iBankCoin
The first hit is always on the house.
Joined Aug 2, 2009
1,847 Blog Posts

MY FIRST BEARISH BET OF THE YEAR

My favorite downside ideas are when I can see the general public holding hands and frolicking over a shared idea. Last time we did this was with Twitter, when all the Average Joe investors of the earth as well as financial “experts” all scoffed at the opportunity. As you know, I love sentiment as an indicator.

I’ve seen a stock over the last several months that has been actively mentioned, watched, and salivated over by many. I am asked about it often, despite my lack of enthusiasm to trade it. In other words, it is mentioned to me like it is a core position. This is why I am starting a position to bet against it in the short term.

The stock? $GOGO.

I have taken a bet in the January puts, with a target of $18. Thinking there’s a rug pull here soon.

OA

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61 comments

  1. the Flamethrower

    OA, which Jan Puts did you buy?

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  2. Bob

    OA- what is your move for FSLR CTRP. Hold or sell or double down ? Thanks.

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  3. prabz

    Classic Image of slope of hope 🙂

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  4. notch383

    jan puts could be good pick. Earnings are in Feb so may be good short/put until then

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  5. MonteBurns

    I like watching YOKU pop.

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  6. drj_md

    Made some good money on the long side in $GOGO already, so why not? Followed.

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  7. sandwich

    Who bought BITA this morning?

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  8. yoshii11

    saving grace today: SFUN, YELP, YOKU, DECK, HII, WDAY…upset I didn’t take Z on Friday at the lows when I was considering it. unfortunately, my losers today are weighing heavily on my gainers. How about that ride in BITA today!…crazy

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  9. tp (autumnal)

    Jeff, think it’s worth holding the FSLR calls to salvage something?

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    • woj

      tp, only you can make that call. Depends on if the amount is worth something to you or not. The odds of the calls appreciating are not good. FSLR essentially has to run 20% in 9 trading days now. Possible? Sure. Definitely not likely though. Jeff positions with the mentality that the call may go to zero. He is ok with that. If you are as well, then hold it. If not, close them and open up a February at some point this week (I wouldn’t do it today).

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  10. lol

    I finally bought into the CLF. Long Jan4 $26 calls @.47

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  11. azulgrana

    SRPT reversal typical

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  12. yoshii11

    KEYW ripping…CUDA next one to go. PANW waiting.

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  13. UncleBuccs

    I remember this GOGO being discussed After Hours the week before Christmas. Tried to remind the peeps at the$27 bounce… http://ibankcoin.com/option_addict/2013/12/23/last-minute-gift-idea/#comment-24350

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  14. tp (autumnal)

    looks like a class bear trap in LNKD today before they rip it with the rest of socials?

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  15. yoshii11

    I’m TRLA believer…popping with Z.

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  16. SK

    Jeff, if you’re target is $18, why not go deeper OTM? Just curious, prob just a risk management thing.

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  17. Kevin

    Same question as SK

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  18. chub

    Haha. Love the SOH image

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  19. boston george

    niggas aint talkin so much in here today tho bruh

    calls selling for 50% off looks like a bargain to me

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    • lanforce

      Bought or added 3 separate trades today.

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    • sandwich

      Everybody is busy buying up all these oversold winners… Just made my 5th buy of the day

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      • boston george

        post your buys

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        • sandwich

          WLT 24 Jan (weekly) 17 call @ .33
          RMBS Feb 10 call @ .31
          MELI Feb 115 call @ 1.70
          MU 24 Jan (weekly) 22 call @ .83
          GMCR 24 Jan (weekly) 81 call @ .89
          I may buy more too

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  20. sandwich

    I think selling too early hurts more than a loss IMO. P

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    • takingAlpha

      What about selling then rebuying your position? I sold my FSLR calls that GS dumped on for .42 and can buy them back for .25.

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      • takingAlpha

        If I decide not to get back in, I have saved 40% of my premium. If I do get back in at .25, I generate 300% returns if the call returns to my initial entry point of $1 taking.

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      • sandwich

        I’m talking about gains… i sold P this morning for +250%. It’s now at +500%. Honestly that bugs me more than my FSLR’s I sold this morning.

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    • Danny1980

      Yes My P calls would be up over 400% now…Ugh

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  21. sandwich

    Bought WLT 4th weekly calls here, never lost in a WLT trade

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    • bchu12

      gluck

      i hold shares. and have noticed that this gets knocked down always around $16. need to break that resistance

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  22. jules

    The GOGO chart kinda looks like IDRA before it got flushed.

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    • yoshii11

      does that mean GOGO will double in 2-3 months? LOL…I love that IDRA, reminds me I better raise my stop on that one.

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  23. Jacked Rabbit

    Got into a MU Jan call, and got orders in on RKUS and KOG.

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  24. yoshii11

    Wow, XONE took the hit like a champ. come on big fella.

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  25. hattery

    Thoughts on TRIP and OPEN?

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    • Jacked Rabbit

      Someone likes selling CZR at $23. Wow – that was a rejection…

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  26. lanforce

    @ Danny
    @ LOL

    Buying CREE here.

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  27. sandwich

    ESI – next time I shall trust me gut

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    • yoshii11

      great chart on the retest, would have been a nice gainer.

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    • Option Addict

      Why did you not trust it?

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      • sandwich

        I asked about education stocks last week during the webinar and you said you weren’t feeling them here. Now you never said don’t buy and in the end it was up to me, but your words persuaded me just enough not to take the trade. I only liked it though because it looked like one of your set ups… so I would have never looked at it in the first place if I wasn’t in the AHWOA service haha

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  28. daveh

    Bought ANGI stock today at 13.12. Looking at 3 day minute chart it looks to be in reversal. Low volume. They lost interest? Perfect. Lets see. Thanks OA

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