iBankCoin
The first hit is always on the house.
Joined Aug 2, 2009
1,847 Blog Posts

OA Buy: CREE

I bought Jan calls in CREE here, looking for a pop this week.

More later,

OA

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177 comments

  1. AP

    OA,

    Do you like $XIN for an “Under 10$” pop? Thanks and see you in AHWOA!

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  2. mikejones

    thoughts on $mu, earnings this wk

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  3. mikejones

    alot of call options activity, high short interest, might be a hedge ?

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  4. Raul3

    Oh god yeah

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  5. Martin

    ANGI up a couple points on the day. MOAR.

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  6. takingAlpha

    sell Yoku or hold? Price target is 35 but leaning towards locking in the gain.

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  7. bballboi948

    CZR dump at close, sell or hold? 150% gains -> 50% gains

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    • kschep

      looks like maybe the EVP sold shares, might possibly explain some of it and then the rest maybe panic selling when that kicked in?

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  8. kschep

    SECURITY…anybody jump on PANW today? I mentioned it with CUDA, but noticed CUDA had earnings this week. My CUDA calls held value while the stock dropped today. Meanwhile PANW up 5% after market on acquisition news. I hope this holds through tomorrow’s trade

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    • kschep

      (kschep=yoshii11…just had a different email address when i signed up for service, so when i’m not logged in my id here defaulted to what i used to use)

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      • twinkies

        using the transitive property…
        if yoshii11 likes mariokart,

        and yoshi11 = kschep,

        then i can only assume that kschep likes mariokart.

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        • yoshii11

          transitive properties…man, thats like right off an ACT exam or somethin. need one of the console systems to provide SNES online multiplayer. that would be a blast. yosh/kschep

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  9. Rick

    Thoughts on DANG now?

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    • Comella

      He loves DANG all the way down to even under $9… so yes, he still likes it here.

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  10. Matt

    OA- Is SCTY a sell here ? looks island top for me. Or, hold to new high ? Thanks !

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  11. taxmonster

    Question – do you guys know how to post a comment in after hours? I cant figure out how to post it.

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    • taxmonster

      in the meantime, I know OA doesn’t like miners – but looking at NEM – I would think it is ready for a breakout and volume pocket.. but I am pretty novice.

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    • lanforce

      Use a browser that is not IE (like Firefox or Chrome) – then you will see a “submit” button when you type something.

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  12. anon

    Jan 18 75 calls?

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  13. yoshii11

    On the topic of puts, my 1st puts of 2014 were yolo KNDI puts from last week, which paid handsomely today. Lesson learned, the next time a similar stock is up 100% in as little as 4 or 5 days, I will probably do the same.

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    • yoshii11

      75%…not 100%, either way, the move up blew my mind socks off, hence the puts.

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  14. matt_bear

    National Champs. Go Noles!!

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  15. danny1980

    WDAY PT increase from UBS! Whewwww

    Up to $86 in PM

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  16. lemonysteve

    i like

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  17. yoshii11

    unbelievable, took a bite on NFLX yesterday only to see it downgraded today. what else can I pick that will be downgraded!

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  18. jtjudah

    ARIA and MNKD heating

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  19. takingAlpha

    YGE!

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  20. sk

    Jim Cramer pumping GOGO, but this is actually a good thing. Typically stocks tank after his reccos.

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  21. sandwich

    sold WDAY for +210%

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    • lanforce

      The target sell for the 82.50’s at goal was 8.46.

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      • sandwich

        I missed that, dang

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      • fifty2weekhi

        lan, how do you calculate option price at target? Is it on one of OA’s crash course?

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        • lanforce

          You can do it with the Greeks and an Excel spreadsheet (which is what I use IF I enter a trade). But for a ballpark estimate that is ALMOST as accurate (and takes seconds rather than minutes), use:

          http://www.optionsprofitcalculator.com/calculator

          It will do the stock and option price lookup (you can change these manually) and shows you the option price, return, and sell instructions for any price on any given day. I’d pay $400 bucks a year for this free tool, but it is totally free.

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  22. charlie

    JASO looks ready to fly in the 10s

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  23. green machine

    YOKU target? I see multi-year thin air up here, anyone else?

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  24. kschep

    scaled out of some YELP, will let the rest run. Taking my lumps in NFLX, but the rest is doing fine today.

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  25. kschep

    Well done if held onto YY…I didn’t dip buy yesterday after selling Friday…would have been a nice trade.

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  26. lanforce

    With YY hitting stretch goal – the return if you top ticked was 467.32%.

    Congrats to those who held !!!

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  27. cheesetrader

    @OA – awesome on the CREE call – have been long common for a while

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  28. matt_bear

    next level of OA training with holding could have turned HCA into a mega winner. oh well.

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  29. jtjudah

    ANGI, a thing of beauty. OA does it again.

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  30. autumnalcity

    is anyone taking profits on VMW, WDAY, or YOKU, or want to point me out some reasons why I shouldn’t?

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  31. kschep

    GOOG 2 days up strong now, probably a chase here, but PCLN breakout move looking good…it has big moves, not for beginners.

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  32. matt_bear

    dammit OA, you need to stop making picks that take off so quickly. I missed CREE. 🙁

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    • sandwich

      i was looking to get in this morning… she’s was already in flight before i could hop on

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      • kschep

        thank goodness for CREE, 20 of Jan 65s yesterday for .80 almost offsets my NFLX downgrade.

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    • jtjudah

      he’s a beast. my order didn’t get executed either.

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    • matt_bear

      it’s a fucking triple already in less than 2 trading hours. >:(

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  33. Danny1980

    Thought I was chasing CREE at $62; happy I did. already up 90%

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  34. gatorsun

    CREE jeff nailed it..YGE killer…

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  35. sandwich

    DSS – i’m pretty sure OA blessed this in last nights webinar… it’s on my watchlist for some reason

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  36. kschep

    Of the under $10 list…I sure like the one that started with the letter “B”…great chart. I’m in as of today.

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  37. kschep

    Anybody wanna buy my Jan 80 calls on HII? scaling out of it, but nobody is buying this low hanging fruit I’m providing.

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    • yoshii11

      nevermind, had it on sale for 13, even while price was 93.03, still no buyers, so I pulled my order.

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  38. rajusus

    Tomorrow is going to be CLF day .Anybody loading here ?

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  39. halloweenpleb

    CREEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEE WIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIII

    THANKS JEFF + 25% on some calls i took this morning

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  40. taxmonster

    Membership paid – Thanks OA. Trying to learn options and just trading stock.. but hoping to get on the options train.

    Random question – but I have a hard time believing you do AH with OA for the money… so it must be about helping the little guy out. Much appreciated!

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  41. yoshii11

    SFUN SveryFUN!

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  42. matt_bear

    warning: for all of you that chased CREE this morning that was a BAD TRADE. Keep that in mind. Profiting off of bad trading mechanics can really HURT you down the road.

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    • yoshii11

      if they got in while it was coiling this morning I think that would be fine. break of the 10day high around 63 likely triggered some buying…beyond that I agree it would be chasing. This could also fall under one time you break all the rules…I have a lamp that only works with the old incandescent bulbs…so I stocked up on them last night….won’t be able to buy them in future, so there’s a story to this pick.

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    • sandwich

      I would like to hear OA’s opinion on this… i feel there are certain scenarios where it could ok to chase just as the breakout occurs. I’m no expert though!

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    • Queequeg

      New member – DG, here. matt_bear – please elaborate. Why a BAD TRADE?
      Thanks!

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      • matt_bear

        after 9:45, the calls were already double the price from the original entry. So if you bought after 9:45, it’s a bad trade. The risk:reward profile is greatly skewed.

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  43. DaJuice

    Anyone remember what the VMW target is?

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  44. sandwich

    My eyes closed trade on BCEI is paying off!

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  45. matt_bear

    closed out YOKU for 300%. Holding everything else.

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  46. jacked rabbit

    Great work, OA! A CREE bomb! Someone talked about OPEN and TRIP yesterday on the blog, and they popped too!

    IV is holding back ANGI for me a bit.

    Looking to get out of MU before the call tonight so I can go into a GOGO put.

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    • lanforce

      With the Cramer news on GOGO – you might want to rethink that put. Look at the volume today.

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      • jacked rabbit

        Ian, thanks for the heads up, but I don’t mind the risk here. The wrong trade is a close over $25. Once it it gets over $25, it’ll go to $27 in a day or two. Then you can think about another area for a put if that’s your thesis.

        And my MU call just closed. With earnings tonight, IV was just too high for me to risk it. I’d rather watch it and learn, then be in it and freak.

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        • sandwich

          Thanks for the heads up on the MU earnings tonight, I’m gonna close my pos sometime today

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      • sk

        I used protective puts, hoping it breaks one way or the other and not just sits at 25.

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  47. bodhisattva

    Possible bearish entry on BBY, bumping up against old triangle support

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  48. yoshii11

    anybody else stepping foot into PCLN? up $20, but that relates to only a 1.8% move. it’s a blessing and a curse what this thing can do.

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  49. hattery

    I haven’t seen a comment asking about TSLA in a long time.

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    • autumnalcity

      THANK you. And it has the look here. I’m usually a bear on this name, but it’s adding up.

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  50. lanforce

    I predict WDAY closes today at 89.50

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  51. hattery

    WDAY just ripped bears faces off. Yet Another great call as usual and I’m sitting on my hands so as not to sell my YOKU position.

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  52. the Flamethrower

    GOGO, should be interesting. OA bearish, The Fly bullish. My money is with OA

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  53. mrboulders

    $GOGO sharply denied at $25 again

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  54. heckler

    Am I the only one watching ZHNE?

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    • takingAlpha

      meant to get in this morning. a little late now.

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    • yoshii11

      in since 5.16, set it and forget it…wow, that is a nice gift today.

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      • heckler

        yeah I got in yesterday as well. They report earnings in a couple of weeks so be careful. Does anyone have a target for ZHNE?

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  55. gatorsun

    Noles Nat’l Champs…Gators would be,,except we sucked this year

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  56. 6society

    This is my biggest one day gain EVER! All on Jeff’s picks… It’s almost impossible to comprehend how he does it. Wow

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    • yoshii11

      Days like today I try not to look at the balance…too tempting to sell, though there be times when its good to scale on some wins if you have multiple options.

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  57. gatorsun

    WPRT out of the hole on this one..worth a look

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  58. sandwich

    Anyone heard/know a good price target for MS?

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  59. Danny1980

    Sold YOKU +250%

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    • jacked rabbit

      Good job Danny. I’m sitting on a CZR call over 100% and the old swing trader in me is cursing myself out for not selling it yet.

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      • lanforce

        If this helps you out and encourages you to sit on your hands, here are the returns at 25 and 26 respectively:
        412.00% 604.00%

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        • jacked rabbit

          Ian, I just don’t see CZR moving that fast in 11 days. Would rolling it over to Feb be advised?

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          • lanforce

            Do you see it going DOWN that fast in 11 days – if not, than why sell now ?

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          • jacked rabbit

            Ian, I’m just running out of time here. I bought an OTM call that’s now ITM. Every day, they take a bit more from me and it’s going to turn into a YOLO trade pretty quick. I’m not looking for that.

            Am I selling now, no way. If it runs to $23.50 in the next day or so? You bet – I’ll let someone else finish the race.

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        • lanforce

          My returns take into account time decay of option prices.

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  60. Danny1980

    Trying hard not to sell WDAY but up 350%

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    • sandwich

      Hold it man… i regret selling it. Don’t look at P today haha

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    • dchanko

      Same situation here, I keep telling myself still 10 days left on the option and free space on volume profile above.

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    • lanforce

      Selling right now would yield you 192% (assuming an average entry).

      HERE are the rewards for waiting (target and stretch)

      273.17% 371.71%

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  61. matt_bear

    Jeff- i keep getting a message that my IP is blocked when i try to log into TA. is there an issue with the site?

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    • jacked rabbit

      It was your new kid, matt. Your boy was trying to get Jeff to talk about Stochastics and Inchimoku clouds, so he brought out the ban hammer…

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    • mrboulders

      had the same issue a couple of times as well

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    • yoshii11

      uh oh…you’re on “that” list…tsk, tsk, tsk. 🙂

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  62. DaJuice

    Thinking about jumping into NIHD here. Looks like it bounced of some short term support this morning. The only OA small bomb not ripping today…must be next.

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  63. cheesetrader

    @IOA, still liking the GOGO puts? If so, good entry ?

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    • jacked rabbit

      I’m still stalking them…I’d like to get the Jan 22.50s for less than .50

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      • jacked rabbit

        Speaking of GOGO, what’s with the 126,000 in open interest on $22 Jan calls? That had as much volume today as OI on the rest of the strikes…

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      • cheesetrader

        that’s what I was looking at

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  64. lowbidder

    Lan any thoughts on P target, or think it has run its course. In at .90

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  65. mickeyrobbie

    Awesome calls. Everything popping.

    Found BORN still not in on the action and opened a position.

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  66. the Flamethrower
    the Flamethrower

    UA may be worth a look here, consolidating near highs

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  67. lanforce

    @Danny
    @Matt_Bear
    @LOL

    Entering the CRM trade here with 57.50’s.

    Profits at Goal and Target
    1012.00% 1728.00%
    Too much risk/reward NOT to take it.

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  68. thewolf

    anybody like CREE 67 weeklys @ .25 here or would that be considered chasing?

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  69. Danny1980

    In at .24 you beat me…lol

    Only a small position though; I like the chart and the fact it’s having an inside day.

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    • lanforce

      It would be an awesome trade up to 0.35, IMHO – I had to adjust my spreadsheet columns to do the math on this one – not a TWTR, but not far off.

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  70. Danny1980

    It’s in a volume pocket dude; I think it goes by Friday. But I live on a River Boat….;-)

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  71. lanforce

    VMW now at its’ STRETCH target for the trade !!!

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  72. Danny1980

    @ LanForce if WDAY finishes the day at highs I can see $91-$92 what’s your stretch on this one

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    • Danny1980

      Meant tomorrow or this week on that target btw not today

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      • lanforce

        Target 90 Stretch 92 – however it was upgraded yesterday by someone with a buy rating and $100 target.

        Returns @ target and stretch
        273.17% 371.71%

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        • lanforce

          What I really like about this trade is that it’s been working almost since day 1 and we have EIGHT trading days left. I could see it hit 95 if it continues like this – we’ll see how she charts at 90.

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  73. lanforce

    All

    It’s days like today that make days like yesterday ALMOST tolerable. If you’re like me, last night called for stiff cocktails and trade reflection.

    Tonight calls for celebratory cocktails, and I will reflect on my trading prowess (sarcasm here – all due credit to OA for finding these gems).

    PLEASE PLEASE PLEASE try and milk every dime of profit you possibly can on a day like today. We don’t go through days like yesterday for mediocre returns on days like today.

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  74. lanforce

    @fifty2weekhi

    I posted the answer to your question about option pricing and sell price in the original thread – don’t know if you saw it.

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  75. Danny1980

    Thoughts on SSYS here 135’s for 2.10

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