iBankCoin
The first hit is always on the house.
Joined Aug 2, 2009
1,847 Blog Posts

ANOTHER RISK DIVERGENCE

Small and Micro caps are very resilient into this decline today. As discussed last week, there was a lot of conviction moves in the Russell last month, and its a good sign to see these prices defended.

rectumalmostkilledum

Here’s another look at the developing range in the VIX. This is my biggest cause for concern right now.

shitterisfull

The biggest tell for me today is the non-response in the Russell, and the strength in growth stocks (again). They are very resilient into market weakness.

We’ll see how the day settles, but there’s that constant feel to this market that something big is setting up.

We’ll discuss this in more detail after hours.

No trades to speak of yet, other than booking $CMCM.

More later,

OA

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73 comments

  1. Mav

    Regarding $CMCM- Did you hit your price target? Whats your resoning for booking it.

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  2. ffunluving

    Nice call on $CMCM. Sticking with that stock shows me how patience is necessary when trading. Though I was so glad to sell for a profit this morning.

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  3. Marvin Dice

    OA,

    How do you set your charts to show so few days.I set mine up similarly for /TF 5 y D and it goes way out to 2012 making the bars too small.

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  4. linmoo

    This market is absolutely addicted to fear. It’s been a daytrade-only environment since October. Can’t see what would make it an easier swing trading environment any time soon.

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  5. bchu12

    Wow. Alternative energies getting slammed

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  6. bchu12

    Well, alt more so it seems

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  7. BlueStar: Contrarian Investor
    BlueStar: Contrarian Investor

    Biotechs and tech in general do better in deflation.

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  8. ccassara

    I am considering retiring as an options trader.

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  9. chiefton15

    this is no joke.

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  10. chiefton15

    I’m looking to short any bounces

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  11. linmoo

    Anyone else notice that recent ‘Mutual Fund Mondays’ are a great reason to sell the market?

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  12. Nostradamus

    So far, the signs of this new year are clear to read: The market will continue to flounder in a deflationary vortex for the foreseeable future. All long trading is dead for at least 3-5 years. Many companies will close their doors and throw millions out of work. The banks and brokers will go bankrupt on margin calls and failed loans. The global financial system will completely collapse, leading to a Mad Max apocalyptic doom. The sun is getting more intense and will soon make life impossible on Earth. The nickel core is overheating and will soon explode.

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  13. Trent J

    One vulgar expression sums up my first day of trading in 2015:

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rUlIh45zvzY

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  14. chub

    only thing saving my ass today is $JNUG and $NUGT. everything else is red.

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    • Formergeek

      now back to chub? lol

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      • chub

        haha. i guess my mobile phone is set to bchu and my office pc is set to chub. I just realized that. i’m on the road quite a bit for work.

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  15. Danny1980

    Sold YY for +90% thought it would’ve went more but Market was just too horrible today. Still Holding NOAH calls China time

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  16. gasman

    Bought a little blood in the energy sector today: $ROSE Feb 25 calls; added to $EVEP (full position now); starters in $EMES and $HCLP. Still holding ~10% $ERY hedge

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  17. hesitation

    Feye and lulu saving me

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  18. Jon V

    Which growth stocks are you eyeing that held in? Just curious. I see a decent amount of carnage in some that I follow like Z, YELP, GOOGL, ZU, SPLK, BABA, AAPL, TSLA.

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    • Option Addict

      I wrote this shortly after the open. Everything fell to shit at lunch.

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      • Jon V

        oh gotcha. what are you thinking about some of these: Z, GOOGL, AAPL? I’d love to see Z at a PEG of 2 or around $65 to $70. Doubtful it happens but maybe on the back of uncertainty surrounding their TRLA merger???

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  19. danny1980

    CYBR catching my eye again. I already have some $45’s that are almost worthless. Looks better here

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  20. highsurf

    LULU strong, like bull – in yoga pants.

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  21. MRBIG

    Remember that “biotech basket ” a.k.a. the “bucket of shit ” you were touting last year about this time ? I think you were a year early and tricked into the cheapie hype .

    My theme for this year is large biotech with some huge merger /buyout activity .
    Make it simple , look at the IBB top holdings , pick two or three and have a nice year .

    This nonsense of waiting for a bounce in oil is not a healthy way to start the year . Once it breaks 50 the market will surely overshoot ,always does , and the bottom probably somewhere around 35 . The days of NYMEX heroes is long past and the machines/programs really don’t give a fuck about jobs in North Dakota….nothing to see here , move along .

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  22. chiefton15

    the NQ will hit 4135 4140 area before any chance of bouncing.

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  23. kidstock

    TWTR time…next stop 40!

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  24. bchu12

    J freakin NUG baby!!!

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  25. shawnji

    CYTK, SGI have saved my bacon. BABA weeklies bot yesterday looking good. PEIX puts looking good, thanks to whoever it was that recommended those, can’t remember who it was.

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    • Jacked Rabbit

      shawn, that pocket below $9.10 on PEIX is very open all the way down to $7. What puts do you have?

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  26. Jacked Rabbit

    Hey gasman, what are the odds of PEIX breaking through this triple bottom and getting into this pocket below? Sitting on next week’s $10s here, and thinking about rolling them out to Feb $9s or $8s…

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    • gasman

      Hey jacked, I’ve got a limit order in at 1.55 on my Feb 9’s. Premium getting pricey and I don’t want to risk losing these monster gains on a snap back rally. I might sell lower at EOD depending on what the market does here. Awesome trade you got us into. Many thanks.

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      • gasman

        Scratch that comment about pricey premiums. They’re actually still cheap here. Moving my limit order to 1.85.

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      • Jacked Rabbit

        Good group trade all around. Looking at getting out of my Jan $10s today, then roll into Feb $9s or $8s on any subsequent bounce this week. Good luck!

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  27. bchu12

    Wow!!! $jnug $his

    Don’t be sucked in by the bearish bias. Easy money here

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  28. linmoo

    This is turning into a conviction sell day on RUT. Happy New Year.

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  29. kidstock

    Sold out of GPRO margin shares and Feb calls and rolled into Jan 70’s and weekly 70’s. Looking for a big move here.

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  30. lol

    the TLT is going nuts.

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  31. chiefton15

    long NQ 4105

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  32. Tom

    OA, as getting closer to our FSLR entry, will you sell your holdings if it went down from here ? or wait and add more lower ?
    Thanks.

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  33. chiefton15

    out +4.5 that was rough. Need to see more before putting anything else on.

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  34. kidstock

    Bot TWTR 37.52

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  35. vking

    For all of you longtime iBC readers, here is a blast from the past. An iBC Hall of Fame Member and current staff writer for FSA the goat….
    http://fantasysportaction.com/pro-blog/407-goatland-1-6-2015.html

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  36. bchu12

    what an amazing day! keep it rolling. trend is your friend

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  37. kidstock

    TWTR en fuego!

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  38. Danny1980

    in some PCLN calls 1110’s from 1080 3.20 cost

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  39. Jacked Rabbit

    Next week YELP $55 calls here.

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