a civil suit filed by the clowns over at the SEC after all. If Obama & Co. were really interested in shaking down GS, methinks the timing and method would be very different.

    Looking forward to the timely meeting between The Fly and Mr. Devil Dog.

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  11. Spooky

    Fly,
    Yes, GS can write a check and tell the gov to fuck off. That is what it will do. Plus a director or two and a bunch of traders. Multiply this across the big banks–as this is the first salvo. The big point is that Obama and the dems will get their financial reform, squeezing the republicans into smaller and smaller teabags. If the market corrects, well, then, yields will drop. Seems like that is precisely what I would want to happen if I were in the white house. And, what is more, I don’t doubt that the banks knew something like this was coming down the pike and that they should get ready and man up. One big back room deal, it seems to me.

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    • JakeGint

      If the Dems “get financial reform” it will be in the guise of all “reform” they’ve backed since the 30’s — meaning they will throw up more barriers to smaller concerns competing against the dinosaurs, and concentrate power with their friends, the Goldmans and Citis of the world.

      Chuck the Schmuck will be in the center of it all, just like D’Amato was before him.

      _________

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      • Spooky

        The dems will get their reform… Will it be a piece of dogshit by the time it’s baked, most likely. But I don’t think in the corrupt context we live in today, you can actually pass a piece of good legislation. It would challenge too many interests. But something is better than nothing, and if they manage to put in the Volker rule or something that would at least put a wall between prop trading and traditional banking, it would be a start. Will there be carrots in exchange. I don’t doubt it. that’s how this great country was built!

        As for their “friends,” come on Jake. You’re better than Fox. At least don’t make shit up. That’s why the Repubs are trying to block the reform? Aren’t you a blogger so you don’t have to bury the nuance in deceitful, mindnumbing simplication.

        Obama is the American Stalin?? Shame on you. If you actually had family shipped to the gulags, gunned down, or destroyed, you wouldn’t say things like that. The Republicans have rhetorical diarrhea. Doesn’t mean you should.

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  12. panamaorange

    Was expecting a “no news” sudden waterfall here–like a 1987 style sucker punch.

    http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qwicLgOGJOI

    Unfortunately– GS news cancelled this optimistic “blow off top” phase. So, we likely get a boring, stairstep style decline

    Its ironic that bad news will actually make the market decline slower, than it would have otherwise. A nice, choppy , gradual burn off.

    The best sectors to scalp on intraday bounces, will be EEM ,XLP, EEB, XLU, and XLV. But only intraday, and only with a close target, and “guy adami” tight stop.

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    • FIG

      I believe you are correct sir. That was the goal of this move, and it will happen that way now. A stairstep decline makes investments in inverse ETF’s more profitable than anything else. This is why Fly’s investment in SRS is genius.

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  13. scum bucket bitchez
    scum bucket bitchez

    The squid is much more powerful than the sec.

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    • Spooky

      The SEC is just the water-boy here. The Senate panels and the justice department will be in on the action. And, if there is a conviction on this charge, as someone above noted, wait until the clients’ army of lawyers comes a callin’.

      In the eyes of the public, GS was already guilty. Now, with the email from fab Fabrice Tourre alone, you better bet your ass that they now have what they need to light the fire for the witchburning. My gut feeling is that this is going to get uglier than anyone expects. Everyone has written Obama off as a lightweight. And he is revealing himself to be a brawler. You wait and see.

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  14. The Zombie

    The Fly is God.

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  15. Braveflaps

    GS can handle the SEC, but what about all the clients – banks, states, HNIs – all of them filing statements of claim this weekend? Will that not add up to a few more multiples of $5 bill or whatever the SEC hands out?

    With full flaps out, I stand by my January IBC short GS pick – and this in the one year I did not buy the anti-GS armageddon puts I usually give myself every Christmas…

    Braveflaps in and out!

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  16. tgarfield

    I think they get a big wrist slap. They can hurt and sting sometimes for an hour.

    More downside coming, but the high is not in for the big fall.

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  17. JerryHall

    Ball Sach’d
    “De~ball da bas’TURDS'”, I say!!

    This was a nice choice of vid. The Stones rock with real balls and BIG moveable organs.

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  18. notthev.king

    Goldman was/is SHORT GS
    They’ll use the profits to pay off some of the fine from this civil suit. Then the fed will “give” them money at 0% to lend out …They’ll BUY treasuries and the interest paid from the US Teasuries Dept will pay off the rest of the civil suit fine …plus a few billion for their trouble….Obama will tell the 50% of voters who pay no Federal Taxes that he beat “the fat cats” all the while getting donations from “the fat cats” for 2012……

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  19. TraderRenn

    How much did GS make shorting their own stock today? GS = The new Greece. Whenever .gov needs to hide something under the rug (like an extra 12 trillion in spending), they will just pull GS out of the closet and wave them around a little. Who’s next?

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  20. chessnwine

    Blue blazer day, indeud.

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  21. Warbuckz

    What is this I see – STX setting up reserves for dividend and/or share buybacks –
    http://biz.yahoo.com/e/100416/stx8-k.html

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  22. Cramer Fan

    Long live Cramerica!!!!!

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  23. London

    Common man says: Ya’ll are wrong on GS/Paulson. This was too blatant, too over the top. It was “let them eat cake” in our faces and now we want the flip side of it – their heads, our basket. I don’t wanna see charges, I wanna see some attorney general build a whole career on these guys. I want someone to go all spitzer on ’em. I want to see $5B bail and a live trial on Oprah. I want to see 20-ft Australian crocs released in Greenwich to foster humility.

    This story’s got legs, and it ends with the smartest guys in the room losing theirs. Again.

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  24. Rigged

    Remember when Moser from Solomon Bros was rigging his treasury auction orders and heads rolled. They had to bring in W. Buffett to “take control” as a shareholder and steady the ship….Remember who bought into that special GS preferred stock during our latest crisis? …Buffett…The stage awaits, WB

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  25. Marty

    It might be all Krull’s fault

    http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Hreceqzr98Q

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  26. JerryHall

    The Fly is masterful at regurgitation. It’s a beautiful, dog it vomit, world!
    That’s why I stand behind him and not before.
    Thank You ,Fly.

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  27. Muir

    The Fly
    “Let me get this straight: the government created an environment, through loose monetary policy and lax regulations, that led to the whole CDO/credit crisis debacle. Then, when the shit hit the fan, they bailed out the banks, including Goldman, via TARP and funneling money to them via American International Group, Inc.”

    So… what exactly don’t you understand?

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  28. skogie1

    The opinion here seems to be that GS will get nothing more than a slap on the wrist. I lean toward that opinion too in an apathetic tired way but I will add this: if the gov is going to go after banks for the CDO debacle–whether for political show, reform, or both–there is a lot of material out there to work with from regular banks to investment banks to ratings agencies. The story will be told in what they do about the big juicy bone called derivatives. Will they actually pry it from the jaws of finance? If they move to regulate derivatives (yeah, yeah I’m pie in the sky dreamer) then they’re serious about financial reform and the xlf will feel it. Maybe.

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  29. YaBollox

    The people I talked to on Main St. are not even conscious of this deal today. To them it’s more of the same shit they don’t understand and it’s been going on for a year and a half.

    Why does Paulson get off? Political contributions? Grant of Amnesty?

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    • JakeGint

      What did Paulsen do wrong, in your considered position? They thought they were laying shit off on him. They got fucked, he made out like a bandit.

      Clue in.

      _________

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  30. dragun

    Agreed, nothing will happen. Small fine (in GS terms) slap on the wrist, and one on the butt for a job well done. Rinse and repeat. Anything more, and it would be a shock. Too many GS alum in the system to really do anything. Plus bama scores some points with the unwashed masses, whilst the boys conitnue to snort coke of hookers asses.

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  31. FIG

    What happens to Goldman means nothing. The issue with this lawsuit is that it’s a sign that Wall Street no longer gets a free pass from Washington. That means that the market will no longer trade up for no reason other than robots saying it is supposed to trade up. This was bound to happen eventually with the reality of a market out of control again. Washington wants to blame someone else for their own maleficence, and there is no one better than the big money banks. The result of this will be the end of the rah rah sis boom bah 40 points a day, and you will now need to know how to pick stocks to make money. As I said earlier this week, Fly’s choice of SRS was a thing of beauty. I am already way up on my investment in SRS and expect several hundred percent gains in that investment over the next several months. This market is now hosed, but don’t go blaming anyone for the mess, because there is plenty of blame to go around to all of the entities involved. Markets do no self govern as has now been proven, and excess regulations also don’t make for a perfect market either. Welcome to the new world on Wall Street, it is going to be a fun ride.

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    • Dayman

      Several hundred percent over the next several months? I believe you have eaten too much burlap today.

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      • JakeGint

        Spot.

        __

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        • FIG

          Considering that URE went from the teens to 46 over the last year+, I don’t believe I am off base in my estimate. REITs will trade down from here, because they are nearly all worthless. When interest rates rise, starting this spring, the valuations of the REITs are going to come under huge amounts of pressure. Yes, I expect at least a 200% move in SRS over the next year. The challenge will be selling at the top because as it starts to really move, the swings will get extreme. That won’t be an issue for quite a while though, so I am happy holding on to my position.

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  32. Goldie

    If Goldman has a problem, the whole market has a problem.

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  33. Night court

    Class in session

    http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=76frHHpoNFs&feature=related

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  34. ColonelKurtz

    Cramer and the whole CNBC crew stay here.
    http://www.pikerslodge.com/

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  35. Missy Kissy
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