iBankCoin
18 years in Wall Street, left after finding out it was all horseshit. Founder/ Master and Commander: iBankCoin, finance news and commentary from the future.
Joined Nov 10, 2007
23,441 Blog Posts

At the End of the Day, “The Fly” Always Wins

Long time readers of this site know, not too deep down, this whole battle of popular consensus versus “The Fly” will end badly for you bird brained fuckers. Many of you pikers are felling good about yourselves now, with “The Fly” on a 1 week losing streak, while you scalp some coin off the bottom of my shoe.

Let me remind you and make a prediction: This time is no different than the countless times when I’ve proved you wrong; and, soon enough, I am going to put you fuckers to sleep, like old dogs, for trading against me.

Sure, you’re entitled to your own opinion and the right to make an accurate market call, every once in awhile. But don’t forget, “The Fly” wins all the time, even when he appears to be getting poleaxed badly.

New readers may put that claim into question and ponder to herself: “is this man serious”?

Yes fucktard, I am as serious as a cocaine induced heart attack. Moreover, let me tell you little shit faces, the Dow Jones is going to be deep water diving sometime very soon. The ongoing collapse of American capitalism (remember that) will not end with a few scrapes and bruises. It will end when your torso has been removed from your limbs. It will end when FDX says “oil is cheap, but we don’t got shit to deliver.”

Rates are low; but standards are super high. Homes may be down in value, but still expensive, compared to wages.

Please, let this rally be the opiate to lull you into a deep comfortable sleep.

“The Fly” has nothing but disdain for most of you and will gladly “wake you up,” with news of pending insolvency and personal liquidation, via a very bad negative equity situation.

Okay, shhh, go back to sleep now.

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98 comments

  1. mike

    always?

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  2. non

    There’s “The Fly”
    and there’s not exactly!

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  3. Fly Hater

    I’m thinking of a good comeback … give me time

    developing …..

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  4. Anthony Brown

    May I suggest $CHK. ๐Ÿ™‚

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  5. scum bucket

    I admire your shoes, all 6 of ’em, but I wouldn’t want to be in your shoes. Having to trade, day after day, knowing that it is all bullshit. Do you ever get conflicted, like a strangulated hernia?

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  6. marlin Y

    bump from last post:

    I agree, Chart Addict thus far has not earned his tab in the great halls of IBC. All heโ€™s been doing so far is selling his subscriptions with after the fact information. Fly, why are you helping this kid sell his own agenda. Only room for Fly and the PPT at IBC.

    Chart Addict, if you want the respect of this crowd then you need to add value, a la Senor Tropicana. No after-the-fact shit about being up x %. Grab your balls and step up to the plate BEFORE you take action. If that information is only for your subscribers, then you sir, do not belong at IBC.
    —-
    Fly: You’re right about the market being de-balled sometime soon but for now can’t we just enjoy a week or two of green for Santa’s sake?

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  7. The Fly

    Get of Chart Addicts back.

    His job is to post charts, not give you ideas. There are plenty of others who offer ideas.

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  8. j

    Rates are low; but standards are super high.

    Whats that mean?

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  9. Woodshedder

    I don’t kiss Fly’s arse, but I have to say that us long time readers know that he always wins.

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  10. marlin Y

    Fair enough Fly, he posts pretty charts and if he’s not going to post ideas then at least tell him to stop talking about his 272% gains. The only people who have a right to brag about egregious gains are the ones who do shit real-time, like Senor Tropicana. After-the-fact chart posters are not allowed to brag.

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  11. crude_oil

    Whats the Fly’s favorite short plays when This bullshit rally ends?

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  12. CAP

    This is what the FLY does to his detractors

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  13. boca

    FDX says โ€œoil is cheap, but we donโ€™t got shit to deliver.โ€

    Ohhh Yeah. That’s why I read The Fly.

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  14. marlin Y

    Agreed Shed. The Fly is the best thing to happen to the trading community for a long time. Even when he loses, like last week, he offers valuable lessons, like hedging your positions when you start bleeding out, something I’m going to start to do when I’m in a similar position, instead of just selling out and “switching teams”.

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  15. boca

    Marlin, if you don’t believe him, why not just take it with a grain of salt and pass on the comments? We can all read and form our own opinion, odd no?

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  16. Leonard The Monkey

    FAZ back to triple digits before Obama has his first puff in the White House.

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  17. JP

    Fly….any time machine prediction on what drives the market lower….will it take a month with 1M jobs lost ๐Ÿ™‚

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  18. The Fly

    The market will choke itself out from all the bullshit its been inhaling.

    Just know, I will offer little help in the coming weeks, in order to maximize my future victory.

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  19. The Zombie

    The Fly is God!

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  20. marlin Y

    Boca, I’m just trying to defend the high standard that comes with an IBC tab. You start taking everything “with a grain of salt” without issuing commentary and you start living down to the level of the lowest common denominator.

    Fuck being nice. We want excellence.

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  21. arch

    i agree with you 100% fly and i think the shit starts tomorrow ..since im in cash and waiting , it looks like i might take a small posistion in skf .. since im all out of that..time to reload???

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  22. TuckerTrades

    Zombie,

    You’ve lost a step…not in the top two on this one!

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  23. The Fly

    You FDX fuckers got your faces ripped off tonight, thinking “shit oil is cheap, get long.”

    Where’s the demand?

    Use FDX as the canary in the coal mine.

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  24. Woodshedder

    Why not use coal as the canary in the coal mine?

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  25. boca

    marlin, I’m all for excellence. But there are lots of different trading and charting styles, and considering this is a free site, take what you can use and leave the rest. For as long as I’ve been here, the Fly does what he pleases.

    Anyway, my question is, because it’s on the Internet and it’s free, do people expect to get something equivalent to or better than what they pay for? Serious question, as there is a disconnect there for me.

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  26. The Fly

    Because FDX is breathing the shit the economy is ccoking right now.

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  27. boca

    See that’s *exactly* what I mean, Fly understands stuff that other people don’t even think about, case in point, FDX.

    Right now there’s still a rosy glow from the red and green Christmas lights, lots of stuff being shipped, not as much as last year, but still lots of stuff. Good, right? No, because most of it is lower value stuff, gives me income to survive but not huge profits.

    In a bad year, when will retail hit the fan? Late Jan through February. The Christmas glow will definitely be off, jobs have been lost, and the credit card bills have arrived. I don’t care how low oil is then, it will be brutal. I plan on taking the month of February off, why frustrate myself? Retail is the proxy ….

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  28. marlin Y

    Boca, I am a big fan of the Fly and all the other tabs. The problem I have with Chart Addict is that he gives us stuff after the fact, and then says that his subscribers got the information before. The whole point of a tab is to get ideas and charts for future, not past, and it’s v much an anomaly within the site. Even free stuff has to have some value in order for one to keep visiting. If its a constant advertisement for a service, fine, but then it doesn’t belong as a tab at IBC but on his own site. As for the paid site, I’ll be a happy member for PPT when it comes out.

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  29. The Zombie

    Marlin: CA gives you the game plan the night before–for free. Shit changes friggen fast in this market. Hard to provide up to the second trades.

    TT: Yeah, I was out snacking on some brains.

    The Fly is God.

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  30. boca

    OK Marlin.

    Zombie … scooby snacks? LOL. Love that avatar.

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  31. marlin Y

    I’ll check him out Zombie, thanks. And yes, Fly does trade god-like indeed.

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  32. so i herd you liek mudkips
    so i herd you liek mudkips

    I took 4mgs of xanax and bought 4oo skf for cash at 105 cuz I’m retarded and my stomach can no longer eat anymore bullshit sammiches the mkt keeps serving daily…I’ll check the quotes next week…fuck if I’m chasing this shit for a possible short term rally based on technical voodoo

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  33. arch

    since i dont know how to read a chart but learning quickly i think the ADDICTS chart explanations are great and the boxes he uses to show stuff is also great ..if he would put some arrows in there to point to exact locations on his charts to help use douche bags understand a little more that would be nice.there are people who come in here that dont know shit about stocks like me for example
    overall i think his charts are pimpn
    nice chart work chief

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  34. marlin Y

    xanax and skf, nice combo.

    I’m going to pick up some FXP and SRS tomorrow as these levels are insane.

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  35. The Zombie

    Boca: Thanks!

    Marlin: Agreed.

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  36. arch

    so i herd you liek mudkips Says:

    I took 4mgs of xanax and bought 4oo skf for cash at 105 cuz Iโ€™m retarded and my stomach can no longer eat anymore bullshit sammiches the mkt keeps serving

    maybe i should take another small posistion in xanax

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  37. jig

    there is no way these afterhours earnings are priced in. the way this market is, we probably rally 500 pts tomorrow, and yes my face will be officially blown away, fly i would be honored if you spoke at my funeral…

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  38. Gio

    Sisyphus will get crushed by the boulder. I’m waiting for the Vix to get to a relatively extreme low… that’s where he would take one arm off the boulder to eat a BigMac, then, ooops.

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  39. The Zombie

    “fly i would be honored if you spoke at my funeralโ€ฆ”

    jig: HA!

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  40. Alprazolamer

    I am ultra short xanax.

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  41. jig

    Gio, i love when you speak of the sisyphus getting crushed! on another note don’t you go out and buy a POS PC!

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  42. aumana

    What I like about CA is what he isn’t talking about – oscillators, Fib magic, BBands. It is price action with volume, MA, trendlines, support and resistance, tactics, news and reports. Worth my time..

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  43. Gio

    Jig… i just wish Apple did some RD on tablet-PC, oops, i mean Tablet-Mac development. that would work well with their software (Vista is so useless in tablet industry). I should have got my masters in programming, then I could have went into developing software for high-tech traders. crap.

    -gio

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  44. Thunderpup

    SPX to 960-1000 then down to 500-600. Plenty of time to go down – it wont do it all at once.

    Things bounce:
    http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=WFcinyDkk1Q

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  45. Fly III (Trey)

    Grandpa,

    I support your decision to ban Dad from your site. It might make him spend more time with me.

    Lately, all he does is talk shit about his CNBC Million Dollar Portfolio to various internet messageboards and send fan mail to Larry Kudlow. That and wank off to Mindy Cohn or every now and again, heโ€™ll rub one out to Tootie.

    See ya at Christmas,
    Trey

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  46. How bout those REITs!!? Everyone knows the Fly’s exoskeleton is tough, but inside………..well, he’s tough inside too.

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  47. Generational OIL BOTTOM Picker
    Generational OIL BOTTOM Picker

    Why are you assholes all fighting the market UPTREND? The market made GENERATIONAL LOWS on Oct 10 and Nov 20.

    Shorting now makes as much sense as going repeatedly long 15 months ago. NONsense.

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  48. Palin

    VMC will be a juicy short pretty soon…one more pop and I am jumpin all over that bitch

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  49. Karl Marx

    Fly Jr should disappear with this rally tomorrow.

    If he’s allowed back, there should be a contest to provide him a new handle.

    Like Taint.

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  50. arch

    im not fighting the uptrend ..i sold into it last week or so ..looking to reload.. plus my spidey senses are telling me to buy..if it goes up im out faster than i got in ..the other shit is over priced

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  51. boxman.

    fly, i work for the brown team. i think u know what del. service im talking about.i cant believe how bad things are getting.volume down.shit will hit satin sheets soon.

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  52. Damon

    CNBC Showing Dow Futures +263

    Every other place I check the futures, they are down -54

    This network does this crap all the time with the futures.

    The Royal Scam.

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  53. crude_oil

    Can’t figure out why The Fly lives Brooklyn.U need 2 move on up to da upper east side.Mo better!BK blows!

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  54. Employee8

    Did you say “Royal Scam”?!?!

    http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ItaV7xINnec

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  55. Lady Guenevere

    Mr Fly who ate his parents long ago, now lives to consume all the rest of us. FEED ME, FEED ME SEMORE….I will eat you and all your children in the days, weeks and months to come. I have razor sharp teeth, beady yellow eyes and a hunger to consume all ‘ Innocents’ playing in my garbage can.

    I am The Fly- come and rest on my Fly Paper….so I may eat you and consume all your goodies and leave nothing behind but a barren world full of only ME—-THE FLY

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  56. btw

    marlin,

    You’ve read Chart Addicts stuff – you don’t like his attitude, angle, whatever. Stop clicking it & reading it & posting about why you don’t like it.

    The Fly has unique perspective & knowledge. That’s why I’m here. I can stop here & in a few minutes get a quick update on what’s going on in the market.

    The Fly is also a good role model – works hard, works smart, has balance. Watch and learn assholes. Since I’ve been reading this blog The Fly has built The PPT. What have I built during that time? Nothing so significant to be sure. -oops forgot focus above – So there you have it, time to re-focus & get busy. Nice work Fly.
    http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=cy2ZUGc2mSs&feature=related

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  57. Damon

    Steely Dan

    is there any other?

    The Royal Scam is the perfect metaphor of the whole goddamn thing.

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  58. Davy Jones' Ghost

    Charts…Charts…Charts !!!

    ARGHHHHH !!!

    Every sunken shipโ€™s got a room full of Charts !

    .

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  59. The Chart Addict

    Specifically directed to the fish fucker:

    First of all, you donโ€™t have to read my shit. Stop reading my blog if you think Iโ€™m not worth my salt.

    2nd – I donโ€™t tell people to sign up for anything. I timestamp my trading actions for motherfuckers like you who canโ€™t make a dime. You might learn a thing or two. You think I give a fuck about you? lol.

    3rd – Youโ€™re a short-sightedโ€ฆyou simple-minded fool. My market updates for the current day are to be used for the NEXT trading dave forward to the future, buddy. Youโ€™re supposed to learn the support/resistance lines, moving averages, candle specification, price/volume action, divergences, and other shit you have no clue about. Use that info for the next trading session, fuckface.

    You know what you fucking need? Not for us to spoon feed you trade ideas. You need a fucking solid trading plan.

    Did you see that? Get a solid trading PLAN.

    The fact that you are looking for picks on a daily basis shows the what kind of trader you are…a sure loser who won’t learn a solid system for himself to better his trading future.

    Granted, my charts are not “hot stock picks”. It’s your fucking job to find them. I try to lay out some simple technicals to aid you in this hectic market. Take it or leave it, but don’t shit on me for no reason. Don’t pick some internets fight with me.

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  60. crude_oil

    Chart Addict,tell us what you really think.lol

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  61. The Chart Addict

    I forgot to add:

    Aren’t you more interested in people’s systems instead of handouts? This isn’t some fucking welfare program for the losing traders. Why don’t you go learn people’s methods? That way ummm…maybe you won’t have to be so dependent?

    Don’t know how to do due diligence? Go fucking LEARN.

    The CORRECT thing that you should have done was to ask me how I trade, how my system works, how I determine certain things, etc., instead of posting mindless, unthoughtful comments. I’m sorry to say, but you already burned that bridge and will never get any help from me.

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  62. j

    Chart Addict.

    Isn’t fly correct to suggest that a lot of that chart stuff (not all) is tea leaves stuff?

    throw the kid a bone sometimes and stop being such a misery guts. if the kid wants a stock to trade on your recommendations give him one. It’s just the charitable thing to do in this new socialist environment. The days of me only are gone. You have to learn to share.

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  63. motherfucker

    ok, where’s the spoon fed hot stock pix website? i’m short sighted and definately not worth my salt, or your salt, or her salt, or anyone else’s salt. salt rocks! but my plan doesn’t rock the salt. it lacks support/resistance lines, moving averages, candle specification, price/volume action, divergences, and other shit i have no clue about. feed me, preferably with a spoon.

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  64. motherfucker

    i forgot to add. fucking fuck fucker fuck.

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  65. crude_oil

    Chart Addict,I like the charts.You make it so even a dumb fuck like myself can understand.Thanks.

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  66. The Chart Addict

    lol!!! I did say “fuck” a lot, didn’t I?

    j, fair enough. I’ll busy myself on Twitter today during trading hours.

    Username: WeeklyTA

    Most of the time, charting is 50/50, but several times, you get some clear signals that make you a killing. Most days are impossible to figure out and they are 50/50. The key is to take advantage of perfect entries when they do present themselves and bet accordingly.

    For people that use like 20 technical indicators, yea, that’s some tea leaf shit.

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  67. The Chart Addict

    Watch, this motherfucker marlin’s gonna add me on Twitter.

    What a fuckaroo dipshit.

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  68. Yogi & Boo Boo

    Chart Addict – Please don’t have a stroke. I’d miss your tabbed posts. I think you nailed Marlin’s trading “problem”. Whether he understands is another matter. FWIW, I enjoy your charts, and your perspective. I don’t need to tell Fly he knew what he was doing when he added you to the pantheon of tabs.

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  69. 4fl3x

    Go back to your tab Chart Addict, no one wants to hear your bs over here.

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  70. boca

    *pokes head in the door to say hi to Yogi and Boo-Boo*

    the charts say it’s time for me to go to work. Oh, ahem, you fracking frackers, almost forgot that part.

    Out of curiosity I will ask why it’s a good idea to move traffic to Twitter for intra-day updates, i.e. giving your traffic to someone else. You could have your own ibc chatroom and keep your own traffic. Of course, I’m always available for moderation duties in a chatroom. Just sayin’.

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  71. Yogi & Boo Boo

    Hi boca. How have the holiday sales been? I agree about Twitter traffic. I’m back to work also…

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  72. boca

    I’ve been working pretty hard Yogi, glad for the business but thinking longingly of having a day off, someday soon.

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  73. Juice

    The Fly has seen the future. However his timing is, off. Some gremlins been fucking with his copper timing bands.

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  74. Me2

    I agree 100%. Fly, please work on writing a movie screenplay in ur spare time. I am quite sure u have enough real stories to share that will make even a chipmunk feel tickled. Your insults r classic. I will produce it, just tell me that u will work on it.

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  75. j

    THIS is what fucks stocks and will send the market down to the giddy heights of Devildog’s lows (S&P 150) if it continues.

    THIS is what sends the economy into an ugly vortex that it can’t get out of like the 30’s

    THIS is the reason the Democrats can never be trusted with the economy unless there is a strong Congress holding them down in like the GOP did to Clinton in the 90’s

    http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/business/7772823.stm

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  76. malaka

    Holy shit…. Folks are getting a little crazy out there. For the love of god with all seriousness calm the fucktarded irrlvant post down to a bare min. I hate reading through crap. I come to the site to feel the love not bs from fucking haters.

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  77. Sir Douchebag

    Oh my god — Chart Addict —

    If you are up 100% every year…. Then you are obviously ROLLING in the money.

    So for someone THAT successful to hawk stupid-ass subscriptions for pocket change — and fucking respond to dipshits on this board….. means you are either a fucking liar or a total tool. Everyone else on Fly’s board has hits and misses and owns up to them.

    Why are the biggest ‘winners’ always the biggest ‘tools’

    And what happened to the 26% one day gain? You updated your performance religiously for two days… and then after a 500 point surprise rally… the daily performance updates stop cold.

    For a millionaire, you are quite the douchebag. And that means a lot coming from me.

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  78. Dinosaur Trader

    fly,

    I just want to point out that there was a time where you appeared to be winning, but actually lost quite badly.

    Something about telephones for the deaf?

    -DT

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  79. ducati Jr.

    http://majman.net/fly_loader.html

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  80. sniper6

    DIG and DUG both up premarket. Confusion and fear are prevalent.

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  81. sniper6

    Time to form an opinion. Initiating a position, shorting 500 PCX @ $7.75.

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  82. Jakegint

    Footage of the reclusive “Devil Dog” finally revealed.

    _______

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  83. mrkcbill

    Are there any Christmas Parties going on in the business world?
    Awful gloomy around here, a buddy of mine went to his wife’s party, an upscale small bank- held the party at a bowling alley.

    http://www.kansascity.com/business/story/928469.html

    SRS

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  84. mrkcbill

    Putting Rick Santelli in the studio is like putting him in Time Out. Listening to him talk in his library voice is funny.

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  85. TraderCaddy

    Question:
    Does (or is it do) Fly Jr. and Ducati Jr. share the same DNA?

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  86. The Fly

    NUE Nucor guides Q4 well below consensus (40.71 )

    Co says it expects to be profitable in Q4, but only marginally above the breakeven level vs First Call consensus of $1.46. Co says the economic crisis has caused not only end use demand for steel to decline, but many customers have been reducing inventories due to liquidity concerns arising from the credit crunch. Shipments are expected to decline by 40% on a sequential basis. “We have never been confronted with the economic and steel market conditions that we are seeing today.” Co believes that the impact of major portions of the infrastructure stimulus package will be felt on projects at the Federal, State and local levels in Q2 of 2009. One major concern for the overall economy is when banks will start lending again as opposed to hoarding the taxpayers’ funds or using them for acquisitions here and abroad.

    Carry on.

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  87. The Fly

    Modified loans often lead homeowners back to trouble – NY Times

    NY Times reports Most troubled homeowners whose mortgages were modified are again falling behind on payments, a top banking regulator said on Monday, raising questions about whether policy makers and lenders can successfully help them stay in their homes. Data from banks show that more than half of loans modified during the first three months of the year were delinquent by 30 days just six months after the terms of the loans were changed, John Dugan, the comptroller of the currency, said at a conference in Washington. After eight months, 58% were delinquent again. The rate at which borrowers fall behind payments again โ€” called the re-default rate โ€” appears to be much higher than what previous studies have found. In October, a Credit Suisse study showed that about 30% of loans modified at the end of last year were delinquent by 60 days within eight months of the change. Mr. Dugan said it was unclear why the re-default rates were so high after modifications made by the 14 banks that provided data to his office. He acknowledged that “we have to be careful as we look at this data.” One explanation for the high re-default rate might be that banks were not significantly changing the terms of the loans they modified.

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  88. Grandpa

    sniper, sold the last of my DIG at 3:35 yesterday. DUG looked much better in the last 15 minutes. I didn’t pick any up, waiting to make sure there were no overnight surprises. See how the first half hour plays. Both showed a daily doji, although I trade them off of a 5 min and hourly that both showed DUG a better choice. Just not enough to confirm.

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  89. sniper6

    I heard DuPont (DD) is laying off 2500 mid management in the US this week

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  90. Jakegint

    J —

    Isn’t Gubner Roddy Blag-o-doughnuts (D- IL) the guy that’s currently gettting measured for prison stripes?

    This bullshittery does not surprise me.

    ________

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  91. Grandpa

    Bocca, much of the Fly’s info is better than the various newsletters I used to buy years ago.
    And he’s a gizillion times more fun!

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  92. Malaka

    Fly

    what did I fucking tell everyone yesterday…. Housing fucked SRS in the fucking Hizzy. How many times guys did i post some of the most obvious shit and BAMM in the balls it comes true.

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  93. Jakegint

    Terrible news, Fly.

    Just terrible!

    _____

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  94. j

    Dunno jake, but he sure deserves it. Hoping it doesn’t give other lunatics ideas.

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  95. sniper6

    Gramps, thanks. I am shorting energy this morning via a short on PCX. I am no chart reader, but my five day chart seems to show a channel between $6.60 and $7.45. My plan, unless I get KO’d right away (stop loss @ $8.00), is to add to my short position at both of those levels should they get broken, and to cover all at $5.50.

    But, that is just wishful thinking. I’ll take it as it comes. Good luck.

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  96. j

    Fly:

    Your last excerpt sounds like a bit of ruse to me, attempted by banks to avoid putting the borrowers in default and avoiding a write off…… for two reasons.

    1. Data from banks show that more than half of loans modified during the first three months of the year

    2. One explanation for the high re-default rate might be that banks were not significantly changing the terms of the loans they modified.

    In other words why were the banks simply changing to a new contract if the terms weren’t altered all that much?

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  97. Malaka

    Listen folks I am going to be a straight shooter here… All those MBS, CDOs, CMO whatever investment vechile they told me to put shit in I did, so therefore one to blame for this crap tank market.
    Stated loans what have you. Roughly 50% of the loans where non verified anything fully stated fucking mexican landscapers riding 6 deep in a two seater truck buying 500k houses. Many people only see the market, analyst reports, follow trends etc. I worked in the shark tank I saw everything right in front of my eyes coupons, wac, bps everything. NOT good

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  98. TraderCaddy

    The daytrading fool in me has gone long SMH,MU. Some of the chips are up notwithstanding the bad news and TXN,BRCM,ALTR are crawling back.

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