iBankCoin
The first hit is always on the house.
Joined Aug 2, 2009
1,847 Blog Posts

Unconsciously Competent

As discussed yesterday, “there was an initiative buyer in stocks.” We are in tradeable bounce mode. Having taken off the hedge for a big gain and added to longs, I am feeling pretty good about our market map this week. It was crystal ball-ish.

Note: I am long VMW Nov 85 calls here.

More later,

OA

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63 comments

  1. The Plumber's Crack
    The Plumber's Crack

    OAIG

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  2. heisenberg

    OA, any thoughts on why AAPL is not moving that much?

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  3. CypSteel

    OA, I am pretty heavy long right now and doing good thanks to you 🙂 I have alot of options expiring next week…what are your thoughts on holding these? Should I sell into the strength today?

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    • CypSteel

      I guess I should be specific: open, gme, appl x 2, and crus…All nice gains from 10/8…

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      • lanforce

        You bought at a very good time – congrats.

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        • CypSteel

          Well I was waiting on a pullback and the panic level was pretty bad…so felt like a good time to take take OA’s trades…I didnt’ get at the very bottom, but it turned out to be a good entry…

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          • CypSteel

            CRUS is just a marginable gain, but I am just curious on OA’s thoughts going into next week…its probably a dumb question as we are all held hostage to the madness in Washington…

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  4. lanforce

    (Repost from Red to Green thread)

    OA – I nailed a nice dip in AAPL and picked up put spreads (490/485) which JUST cover the cost of my 500 weeklies. There was about 2 bucks of time value in the put, so I figure anything over 487 I should be OK.

    Still have some value in the 500′s – question becomes take it off, or let it ride as a YOLO ?

    Bird in hand and all that…

    Thx

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    • Option Addict

      I would be all over this, even still. Dip buy ahead of resistance…pop

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      • lanforce

        Thanks for confirming what I was sort of thinking.

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      • dvaughn

        reading OA above, added to my AAPL 10/11 $500 calls….i know, i know…..never add to…

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        • lanforce

          Well – you got em at a good price anyways.

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          • dvaughn

            got the add at $.30…but basis on position is $2.15…AAPL 10/11 $500 calls…I need another 7-8 points in the next 24hrs….also holding 10/19 $515 calls…..fwiw

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          • lanforce

            Wow – you’re in steep. Did you see my note to OA on my put spread hedge. I’m in (average) @ 1.23, so I’m only knee deep compared to you.

            That’s a lot of time premium to try and make back !

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      • Tskim

        AAPL’s daily is starting to look just like the sentiment chart.

        Thanks for walking me through this OA.

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  5. Mike M.

    OA, must be something I don’t see about VMW-care to elaborate? pls

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  6. RNaya

    Jeff what is your take on CIEN. Close to 52-week high with 20% short.

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  7. Mike M.

    re VMW break of downtrend line, RSI bounce at 30, bounce off lower BB- All Daily. Am I close?

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  8. Green Machine

    OA,
    Thanks for teaching me how to fish. I was able to pick CNQ the other day in AH…and today voila!

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  9. lanforce

    Is anyone considering buying FB into earnings ?

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    • cheesetrader

      @Ian – I’m tempted – we’ll see

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      • lanforce

        Hey – how you looking on AAPL ?

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        • cheesetrader

          Still in the weeklies – waiting for you and OA to give the okay to bail

          Lucked out on some TEVA calls I had, so that helps.

          Excellent job with your put spread

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          • lanforce

            OA got out of the weeklies on Wednesday for a quarter, sir.

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          • Option Addict

            I grew tired of the anxiousness over it in my room yesterday. Didn’t want to rehash the same words for the 100th time, so I cut it. My way of throwing a temper tantrum. However, I begged for everyone else to stay in it. I do this at times to dodge the questions.

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          • cheesetrader

            Aaah – missed that somewhere along the way.

            will watch this run and see if I can get out somewhere decent – avg at 1.73

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          • lanforce

            You still have a decent play with a 495/490 put spread. High probability trade and will net you 247. You have a LOT of clawback to do.

            Something to consider.

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          • cheesetrader

            Thank you both for your time and thoughts here! Extraordinarily educational

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  10. Option Addict

    ***COCAINE TRAIN LONG SET-UP COMING***

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  11. darwin

    edge of my seat to board the train OA

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  12. darwin

    longer they hold apple down..the bigger the POP…its coming

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  13. StocksRider

    My portfolio rocketed up today. Days like this I am more confused than happy. It has always been a challenge for me to know whether I should be taking money off the table or riding on the freight train. OA, it would be awesome if you share your more than two cents on this topic.

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    • lanforce

      When was the last time we had a market up 215 ?

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      • StocksRider

        Your point is…?

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        • lanforce

          Make hay while the sun shines.

          I sold my BBY spread at days high, even though I probably could have gotten more letting it run to next week.

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          • StocksRider

            Gotcha. My point is it is incredibly difficult to time when you know a next flush is going to come soon, but before that this freight train could go on and on. I suppose the lesson here is screw the timing and start taking profits until you come to a level in portfolio that you are comfortable riding along with.

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  14. Option Addict

    MCP YOLO NOW WKLY 7 calls .23

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  15. darwin

    rising channel in AAPL. needs to get thru $492.60 then shes off.

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  16. darwin

    aapl really acting well. believe OA would agree.

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  17. darwin

    check out GSVC

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  18. darwin

    first attempt @ $492.60 coming

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  19. lanforce

    AAPL Cheerleader Thread

    A place for all us weekly (tomorrow) holders to hang out and collectively nail bite.

    Stock touching 492.32 as I type this.

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    • StocksRider

      Went with AAPL next week calls earlier today. Too much anxiety to keep up with to go for this week calls, given multiple longs in portfolio

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      • lanforce

        I hear ya.

        I am so knee deep in AAPL that I had to play and manage what I had.

        Feel free to read that as I had NO cash to put into next weeks weeklies, so I’m making my lemonade out of a mixture of lemons and tangerines.

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  20. lanforce

    OA will be happy to note that Street.com notices AAPL and thinks there is a play there today. Vertical call spread.

    I should also add they were insistent on a 490/495/500 butterfly last week, which turned out sooooooo well /sarc.

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  21. lanforce

    One lesson learned from the last 10 day roller coaster ride is this:

    If you hold quality and give yourself enough time, you can not only withstand market setbacks, but learn to relish them.

    If yesterday had happened a month ago, you would be reading my obituary today from a self inflicted gunshot wound. But I KNEW in my heart my holdings were good and that I had over a week left to see an up market and really get max profit out of what I owned.

    As OA says, “it’s a poker game”.

    And Jeff, you’ve given us some really GREAT cards to play with.

    Thank You

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  22. darwin

    Algos heating up on AAPL, next level cometh $492.60, bears trying to defend

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  23. lanforce

    Could one of you green eyeshade type (ie good with charts) help me with these. I can’t make heads or tails of what I’m looking at with the apparent market spikes on the open.

    APOL
    MTW

    Especially on MTW, the price/volume figures just don’t make sense to me.

    Thx

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